Extreme & Convective Events @ConvectiveUK
Forecasting Thunderstorms & Convective events within the British Isles. Forecasted by a small group of amateur meteorologists. convectiveuk.wixsite.com/convectiveuk Weather Forecast Joined February 2022-
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As expected, the lightning is east of EA Coasts, which may be visible for some. This was expected to track into EA. However, yesterday afternoon, model confidence for this drastically decreased. I'm glad we removed the SLGHT.
As expected, the lightning is east of EA Coasts, which may be visible for some. This was expected to track into EA. However, yesterday afternoon, model confidence for this drastically decreased. I'm glad we removed the SLGHT. https://t.co/Il881Mtys7
This convective outlook has been updated as confidence & model output has decreased the risk of t-storms across EA. No SLGHT Across EA Tonight, outlook for tomorrow will be updated shortly! Updated Version: convectiveuk.wixsite.com/convectiveuk/p…
This convective outlook has been updated as confidence & model output has decreased the risk of t-storms across EA. No SLGHT Across EA Tonight, outlook for tomorrow will be updated shortly! Updated Version: convectiveuk.wixsite.com/convectiveuk/p…
Day 2 Outlook - Wednesday 1st May 2024 (UPDATED) 🌩️ Click bellow to find out the Risks & Discussion! convectiveuk.wixsite.com/convectiveuk/p…
Day 2 Outlook - Wednesday 1st May 2024 (UPDATED) 🌩️ Click bellow to find out the Risks & Discussion! convectiveuk.wixsite.com/convectiveuk/p…
Convective Outlook - Tuesday 30th April 2024 ⚡ LOW & SLGHT Risk, isolated & sporadic lightning can be expected across Ireland, N Eng down to W of Birmingham, with elevated thunderstorms across EA.🌩️ wix.to/IKzbKq2
Sunday 28th April - Verification: convectiveuk.wixsite.com/convectiveuk/p…
Sunday 28th April - Verification: convectiveuk.wixsite.com/convectiveuk/p…
Don't forget to register for the @TorroUK Spring conference, which is online only - Saturday 11th May torro.org.uk/conference
Detail still to be resolved this far out, but some models showing potential for some #thunderstorms to develop/move NW from the near continent across SE England & E Anglia Weds evening/night - as an unstable warm / humid plume with large amounts of MUCAPE moves in from Benelux ⚡️
Another risk of thunderstorms across Ireland today. Intense showers are expected to develop throughout the day, bringing the risk of a few lightning strikes, possibly the odd thunderstorm. 🌩 Outlook: 👇 convectiveuk.wixsite.com/convectiveuk/p…
Day 3 Outlook - Wednesday 1st May 2024 ⚡️ A consistent signal across several model output suggesting the possibility of a thunderstorms across England. Risk will increase closer to the event. convectiveuk.wixsite.com/convectiveuk/p…
Convective Outlook - Monday 29th April 2024 ⚡️ LOW Risk, Isolated lightning strikes can be expected across Ireland throughout Monday. wix.to/kJxjgvW
Convective Outlook - Sunday 28th April 2024 ⚡️ Risk of a few isolated lightning strikes across Ireland, Wales, England throughout Sunday. convectiveuk.wixsite.com/convectiveuk/p…
Day 1 - Convective Outlook: 27th April ⚡️ convectiveuk.wixsite.com/convectiveuk/d… Another risk of couple of lightning strikes across SW/S England, however confidence remains relatively low.
Another MDT risk has been issued for North Texas Oklahoma, Southeast Kansas & the far southwest Missouri. Strong & destructive tornadoes can be expected once again with possibly some being long tracked. 🌪 #txwx #kswx #Tornado
MINDEN IOWA IS GETTING HIT RIGHT NOW! T#IAWX
TORNADO EMERGENCY continues for Neola IA, Minden IA and Bentley IA until 6:00 PM CDT. This is a LIFE THREATENING SITUATION, SEEK SHELTER! Live look moments ago from storm chasers Brett Adair and Brad Arnold. We're LIVE now: youtube.com/watch?v=dZDOFX…
Aerial views of some of the tornado damage in Elkhorn, NE earlier today. Live coverage of the dangerous situation on @weatherchannel. #Nebraska #tornado
WATCH -- Joe Bradley sent us this video of tornadic activity near Yutan. He said it was taken from Skyline Drive, about halfway between Pacific and Center.
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On the stream NOW - youtube.com/watch?v=hPMTb8…
Convective Outlook - Wednesday 1st May ⚡️ Isolated lightning expected across Ireland during the day before our attention shifts towards the south throughout the night. Intense & severe thunderstorms are expected to affect CS/SE Eng. wix.to/vVsGtpN
Delighted to have seen 2 of my photos on @ITVCentral earlier with @SteveClampITV and @JournoChar Thank you so much for the feature!
The 15z AROME MU cape values are quite extraordinary for 1st May, don’t think I’ve ever seen the purple over SE England ever even in the summer hahaha! #Thunderstorms #Lightning #UKweather ⚡️
Active thunderstorms are possible tomorrow night. @AlexisGreenTV has the details. More: bbc.co.uk/weather
Not often I get to sit and watch a lenticular display for one or 2 hours earlier, especially in Warwickshire. A rare sight. Taken in Ansley, North Warwickshire @StormHour @ThePhotoHour @metoffice #loveukweather @Shefali_oza
Crikey! Skew-T from the AROME shows CAPE approaching 2000J/KG just off the Kent coast tomorrow night highlighting the potential for some prolific elevated early season lightning. I suspect this is a little overcooked.
Impressive MUCAPE in SE England for this early point in the year signalled for tomorrow night! All due to the direction of the instability from Central Europe where temps into high 20s are likely. #UKweather #thunderstorms #lightning ⚡️
Watching the risk for some elevated #thunderstorms into East Anglia and SE England Wednesday evening overnight into Thursday morning! Still quite uncertain but some of the profiles suggested are impressive for this early point in the year. #OneToWatch #Lightning #UKWeather ⚡️
@TheSnowDreamer any chance this could affect the climate.
@BrandonCopicWx @ryanhallyall @RadarOmega @CoreyGerkenWX @foxweather I think the interviewee doesn't know the difference, I just was pointing out who the chasers were that went that way so people could potentially recognize them. Believe @ChasingWConnor was with also
Appears that the 10hpa 60N Zonal Mean Zonal Wind has flipped to summertime E'lies, and assuming this state is maintained, would mark the later than normal demise of this season's #spv stratospheric polar vortex...
Further spells of rain on Tuesday morning, generally clearing northwestwards in the early afternoon with bright or sunny spells & showers following for the rest of the day🌧️🌦️ Some of the showers will be heavy, with hail & thunder likely⛈️ High of 10 to 13 degrees🌡️
@BrandonCopicWx @ryanhallyall @RadarOmega @CoreyGerkenWX @foxweather @ChasingWConnor I would love to meet this gentleman and make sure he has a weather radio and other safety supplies for future tornadoes. He's welcome to reach out, no charge.
Wednesday Outlook has been updated, so make sure to go take a look! If the trend continues, expect an MDT issued tomorrow night 🌩
Day 2 Outlook - Wednesday 1st May 2024 (UPDATED) 🌩️ Click bellow to find out the Risks & Discussion! convectiveuk.wixsite.com/convectiveuk/p…
@west_weather @Met4CastUK @ConvectiveUK what u thinking?
Don't forget to register for the @TorroUK Spring conference, which is online only - Saturday 11th May torro.org.uk/conference
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