Crypto Currently @CryptoCurrentYT
Crypto and Macro enjoyer. cryptocurrently.beehiiv.com US Joined June 2024-
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$ETH / $BTC is still consolidating at the major pivot level. This is exactly what you'd expect after such a large move. I still believe this makes new highs in Q4. We just need to be patient enough to see it through. 🤝
The GLI has done it again. It warned us about Mid-September to Mid-October. Now Bitcoin seems to be following through. It also says we should have a great Q4. 🫡
Core PCE came in at 2.9% this morning. The same year-over-year print as the previous month. This allows the FED to continue focusing on the labor market. Let the rate-cutting cycle continue. 🫡
Initial Jobless Claims came in at 218K this morning. There are still no major signs of layoffs happening in the economy.
$BTC continues to hold support. Sentiment is back in Fear. ✅ Biggest long liquidation event of the year. ✅ October is almost here. ✅ Don't let short-term chop shake you out. 🫡
$BTC has held support at the 20W MA so far. A bottom here would confirm a bullish higher low. There is always a chance we head lower. But I'm focusing on the upside that likely comes after this brief correction. 🫡
$ETH is still holding above the Range High. Looks like consolidation before price discovery. We knew they wouldn't give FOMO buyers a free ride. Spot holders that zoom out continue to win. 🤝
The $BTC cycle scenarios chart is overdue for an update. The GLI has made new highs. ✅ Market sentiment has been fully reset. ✅ Q4 seasonality is great for risk assets. ✅ There will be shakeouts and volatility, but I believe we have higher to go. 🫡
Market sentiment is still at Neutral. $BTC is chopping sideways. As the FED is embarking on a new rate cutting cycle. No signs of froth or euphoria anywhere. This is the setup you would expect if we still had higher to go. 🤝
$SOL is consolidating right below the 2021 high here. Feels like a quick pause before the next leg up. Still think we see new all time highs before the cycle ends. Just need to survive the volatility in the meantime. 🤝
The GLI finally made new highs. We know $BTC won't follow its path perfectly. But it makes sense that a higher GLI would be good for risk assets. There will be volatility along the way. But my base case is that Bitcoin still has higher to go this year. 🤝
$ETH / $BTC consolidating nicely below resistance here. Not surprising that it is struggling at this major pivot. Probably whales taking some profits from ETH back into BTC. Regardless, I believe this one still has higher to go. 🤝
$BTC held support at our "Likely" region. If we do end up getting an FOMC sell the news event. These are our main support levels I will be monitoring. Should be a fun week ahead. 🫡
$SOL / $BTC with a major range reclaim here. Really want to see this hold throughout this week. Next target would be the Range Mid. With the DATs and ETFs around the corner. Feels like the remainder of 2025 will be good for Solana. 😎
$BTC is on the verge of a False Breakdown here. Just needs to close the week above $112k. We have seen this play out so many times this cycle. It usually results in more upside continuation. 🤝
$ETH is putting in a lower high here for now. That doesn't mean it's time to panic. But it does mean it will likely consolidate for awhile. I still expect new highs after it cools off a little. 🫡
The GLI is so close to making new highs. FOMC next week would be the perfect catalyst. Doesn't mean Bitcoin has to follow it perfectly. But it likely acts as a strong tailwind for Bitcoin. 😎
Core CPI remained flat at 3.1% YoY. This print was inline with market expectations. It further solidifies next week's rate cut. Bitcoin and other risk assets are breathing a sigh of relief. 🤝
$BTC is trading at a little more than double its 200W MA. I wouldn't consider this a "Cheap" price by any means. But it's also not crazy "Expensive". It's exactly where you'd expect it to be at this stage of the cycle. 🫡
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