Gideon Skinner @GideonSkinner
Head of political research @IpsosUK, lives in Hackney, does stuff. All views own etc. Joined January 2012-
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Just been through findings from today's @IpsosScotland poll on @BBCScotNine. @EmilyIpsosScot has a great thread on the main findings, but a few reflections on what they mean for the SNP before I go bed. 🧵
📢 NEW @IpsosScotland poll taken after Humza Yousaf's resignation ✴️SNP voters are most likely to favour John Swinney as a potential successor, and are more divided on Kate Forbes ✴️Looking at who the public say would make the best FM though, Forbes leads Swinney by 6 points 🧵
🚨 NEW @IpsosUK - @AndyBurnhamGM more popular in Manchester than Khan in London or Street in Birmingham. 🔴Burnham Fav: 59% Unfav: 15% Net: +44 (!!) 🔵Street Fav: 34% Unfav: 18% Net: +16 🔴Khan Fav: 38% Unfav: 40% Net: -2 Their opponents all struggle with name recognition.
🚨NEW @IpsosUK - Do voters think their mayor has changed their city for better or worse? 🔴Burnham Better: 48% No difference: 28% Worse: 10% 🔴Khan Better: 30% No difference: 24% Worse: 37% 🔵Street Better: 28% No difference: 36% Worse: 10% ipsos.com/en-uk/andy-bur…
New from @IpsosUK: We've seen a flurry of metro Mayors polling in recent days - but let's deep dive about what those in London, West Midlands and Greater Manchester think of their respective Mayors... ipsos.com/en-uk/andy-bur… 🧵
NEW @IpsosUK: Top concerns for Brits remain the economy, NHS & inflation, but 🏠 worries are growing among Conservative supporters (5% worried in March). The divide on immigration persists, with Conservative supporters more concerned than Labour. #UKPolitics
Is the writing on the wall for Humza Yousaf as FM? 🧵on what @IpsosScotland polling trends tell us about his time as leader. His ratings among the public have been net negative throughout, though he's been viewed a little more positively in office than when running to be leader
Some interesting @Ipsos data shows how some of Labour's underlying polling is actually worse than Miliband's heading into the 2015 general election. But that might not matter, considering how far the Conservatives have tanked theguardian.com/politics/2024/…
NEW @IpsosUK: Navigating the Storm 🌩️ The upcoming election will be shaped by the future of Britain's #PublicServices. We've got a report that dives into public opinion & major challenges the next #government will face. Find out more 👉 bit.ly/442zLP4
@Ipsos @EveningStandard @GideonSkinner 'Labour will obviously be happier to have clear leads in voting intentions and in leadership head-to-heads," @GideonSkinner, @Ipsos “But Starmer is not building up a reserve of enthusiasm for his leadership, which could create problems further down line.' standard.co.uk/news/politics/…
@Ipsos @EveningStandard @GideonSkinner “But it’s still not clear the extent to which this a symptom rather than a cause of the Conservatives’ wider problems. The public are not crying out for another Conservative leadership change before the next election," adds @GideonSkinner, Head of Political Research @Ipsos
@Ipsos @EveningStandard “There’s no doubt that Rishi Sunak’s ratings are historically poor. Being in the company of John Major and Jeremy Corbyn before they lost elections does not bode well," says @GideonSkinner, Head of Political Research @Ipsos
Rishi Sunak's PM rating falls to lowest ever for major party leader and same level as Jeremy Corbyn - exclusive new @Ipsos poll for @EveningStandard
💥Sunak’s latest @IpsosUK satisfaction score reaches RECORD LOW for a PM💥 Satisfied: 16% Dissatisfied: 75% Net: -59 Now equals Major’s worst rating in Aug 94 (-59) and is on par with Corbyn worst in Opposition in Oct 19 (-60) ipsos.com/en-uk/rishi-su…
💥RECORD BREAKING @IpsosUK VOTING INTENTION 💥 Lab: 44% Con: 19% Reform: 13% Lib Dems: 9% Greens: 9% Other: 6% Lowest the Conservatives have ever polled with us across 45 years of surveys (breaking last month’s record) ipsos.com/en-uk/rishi-su…
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📉@IpsosUK have been polling for 45 yrs but in my mere seven I've seen... 💥Most unpopular Opp. leader ever (Corbyn) 💥Joint most unpopular PM ever (Sunak) 💥Joint most popular Opp. leader ever (Starmer*) 💥Joint lowest economic optimism ever (2022) 💥Lowest Con VI ever (now!)
#dcnconf2024 coming to an end with heavyweight analysis of public views and electoral prospects from @GideonSkinner @IpsosUK and Sir John Curtice @whatukthinks
'Jeremy Hunt goes into the Budget with public pessimism over the economy not quite as bad as a year ago, but still with many people (especially the young) worried things will get worse before they get better,' says top pollster @GideonSkinner @Ipsos standard.co.uk/news/politics/…
POLL: Top coverage of today’s @IpsosUK poll in tonight’s @standardnews by @nicholascecil and team. For further analysis follow Ipsos tweeters @keiranpedley @HollyDay1993 @CameronGarrett_ @GideonSkinner 📊
@Ipsos @EveningStandard @GideonSkinner “Keir Starmer has improved perceptions of the party since he became leader, but he has faced difficult few weeks which is reflected in a drop in his personal ratings, as well as more long-standing questions over whether the public knows what he stands for," @GideonSkinner @Ipsos
@Ipsos @EveningStandard “Of course, overall Labour remains in a strong position, helped by Conservative weaknesses and public concerns about the state of the country, but these findings do show why Labour is worried about being complacent," @GideonSkinner, Head of Political Research @Ipsos
@Ipsos @EveningStandard “The historical comparisons continue to look ominous for Rishi Sunak and the Conservatives," @GideonSkinner, Head of Political Research at @Ipsos
We have just recorded our lowest EVER vote share for the @Conservatives since we began polling in the 1970s (they will likely get more than this in election, but still….)
New Ipsos poll for the Evening Standard Lab 47% Con 20% LD 9% Green 8% Reform 8% Lowest Tory % ever recorded in an Ipsos poll going back to the start of their regular polling in 1978. standard.co.uk/news/politics/…
@Ipsos @EveningStandard @GideonSkinner “Combined with Labour taking leads on issues of economic credibility to go with their traditional strengths in public services, this means the Conservatives face big challenges across a number of fronts if they are to turn the situation around," @GideonSkinner @Ipsos
@Ipsos @EveningStandard @GideonSkinner “Ipsos Political Monitor started in the late 70s and has never recorded a Conservative vote share this low – and the job satisfaction trends for the Prime Minister and his government since he took office are also heading downwards," @GideonSkinner, politics research head @Ipsos
As they say, some professional news... It is a very great honour for me to take over from the peerless @whatukthinks, for whom everyone @BritPollingCncl is incredibly grateful for his sixteen years of service.
NEW: Professor Jane Green is the new President of the British Polling Council britishpollingcouncil.org/new-president-…
What does the UK public want government to prioritise? Here's a chart from our annual #StateoftheStateUK survey by @IpsosUK. Note the change since our last survey: NHS waiting lists, immigration and infrastructure all moving up the list of public concerns. See more at…
"Control is important to the public on immigration, and their views are more nuanced under the surface, but the Prime Minister needs to show he is taking charge of this issue,” @GideonSkinner, Head of Political Research, @IpsosUK standard.co.uk/news/politics/…
Incredibly proud of the @IpsosScotland team who won for public policy/social research at #MRSAwards last night. Congratulations to @rachelormston and the whole team for their Juries research with @ScotGovJustice, partnering with @ProfChalmers @VMunro_Law @FionaLeverick! 🙌🙌🙌
Very very proud to have won at #MRSawards for our @IpsosScotland Jury research for @ScotGovJustice. Got a bit flustered and definitely didn't look at camera for the photo but here's the gong.
'There are shared views on both sides [Labour and Tory voters]. One of those is the way the govt are managing the issue [of net migration].' Ipsos UK's head of political research @GideonSkinner discusses how voters feel about the net migration figures trib.al/0fedhnv
Very very proud to have won at #MRSawards for our @IpsosScotland Jury research for @ScotGovJustice. Got a bit flustered and definitely didn't look at camera for the photo but here's the gong.
My sign of success - being quoted by @thetimes talking about @IpsosUK new "signs of success" report: thetimes.co.uk/article/the-ke…
Thought provoking interview on challenges & priorities for the police from @IpsosUK's latest #UnderstandingSociety. The police has become a public service of last resort, but when it's not been designed to function this way, what can it do to make sure it serves the public well?
NEW: #UnderstandingSociety @h_shrimpton & @rickmuir1, @the_police_fdn consider the future of policing & discuss: 🚓The public's perception gap 🚓The police's relationship with other public services 🚓The police's purpose & mission Learn more: bit.ly/future-policing
@BritPollingCncl @IpsosUK’s own @CameronGarrett_ and Ben Roff now, sharing long term reflections on how the public view the Labour Party, and opposition leaders leading into election years @BritPollingCncl #bpcearlycareers
Packed house for the opening of our Election Countdown: Early Careers Researcher Event on behalf of the @BritPollingCncl 📊 Kicked off by the fantastic Professor Sir John Curtice! #bpcearlycareers
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