John @market_sleuth
God is the source of my purpose: Job 42:2 | Started unraveling stock market riddles in 1992🔎📈📉 | I also play synthesizers. 🎹 Annapolis, MD Joined September 2022-
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John retweeted
$SPX Implied move for this week moving down to 86 points. The main focus will be on inflation, with CPI and PPI set to report midweek. In addition, $AAPL event on Tuesday could be a catalyst, though historically it has tended to be a “sell the news” type of reaction.
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Last story I’ll share from the event last Friday. When I arrived home from the NYSE my daughters quipped: “Did you talk to any women at the stock market daddy?” 🤣. I told them the ratio of men to women was 10-1 at the NYSE & they said: “It only takes 1!” Bless their hearts! ❤️
Growing up I was hardly the smartest person failing both trigonometry & calculus. In grad school at Johns Hopkins I had to leverage tutors just to pass statistics. We also grew up dirt poor. Of my 5 siblings only my older brother & I went to college by working odd jobs to pay for…
John retweeted
Long post. The crowd assumes the coming interest rate cuts will lead to a melt up, and data can be ignored. I see it differently. This is a fiscally driven cycle, and major fiscal contraction is starting to be seen. First , the current fiscal expansion— AI capex spending.…
Meeting Peter Tuchman, known as the “Einstein of Wall Street,” was one of the highlights yesterday when I was on the floor of the NYSE. He’s such a kind person & full of humor! He got his seat in 1988, a year after the 87’ crash. He said to me: “I just love it here!” ☺️🤝📈📉📈
Next week is busy one in the markets. Apple day & NFP annual revision 9/9, PPI 9/10, CPI 9/11 & Consumer Sentiment 9/12. So the best way to prepare for it all is to lift weights. 🤣
This kind of work deserves the loudest applause 💯👏🏼
This kind of work deserves the loudest applause 💯👏🏼
Memory Lane: On Friday Sept 7, 2007 the NFP issued the first negative jobs report since the bull market began in 2003. August showed net job losses of 4000 (later revised to a loss of 28,000). The S&P fell 1.4% that day. It fell further on Monday then rallied the rest of the week…
John retweeted
Three Questions That Changed My Trading When I first started journaling as a young trader, I realized most of it wasn’t very helpful. I’d write down trades, emotions, thoughts, but it didn’t actually help me understand where I truly was as a trader. The breakthrough came when I…
3 years ago today I opened my X account with zero followers. I was advised by a trading colleague to share my experience on the platform. Four snippets of advice from the last 3 years for new creators of trading / stock market content are: 1. Do not engage with rude trolls. Just…
What’s so neat about traders who aren’t show offs trying to ‘one up’ you is the bond we share. All you have to do is say as I did yesterday to a trader on the floor of the NYSE: “SPX pulled a ‘gap n trap’ this morning as the OR was obliterated” & boom! It’s like you were their…
John retweeted
The narrative just broke. The Fed isn’t cutting into strength anymore. It’s cutting into weakness.
Just met the coolest trader on the floor of NYSE!
It’s a lovely day in NY! In about an hour I’ll be heading to the floor of the NYSE. At least $SPY isn’t down 2% 🤣.
In the Q3-Q4 of 2000 & 2007 the market rallied on poor NFP reports in hopes of rate cuts. Then when the cuts came the market rallied briefly then tanked. Unemployed people can’t contribute to growth. The rate cuts that are coming will offer the best short ops in a long time. The…
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