Luke Tryl @LukeTryl
UK Director @Moreincommon_, Previously Director @TheNSN, @Ofstednews & DfE SpAd 🏳️🌈🇺🇦 moreincommon.org.uk London, England Joined December 2016-
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SAVE THE DATE: In collaboration with @Lse we are hosting a pre-election event on the afternoon of 5th June. Hosted by @patricksturg & @ProfJaneGreen, and featuring a star-studded line up of academics and pollsters. Watch this space!
It pains me to say it, but we polled this on a nationally representative sample and... Rail Britannia is the least popular option with the British public 😢
It pains me to say it, but we polled this on a nationally representative sample and... Rail Britannia is the least popular option with the British public 😢 https://t.co/RouEqlVufK
And we’ve covered got Tees Valley too. We believe Houchen is ahead here, by a few points. It *must* be said that these races are hugely difficult to call. The typical ‘margin of error’ on these may as well be doubled. Which means 2 Lab victories are inside credible intervals…
And we’ve covered got Tees Valley too. We believe Houchen is ahead here, by a few points. It *must* be said that these races are hugely difficult to call. The typical ‘margin of error’ on these may as well be doubled. Which means 2 Lab victories are inside credible intervals…
Agree with Damian, not least given GE VI polling in WM/TV has the Tories way behind the mayoral candidates - the races doesn't read across. But is interesting Labour could lose the narrative battle because focus is on these mayoral races, even if they have a good night elsewhere.
Agree with Damian, not least given GE VI polling in WM/TV has the Tories way behind the mayoral candidates - the races doesn't read across. But is interesting Labour could lose the narrative battle because focus is on these mayoral races, even if they have a good night elsewhere.
Remains pretty extraordinary given national polling Houchen & Street are even competitive. Really does suggest, if Conservatives do lose the general election that they should look beyond SW1 to the metro mayors for lessons on how to rebuild a big coalition.
Remains pretty extraordinary given national polling Houchen & Street are even competitive. Really does suggest, if Conservatives do lose the general election that they should look beyond SW1 to the metro mayors for lessons on how to rebuild a big coalition.
Sam Freedman @Samfr
145K Followers 1K Following Writes the UK's most popular politics Substack (https://t.co/bcjXR0ncfL). New book - "Failed State" - out 29th August https://t.co/uPuWlb39R3.
Stephen Bush @stephenkb
147K Followers 7K Following Associate editor and columnist @FinancialTimes. Tweet about politics, policy, culture, nerd stuff. Tongue mostly in cheek. Get my newsletter here 👇
Robert Colvile @rcolvile
52K Followers 3K Following Director of @CPSThinkTank, EIC of @CapX, Sunday columnist for @thetimes, author of 'The Great Acceleration'. Politics, policy and parenting.
Tom Hamilton @thhamilton
27K Followers 2K Following Social policy at Public First. Former Labour staffer and serial election loser. I co-wrote a book about PMQs, and now write a newsletter about political attack.
Laura McInerney @miss_mcinerney
82K Followers 3K Following Co-Founder of @TeacherTapp, daily polls of 10k teachers. Ex: @SchoolsWeek editor, @Guardian writer & teacher. SAY: Laura 'Mack & Ernie' (like there's 3 of us!)
Sunder Katwala @sundersays
39K Followers 11K Following Director @britishfuture. Author of How to be a Patriot https://t.co/2mVuOhKhxi @HarperNorthUK New: Culture Clash https://t.co/ukFtFRfj3r
Sebastian Payne @SebastianEPayne
123K Followers 4K Following Director of @ukonward. Author of 'Broken Heartlands' and 'The Fall of Boris Johnson'. Who funds me? https://t.co/JKT9uKwxre
Will Jennings @drjennings
27K Followers 6K Following I research and write about politics, public policy, public opinion, polls, elections, trust.
Chris Curtis @chriscurtis94
38K Followers 2K Following Proud Milton Keynesian, Labour's Parliamentary candidate for MK North, Award-winning researcher @OpiniumResearch, can't spell, views my own. Join the campaign⤵️
Giles Wilkes @Gilesyb
33K Followers 2K Following After advising No10 and BIS,writing @FT, now specialist partner @flintglobal, senior fellow @instituteforgov looking for authentic ways to improve us
Ed Dorrell @Ed_Dorrell
19K Followers 3K Following Partner at Public First (education, levelling up and Labour). Quant, qual, political comms. Ex-journo.
Sam Freedman @Samfrspare
11K Followers 445 Following Spare account for @samfr in case it gets hacked again.
Tim Bale @ProfTimBale
53K Followers 4K Following aka @timbale.bsky.social Teach politics at @QMPoliticsIR. New book: "The Conservative Party After Brexit: Turmoil and Transformation"
Gabriel Milland @gabrielmilland
15K Followers 4K Following In Number 10 and ran comms at two big UK gov depts. Was historian and a hack. Bristol City. Centrist radical, not radical centrist.
Ben Walker @BNHWalker
25K Followers 2K Following Co-Founder of @BritainElects. Senior Data Journalist for the @NewStatesman. Borough councillor for Chester's city centre and the Garden Quarter.
J @Beyond_Topline
7K Followers 2K Following Analysis of polling and elections, with a particular focus on looking under the bonnet to draw out nuances in the electoral landscape. Prone to typos.
Geoff Barton @RealGeoffBarton
78K Followers 6K Following Then: English teacher, headteacher, & General Secretary of ASCL. Now: Books, food, Suffolk skies, Shakespeare, pics of border terrier Molly B and ... oracy!
Rob Ford @robfordmancs
47K Followers 3K Following Politics Prof, author "The British General Election of 2019" & "Brexitland" Senior Fellow @UKandEU "The Swingometer" - https://t.co/I4x2VwsRoF
Katy Balls @katyballs
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SH @SH4018842762556
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🇬🇧🏴�.. @KooLnddGangCool
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631 Followers 217 Following @uklabour Councillor for Bullsmoor Ward🌹 Associate Cabinet Member for the borough of Enfield
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5K Followers 6K Following Single parent trying set up a Social Enterprise to help people with problems by empowering them to help themselves. Hoping to get the Tories out NOW ! #Covid19
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156 Followers 727 Following A Brentford supporting History Teacher living in Isleworth. Currently a Head of Year 11. All views are completely from a personal perspective.
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710 Followers 515 Following Usually optimistic Leeds fan, kop season ticket. Dislike VAR. Love sports, playing golf, reading, sunshine and travel, appreciate art. Retired. Left of centre.
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536 Followers 869 Following ex-maths teacher now having adventures exploring the world, discovering new cultures, wild swimming and camping, all while using a wheelchair
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2K Followers 5K Following wondering what on Earth be happening. #wildbird #autistic #human #nature same-same-ish on… https://t.co/aCZTPRXSzz
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750 Followers 2K Following Not here much. If I ever was. [email protected] 🏳️🌈
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879 Followers 2K Following 3 grown children & Peter Pan husband. Hate Universal Credit, dementors, poverty, rudeness, jobs-worth's, injustice. Love living, gardening & making a difference
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101 Followers 2K Following Trying to extricate myself from this dumpster fire. Also @afindlay.bsky.social
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Sam Freedman @Samfr
145K Followers 1K Following Writes the UK's most popular politics Substack (https://t.co/bcjXR0ncfL). New book - "Failed State" - out 29th August https://t.co/uPuWlb39R3.
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147K Followers 7K Following Associate editor and columnist @FinancialTimes. Tweet about politics, policy, culture, nerd stuff. Tongue mostly in cheek. Get my newsletter here 👇
Robert Colvile @rcolvile
52K Followers 3K Following Director of @CPSThinkTank, EIC of @CapX, Sunday columnist for @thetimes, author of 'The Great Acceleration'. Politics, policy and parenting.
Tom Hamilton @thhamilton
27K Followers 2K Following Social policy at Public First. Former Labour staffer and serial election loser. I co-wrote a book about PMQs, and now write a newsletter about political attack.
Laura McInerney @miss_mcinerney
82K Followers 3K Following Co-Founder of @TeacherTapp, daily polls of 10k teachers. Ex: @SchoolsWeek editor, @Guardian writer & teacher. SAY: Laura 'Mack & Ernie' (like there's 3 of us!)
Sunder Katwala @sundersays
39K Followers 11K Following Director @britishfuture. Author of How to be a Patriot https://t.co/2mVuOhKhxi @HarperNorthUK New: Culture Clash https://t.co/ukFtFRfj3r
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123K Followers 4K Following Director of @ukonward. Author of 'Broken Heartlands' and 'The Fall of Boris Johnson'. Who funds me? https://t.co/JKT9uKwxre
Will Jennings @drjennings
27K Followers 6K Following I research and write about politics, public policy, public opinion, polls, elections, trust.
Chris Curtis @chriscurtis94
38K Followers 2K Following Proud Milton Keynesian, Labour's Parliamentary candidate for MK North, Award-winning researcher @OpiniumResearch, can't spell, views my own. Join the campaign⤵️
Giles Wilkes @Gilesyb
33K Followers 2K Following After advising No10 and BIS,writing @FT, now specialist partner @flintglobal, senior fellow @instituteforgov looking for authentic ways to improve us
Ed Dorrell @Ed_Dorrell
19K Followers 3K Following Partner at Public First (education, levelling up and Labour). Quant, qual, political comms. Ex-journo.
Tim Bale @ProfTimBale
53K Followers 4K Following aka @timbale.bsky.social Teach politics at @QMPoliticsIR. New book: "The Conservative Party After Brexit: Turmoil and Transformation"
Gabriel Milland @gabrielmilland
15K Followers 4K Following In Number 10 and ran comms at two big UK gov depts. Was historian and a hack. Bristol City. Centrist radical, not radical centrist.
Ben Walker @BNHWalker
25K Followers 2K Following Co-Founder of @BritainElects. Senior Data Journalist for the @NewStatesman. Borough councillor for Chester's city centre and the Garden Quarter.
J @Beyond_Topline
7K Followers 2K Following Analysis of polling and elections, with a particular focus on looking under the bonnet to draw out nuances in the electoral landscape. Prone to typos.
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21K Followers 2K Following Journalist covering politics and public services. Observer, Guardian, Mirror, Politics Home, Private Eye, Open Democracy. Not a tribalist
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78K Followers 6K Following Then: English teacher, headteacher, & General Secretary of ASCL. Now: Books, food, Suffolk skies, Shakespeare, pics of border terrier Molly B and ... oracy!
Rob Ford @robfordmancs
47K Followers 3K Following Politics Prof, author "The British General Election of 2019" & "Brexitland" Senior Fellow @UKandEU "The Swingometer" - https://t.co/I4x2VwsRoF
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52K Followers 3K Following @Spectator political editor. @theipaper columnist. All views are Balls - [email protected] Podcast 👇
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2K Followers 1K Following Bingham Fellow in Constitutional Studies @BalliolOxford | teach U.K. Politics @UniofOxford | convenor @policy_psa | host of @EfficientPod | PhD on MPs expenses.
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5K Followers 5K Following Programme Director of @TimesRadio. Formerly @BBC5Live and Blue Peter. Husband, dad, member of @myIvyChurch
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5K Followers 2K Following CEO @nesta_uk, Chair @b_i_tweets, Governor @healthfdn. Ex International Rescue Committee & co-founder @RESCUE_Airbel
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869 Followers 387 Following Just a boy, staring into a social media platform, asking it to love me.
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2K Followers 1K Following Deputy Editor @BBCNewsnight Editor Radio Elex results. Was @bbcpm and @bbcworldatone
Cam Vargas @CamVargas8
1K Followers 3K Following Head of Comms @LabourTogether | Previously @yougov and @savanta_uk | 🇵🇪🇬🇧 | COYI ⚒️ | views my own and likes/RTs ≠ endorsement
Chris Annous @chris_annous
1K Followers 1K Following Lib Dem Parliamentary Candidate for Greenwich & Woolwich Promoted by M.J.McLaren on behalf of Chris Annous (Liberal Democrats) at 1 Vincent Sq, London SW1P 2P
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18K Followers 4K Following Husband and father of two. Founder — The Shaikh Group, peacemaker and activist. Lived and worked in Gaza, Israel, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Qatar.
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5K Followers 2K Following National Chair of @YoungLabourUK, Work - @JewishLabour Southern Organiser, views and bad jokes my own, he/him 🌹✡️🏳️🌈
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934 Followers 2K Following Research Fellow at @Active_ATA. Formerly Targeting & Analysis Manager at @UKLabour. Urban environments, LTNs, cycling, political analysis
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4K Followers 2K Following Westminster Insider Host @POLITICOEurope [email protected]/ DMs open
liz chatterjee @natterjee
4K Followers 2K Following India, energy + infrastructure history, environment and/vs. development @UChicagoHistory
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142K Followers 2K Following Co-Founder @novaramedia. Author of Fully Automated Luxury Communism. Next book on politics and economics of an ageing planet.
Mete Coban MBE @metecoban92
20K Followers 3K Following CEO @MyLifeMySay | @UKLabour Councillor for Stoke Newington | Cabinet Member for Climate Change, Environment & Transport @HackneyCouncil | Board @LondonMarathon
Cllr Anton Georgiou �.. @anton_georgiou
4K Followers 983 Following Leader of @BrentLD and Councillor for Alperton | 📧[email protected] | Own views, RTs ≠ endorsement (he/him)
Jordan Cowie @JordanDCowie
794 Followers 594 Following @ScotTories Prospective Parliamentary Candidate for Kilmarnock and Loudoun at the forthcoming General Election.
Robin Gordon-Farleigh @RobinG_F
3K Followers 5K Following Founding Partner @manaraglobal | Ex comms strategist @10DowningStreet who oversaw the UK Govt Grid 11-17 | PR Week PowerBook Middle East |Views are my own.
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14K Followers 1K Following President @OpenSociety. In pursuit of a new type of global politics that benefits all. Former lives @UN @Refugees @UNDP @WorldBank @UKLabour
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134K Followers 3K Following President @britishchambers Chair @wetransfer Director @peers4planet @chanel Chancellor @openuniversity co-founder @luckyvoice patron @i_amthecode @Dayonetrauma
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820 Followers 1K Following policy director @reformthinktank 🇬🇧🚀 ex Treasury and Faculty, views my own
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🥑🗽🏗🏘️ N.. @Gaylussite
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10K Followers 3K Following Software Engineer • Green Democracy & Citizen Engagement Spokesperson • @NewhamGreens councillor (Stratford Olympic Park) • 💚 @joehudsonsmall • he/him 🏳️🌈🎭
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12K Followers 938 Following Author of Rapture’s Road; 300,000 Kisses; All Down Darkness Wide; Tongues of Fire. Assistant Professor @tcdenglish. @matthewmarland looks after me. He/him.
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Excellent article @IsabelHardman
I really regret going back to work repeatedly when I was too mentally ill to do so and then letting colleagues down, often in a very messy and last minute fashion. I was desperate to be well and back working effectively but funnily enough my recovery was not linear and I couldn’t…
Greetings from Teesside! More in Playbook PM later - if I don't have a heart attack from all the Parmo calories.
The only thing I can gather about the person who runs these alerts is that they really, really like Marianna Spring.
Are BBC News app's push alerts the no 1 way that people in the UK get news? The BBC News at Six and Ten get 3-4m viewers each; the app has 11.9m UK users as of March 2022 and is the most-used news app by far. I assume not everyone has push alerts on, but probably most do.
Sunak is too old
🚨Our latest @Moreincommon_ voting intention in today’s Playbook finds the lowest Conservative share we’ve recorded at just 24% and the Labour lead at 19pts. 🌹 Labour 43% (-) 🌳Conservatives 24% (-2) 🔶Lib Dem 11% (+1) 🟣Reform UK 11% (-) 💚Greens 6% (-1) N: 2053 26-28/4
Awful news coming from Hainault. Our thoughts are with the victims. Thankful for the first responders on the scene.
A critical incident has been declared in Hainault. There are station and road closures in place. The Police, Ambulance Service and Fire Brigade are responding. One male detained. I would urge people not to speculate until details are confirmed or post footage on social media.
It’s absolutely no coincidence that the government started losing support from the middle of 2021 as the cost of living (including mortgage rates) rose - well before the Truss mini budget.
Gonna be a slew of dogshit takes on Friday. Can’t wait
There are still a few of us who hold this unfashionable view
“I still think Tony was right on Iraq, I know that’s a very unfashionable view” @BenPBradshaw theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/a…
They're gonna turn me into one of those guys who think crosstabs should be banned.
📊 NEW POLL: YouGov poll projects Scottish Parliament breakthrough for ALBA Party Join ALBA today 👉 albaparty.org/join #ALBAforIndependence
@LukeTryl YES, "nervous breakdowns" in school kids (in quantity) seems to be a new thing by and large. But there has *always* been enough mental illness/distress in general adult population to make it a bad choice for a political football. (3/3)
🚨personal news 🚨 I am now the owner of a campervan 🚐
5% of RVs in London don't have valid photo ID. Question is how many will show up (or would have shown up) to vote on Thursday. It's likely to be much lower than 5% among this group, but it won't be zero...
New: 5% of registered voters in London lack a valid form of photo ID Ward level estimates show that this the highest in Becontree - 11% (Barking and Dagenham) and lowest in Bloomsbury - 0.5% (Camden).
If @andy4wm can hold the WM Mayoralty in the face of the political hurricane that will blow away so many Conservative candidates he will deservedly have a huge role to play in the rebuilding that will follow our inevitable ousting in the general election. Fingers and toes…
Remains pretty extraordinary given national polling Houchen & Street are even competitive. Really does suggest, if Conservatives do lose the general election that they should look beyond SW1 to the metro mayors for lessons on how to rebuild a big coalition.
Adding on narrative: It is crazy how we (Labour) have raised expectations and allowed the Tees Valley contest to be framed as “Labour not gaining mayoralty is a disaster/failure and tories holding it is a victory” Can we win YES Should that be the expectation NO It was 73/27!
Also, please remember everyone, when there's a lot more uncertainty in the type of polling, if it is wrong, it doesn't mean it'll be off in the direction you think/want.
And we’ve covered got Tees Valley too. We believe Houchen is ahead here, by a few points. It *must* be said that these races are hugely difficult to call. The typical ‘margin of error’ on these may as well be doubled. Which means 2 Lab victories are inside credible intervals…
retweeting to-restate a bit about the metro mayors, any attempt to link any result in those elections to GE is flawed, what we will probably see is a lot of ‘split-voting’ and perhaps the biggest impact of Metro Mayors is going to be the impact on English Political campaigning
Ahead of Thursday’s elections my ‘take’ I will mainly be ignore national share of the vote and look at regional vote share variations Adur, Rushmoor, North Tyneside, Rochdale, Woking, Trafford and the East Lancs councils are results will probably spent too much time looking at
And we’ve covered got Tees Valley too. We believe Houchen is ahead here, by a few points. It *must* be said that these races are hugely difficult to call. The typical ‘margin of error’ on these may as well be doubled. Which means 2 Lab victories are inside credible intervals…
Tees Valley mayoral voting intention (12-29 Apr) - Ben Houchen has 7pt lead Ben Houchen (Con): 51% Chris McEwan (Lab): 44% Simon Thorley (LD): 5% yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
Shows what perceived competence can do. Both our polling their party here by considerable distance
Breaking: Yougov poll suggests there is a world in which Tories could hold *both* West Midlands and Tees Valley mayoralties - but it is very, very tight Houchen is narrowly ahead in Tees Valley Street is only just ahead in West Mids but Yougov says it's within margin of error…
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