HopWRF Project @HopWRF
This page will discuss the HopWRF Project: a collaboration of John Wetter of Hopkins Public Schools and others. hopwrf.info Twin Cities, MN Joined March 2013-
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Some areas of low visibility are definitely possible tonight, please drive safely! Animation is probability of visibility less than a half mile. #mnwx #newx #sdwx #iawx
The HopWRF Ensemble model forecasts will be offline as we update software on our servers. We hope to restore the forecasts by this afternoon.
Headed to OSH or ready to head home? Check out the Aviation plumes! Located at HopWRF.info #OSH23
Overnight snow could accumulate to a couple/few inches in part of northern Nebraska & northern Iowa overnight, looking to wrap up by 6-7am per the 3Z ensemble. #iawx #newx HopWRF.info
You may have noticed, but the MPAS is temporarily off-line as we are utilizing that compute power for some reanalysis purposes for a presentation on the 25th Anniversary of the March 29, 1998 event at the @CentralIowaNWA conference! We hope to see you there! #mnwx #iawx
Weather observers needed across Minnesota and Wisconsin - Join CoCoRaHS, Please Retweet! If you're in a rural area your observation would be really helpful, but additional observations are also welcome in more populated areas. weather.gov/mpx/2023cocora…
Looking at the ensemble this morning using the postage stamps you can see comparisons for both intensity of snow and the progression between individual members. Mean MSLP image shows the progress of the winds. Both images are for noon today. #sdwx #mnwx HopWRF.info
Another tool available on our website at HopWRF.info is the dprog/dt tool. This lets you look at the past 12 runs of the GEFS to compare to current so you can see trends. In this case the probability of 4” of snow in the mid-week system approaching. #mnwx #wiwx #sdwx
We are closely monitoring the potential for a significant winter storm across the northern plains & upper Midwest mid-week. The following are from the 6Z GEFS, the 31-member ensemble of GFS. A probabilistic approach is needed this far out. Available at: HopWRF.info
Are we there yet? No, not yet, maybe another couple inches of snow overnight, then it finally moves out. On the plus side, there won’t be a big rush of cold air behind this so salt and other road chemicals will help clear out roads pretty quickly once plowed.
Yes, there is a signal of potentially accumulating snow on Tuesday, but there are many details to be worked out. Here is the probability of 4” of snow throughout the day.
It’s that day! Time to take a look at the HopWRF Time Machine to look back to the great Halloween Blizzard of 1991! Our simulations start mid-day on the 31st for our 3km inner nest. Watch as the storm swept in! #mnwx #HalloweenBlizzard 3km: hopwrf.hopkinsschools.org/ResearchWRF11/
15z ensemble output for this evening. Some spread in the models around initiation. #mnwx
Quite a bit of member agreement on initiation location in the 9z ensemble for severe weather later today in both reflectivity and UH tracks. #mnwx
The risk has been upgraded to MODERATE (level 4/5) later today and this evening across western MN. Widespread wind damage, very large hail, and a few tornadoes are expected. Be prepared for severe weather later today!
Reed Timmer, PhD @ReedTimmerUSA
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Noah forecasting extreme rainfall at NOAA today. #Halloween
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Uh…….no. 🤦🏻♂️
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@redheadranting @KSTP Guessing you didn’t take statistics in college.
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Within the past hour (between 6 PM and 7 PM), the Mississippi River climbed above 15.5 feet (major flood stage) at La Crosse, WI. As of 7:05 pm, it stood at 15.52 feet. This has only happened 2 other times in the La Crosse area (1965 and 2001). Data goes back to 1874.
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We are excited to announce that our new K9 pup’s name has been narrowed down to these top 5 names: Archie, Stanley, Dash, Ollie + Rosco! We need all hands on deck to help us pick a paw-fect new name for our four-legged friend, please comment below + like which is your favorite!
Whoa- big news!
It looks like it’s finally happening: Delta is set to resume nonstop flights from @mspairport to Tokyo a week from today! 🇯🇵 It’ll be the first time the route has operated in more than 3 years. Delta’s other nonstops to Tokyo have all returned aside from Portland & Honolulu.