Crypto Currently @CryptoCurrentYT
Crypto and Macro enjoyer. cryptocurrently.beehiiv.com US Joined June 2024-
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$ETH / $BTC has paused at every major moving average. No surprise that there is some profit-taking here at the 100W. My target for this cycle is the 200W MA + 0.5 Fib level. Anything above that is icing on the cake. 🤝
$BTC is stuck between 2 of its trading ranges. We are below the $112k low of our most recent range. Yet we are above the $109k high of our old range. Any chop here is noise until we re-enter either range. I'm expecting a reclaim to the upside.🫡
Market sentiment has dipped back into the Fear region. Many investors seem to be worried the cycle top is in. The cycle top tends to happen when no one is expecting it. I believe $BTC still has higher to go. 🤝
The GLI is still grinding higher. New highs would be huge for $BTC and other risk assets. It will likely come down to the September FOMC meeting. The next few weeks should be interesting.🤝
$ETH consolidating right below the ATH. Very likely that price discovery comes next. The volatility will get more violent as we go higher. Don't get caught up in the short-term noise. 🫡
$BTC held our major support level at $109k. Structure remains fully intact while traders flip-flop daily. Focusing on the short-term noise is a great way to get chopped up. Base case remains that we have higher to go.🤝
$BTC is testing major support here. It's way too early to be saying the cycle top is in. Don't get caught up in the lower timeframe noise. Zoom out and focus on the bigger picture. 🤝
$BTC base case is still a final push into September FOMC. Don't think some 25bps cuts is enough to extend cycle. Would likely need to see aggressive cuts + QE. That likely doesn't happen unless markets give the FED a reason to. 🤝
$BTC is still right in the center of the "Expensive" region. Would love to buy the dip in "Fair Value". Would love to take some profits in "Very Expensive". Otherwise will just sit on my hands and chill. 🤝
The GLI is very close to reversing its downtrend. This would be huge for $BTC and other risk assets. We should have our answer in the next few weeks. 🤝
$BTC False Breakdown confirmed. 🔵 Next step would be revisiting the range highs. After that, price discovery. 🟢 Calm and patient spot holders win again. 😎
$ETH has one resistance level left. No surprise that it is putting up a fight. Any consolidation above $4k is fuel for the breakout. Don't get shaken out by short-term chop. 🫡
$BTC is still above all its major support levels. These shakeouts are part of the process. Don't let short-term noise cloud the bigger picture. 🤝
$BTC is still comfortably in our trading range. We saw a False Breakout above $123k. 🟡 We could see a False Breakdown below $112k. 🔵 Spot holders remain unfazed. 😎
$BTC tends to follow The GLI. The remainder of 2025 likely relies heavily on The GLI's next trend. Break to the upside and we likely see risk assets rally into year end. Break down and we like see a major top soon. 🫡
$BTC rarely does what most investors expect it to do. Everyone is talking about the 2021 cycle top repeat. So we likely still have higher to go. Likely just another short-term fear driven pullback.🤝
$BTC has had a solid August so far. You can feel the excitement in the air. There are no major warning signs quite yet. Just patiently waiting for the "Very Expensive" region. 🤝
$BTC held support exactly where it needed to. Base case remains that we see new highs in August. Many keep getting chopped up in short-term noise. Long-term holders that zoom out continue to win. 🤝
This metric has been contracting since November 2024. The sentiment swings have been getting smaller and smaller. $BTC volatility has been falling alongside it. We are overdue for a breakout on price and sentiment. 🤝
$BTC is still well above our $110k invalidation level. Don't see any reason to be concerned quite yet. Base case remains that we go higher until that changes. 😎
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