DozerBarry @DozerBarry

$MSFT — Earnings Wednesday April 29. Up 2% ahead of print. Critical read on Azure AI growth. Consensus ~$3.22 EPS. Beat = $440+, miss = $400-

@growthrapidly ETFs to consider $GPIX and $GPIQ give you 9-10% yields — but they're 32-66% tech. $SCHD — 3.4% yield, only 9% tech, 14-year track record, dividend grower $HDV — 3.0% yield, 3% tech, 0.64 beta, energy/staples/healthcare core $JEPI — 8.5% yield, 15% tech

@growthrapidly $EPD - 7%+ distribution yield Midstream MLP — pipelines, storage, NGLs, natural gas.

@GrindeOptions $TSLA is an Elon blackbox gamble. I own it, but selling on highs. I think the biggest upside is gone, but risks are still there. $UFO is a fun Weighted ETF that gives exposure to aeropsace $PL $VSAT, $RKLB, $SATS, $GRMN

@MMatters22596 Also have not heard of $OKLO, fascinating. Was looking to get into more nuclear and this is a fun high risk high reward add.. BRB with some research..😎

@MMatters22596 $AOI is the only one i don't like from connectivity — too small, too thin, no institutional anchor, inconsistent profitability. $CRDO and $ALAB already give you cleaner exposure to the same trend with far better risk management.

$MELI: LatAm's Amazon — or a Company That Can't Find Its AWS? High expectations open.substack.com/pub/dozerandba…

@FedexSTi LatAm's dominant ecom + fintech platform trading at a discount while expanding margins and taking wallet share from traditional banks. The setup is there. $MELI is one of those names you'll wish you sized up on in a few years.

Heavy earnings week — $MSFT, $V, $ARCC, $EPD, $AB, $GD all report April 28–29. $TSM reports April 19. $SPY likely to remain elevated but could be volatile around individual beats/misses. Watch $MSFT as the single largest SPY constituent

@MMatters22596 $1500 is a stretch IMHO, but the $600-800 is very plausible. If you already own TSM, which gives you upstream semiconductor exposure through the foundry side. MU adds the memory/HBM angle — complementary but correlated.

@MMatters22596 $MU Cyclicality is the defining characteristic. Memory is the most cyclical sector in semiconductors. MU has gone from $11.95 EPS (FY18) → $2.83 (FY20) → $8.34 (FY22) → -$4.45 (FY23) → $23.14 TTM. The current supercycle will inevitably peak. The question is when, not if.

Exactly right. Loving a company and refusing to overpay for it are not contradictions — it's discipline. Insiders are trimming into this move too. $100 re-entry is the play. $NBIS

La Rata Bursátil @rata_bursatil_

6 months ago

He vendido mi posición en $NBIS ✅ Sabéis que me encanta esta empresa y que mi estrategia es mantenerlas a largo plazo. Pero, en la última semana ha subido mas de un 40%, la valoración es hiperexigente (aunque el potencial y crecimiento sigue siendo brutal). No me extrañaría

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@rata_bursatil_ Hard to argue with that logic. $NBIS at these levels is pricing in a lot of execution that hasn't happened yet. Love the company, respect the discipline. If it pulls back to $100 the question is whether the thesis still holds — and we think it does. See you at the re-entry. 👋

@moninvestor Google TPUs, Amazon Trainium, Meta's MTIA. Every dollar they spend in-house is a dollar that doesn't flow to $IREN, $CRWV, or $NBIS.

@Thomas_james_1 Too late to get in IMHO.. 50% in a week on a ceasefire headline is exactly the kind of move that should make you cautious, not excited. $NBIS is still burning more than it earns. Macro tailwinds don't fix a balance sheet that needs refinancing by mid-2027.

@mvcinvesting Goldman raising to $205 on a company that lost $250M on $228M revenue last quarter is a bold move. At 69x P/S with $3.68B cash against ~$5B annual CapEx - it's a refinancing countdown

$NBIS: The AI Bet That Splits the Room open.substack.com/pub/dozerandba…

Top 5 Things to Watch This Week: $TSM earnings ~April 17 — single biggest near-term catalyst Congressional war powers vote Iran de-escalation signals — $EPD, $GD, $SPY, $RNMBY TSLA Q1 earnings April 22 BDC sector $BXSL /$ARCC — Moody's negativity or redemption disclosures

@DividendMil The only thing I dislike is how tech heavy they are. Over 60%. Couple alternatives $JEPI - 18% tech. 7.6% yield $SCHD - 15% tech. 3.45% yield

While the market debates AI multiples, there's a $45 stock with: - 6% dividend yield - 88% EBITDA margins - An aging population as its customer base $OHI isn't flashy. It's a toll road on getting old. The US adds 10,000 new seniors every day. Do the math. #dividends