Market Reaper @IdeateJS
Not trading / financial advice. Professor of economics, international trade, and hypocrite roasting. Greenland Joined November 2009-
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This is alarming. Over 60% of VC money is now going to AI companies. For reference, only 40% of the VC money went to internet companies in 1999. If those AI companies don’t start generating real revenue soon enough, investors will start stepping back. When this happens, all…
Mind boggling The car bubble is the literally collapsing Buyers with 720 credit scores are now being quoted 12% interest rates on new car loans. One year ago they could have gotten 2.9% Lenders are so afraid of the rapid deterioration of car prices they must quote these…
The $NVDA CoreWeave fraud just hit a new milestone. On September 9, $CRWV signed a $6.3 billion deal with Nvidia. Per the deal terms, Nvidia is obligated to purchase any spare capacity that CW is unable to sell to end customers. This seems to be a clever way to skirt…
The $NVDA CoreWeave fraud just hit a new milestone. On September 9, $CRWV signed a $6.3 billion deal with Nvidia. Per the deal terms, Nvidia is obligated to purchase any spare capacity that CW is unable to sell to end customers. This seems to be a clever way to skirt… https://t.co/LhXeNVdp1l
Super dangerous for a financial trading company to use that much AI generated code.
Too cool of a chart not to share: $QQQ weekly trend channel. Save for the post Covid printing absurdity the lower trend line and the middle trend line have been a pivot ping pong game of precision & relevance ever since the GFC. Very impressive.
Ontario just recorded the largest outflow of non-permanent residents in Canadian history. At first glance, that headline might sound like a random stat, but it’s actually a huge deal and it has major implications for real estate, for investors, and honestly, for Canada’s…
Market Crash Indicator 30y:2y (August Final Print): This indicator, which measures the spread between the 30y & 2yr treasuries, has called the biggest crashes of the last 30 years every time it fired off...And it just fired off this afternoon...The final August monthly print for…
BREAKING NEWS: Out of the top 200 insider trades over the last week (by value). 0/200 were buy orders. I have never seen anything like this in my life.
The Japanese bond market is flashing a code red: ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/japan-bon… "In 2008, Japan was the quiet stabilizer in an unravelling world...Fast forward to 2025, and Japan is the epicentre of a potential sovereign debt crisis" Here we see U.S.-Japan bond spreads have collapsed…
JUST IN 🚨: U.S. Stock Market hits its most expensive valuation in history, surpassing the Dot Com Bubble and the run-up to the Great Depression 🤯
This is NVDA adjusted for volatility ahead of earnings. The high price with low volatility is extremely distant from its long-term exponential growth trendline. At the current level, it seems there is more risk than reward in the short/medium term. 600% above is significant.
$SPX I call this the simulation chart. Because it's near too damn perfect dating back to 2018! Everyone in Wall Street sees it. Every Fintwitter sees it. My blind dog who died 3 years ago still sees it. We are at a critical juncture here now testing the upper line of the…
BREAKING 🚨: U.S. Housing Market 39 of the Top 50 U.S. Metros have seen month-over-month housing price declines for the first time in history 🤯👀
2% inflation is a myth, or worse, a lie. Anyone living in the real world over the past five years knows that.
This is part of the conundrum ahead of Jackson Hole. If the US economy requires substantial rate cuts, why are companies perceived to be the most creditworthy since 1998 relative to the US government? Why are stocks at all time highs? Markets are sending conflicting signals.
Price changes over last year (July CPI report) Gas Utilities: +13.8% Electricity: +5.5% Used Cars: +4.8% Medical Care: +4.3% Food away from home: +3.9% Shelter: +3.7% Transportation: +3.5% Overall CPI: +2.7% Food at home: +2.2% New Cars: 0.4% Fuel Oil: -2.9% Gasoline: -9.5%
Yeah, imagine.
Market Crash Indicator: LEI vs SPX (1980-2025) We're currently living through the most disconnected period of divergence in generations between these two, with the Leading Economic Index dropping for over 3.5 years while SPX has shrugged it off and risen to new ATH after new ATH.…
USDJPY breaking back above 150.57 is meaningful. That level has acted like a pressure gauge in the past. When we hit it in 2022, Japan’s Ministry of Finance intervened. When we were above it in 2023 and early 2024, it signaled that markets were testing the Bank of Japan’s…
USDJPY breaking back above 150.57 is meaningful. That level has acted like a pressure gauge in the past. When we hit it in 2022, Japan’s Ministry of Finance intervened. When we were above it in 2023 and early 2024, it signaled that markets were testing the Bank of Japan’s… https://t.co/4wSh4ixjcf

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