John ProV1šØāš» @JohnProv1
Investor | Economics | Finance | Knowledge Seeker | ETF Nerd š± Time is your friend; impulse is your enemy. - John C. Bogle South East Texas Joined March 2023-
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Over past week, U.S. equity ETFs had largest inflows (>$1.7 billion), followed by government bond ETFs (slightly >$1.5 billion) ... cyclical sectors not loved as much as non-cyclicals; small caps out of favor and large caps in favor ā¦@DataArborā©
90 Second Video on what we are watching that could move the markets this week
Tech surged most today and has muscled its way back into third place YTD, trailing only Energy and Comm Serv ā¦ small caps rose across board today but NASDAQ outperformed, moving to second place YTD (though itās slightly trailing Russell 2000 thus far MTD)
Omg love this ... Austan Goolsbee on the Midwestern way of approaching policy, using a weather analogy: "there is no bad weather; there's only bad clothing. We'll deal with it."
April ISM Services PMI slipped into contraction at 49.4 vs. 52 est. & 51.4 prior ā¦ new orders at 52.2, prices paid up to 59.2, employment down to 45.9
On Investing: @KathyJones and @LizAnnSonders discuss this week's #Fed meeting and the implications for investors. šļø schwab.com/learn/story/feā¦
Nonfarm payroll comes in light at 175K with downward revision of 22K over past two months. Average hourly earnings rose only 0.2% to 3.9% year/year. Bond market is going to like this.
So... When will the Fed start cutting? š¤
Energy fell most today but is maintaining second place YTD for now; Utilities only sector to finish higher in April, with Real Estate falling most ā¦ small caps underperformed today and Russell 2000 finished lower by 7.1% in April (vs. S&P 500ās 4.2% drop)
Monday Chart Update Incoming! In this week's update: 1. Watching for a breadth thrust (chart below, 20 day highs haven't signaled a rush back in) Link and preview below ā¬ļø
90 Second Video on what we are watching that could move the markets this week
March PCE #inflation +2.7% year/year vs. +2.6%% est. & +2.5% in prior month ā¦ core +2.8% vs. +2.7% est. & +2.8% prior
GDP components with prior comps
Market pushes rate cut expectations down to one this year.
Ten-year treasury yields are testing the resistance at the 4.75% to 4.80%.
Q1 core pce rose by 3.7% - well above expectations. That's what is causing the selloff in bonds.
Over past week, U.S large-cap equity ETFs saw considerable interest with nearly $13 billion in inflows ... conversely, investors fled U.S. small caps and investment grade bonds ā¦@DataArborā©
90 seconds on what you need to know that could move the market this week
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May 7 $SCHD Recap Closed: $78.25 +0.15%š¢ Afterhours:$78.28+0.04%š¢ High: $78.66 Low: $78.19 Have a great nightš
Current SE Texas river levels and forecasts. #12NewsNowWeather 12NewsNow.com/weather
Wall Street's trying to extend its win streak Tuesday, but fresh catalysts are relatively scarce. Major indexes were mixed early on, while the benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield continued to forge a path lower. š: @JoeMazzolaCS schwab.com/learn/story/stā¦
Itās ššššššššš ššššššš¢ šš @BenWatsonCS breaks down the trends on the charts of $SPX, $UAL, & $CSX with @NPetallides: x.com/i/broadcasts/1ā¦
Symbols not a recommendation
Itās ššššššššš ššššššš¢ šš @BenWatsonCS breaks down the trends on the charts of $SPX, $UAL, & $CSX with @NPetallides: x.com/i/broadcasts/1ā¦
Seeing double tomorrow šØāš¦²āšØāš¦²ā S4E17 ONYX: talkvillepodcast.com/show
Wanted to share these very interesting and informative beginner level technical analysis videos from our content team, starting with this one on Bollinger Bands Check it out. Will add more throughout the week. Not a recommendation. schwab.com/learn/story/hoā¦
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Good Tuesday Morning C U Soon
Good Monday morning Friends ! Ready set GO ! @SchwabNetwork
Warm, humid, dry weather is forecast Wednesday ahead of scattered to numerous showers and storms late Thursday due to a cold front. Friday & Saturday look great with cool mornings and warm, sunny afternoons ahead of more rain Sunday. #12NewsNowWeather 12newsnow.com/article/weatheā¦
Looking forward to talking with the @bsurveillance teams Wednesday morning. Catch me on Bloomberg Radio/Youtube channel at 7am ET, then Bloomberg Surveillance TV at 8:30am ET.
My brain cannot handle this at 6:06pm ET
GPS tracking is not the satellites tracking the object, but the object tracking the satellites.
Major U.S. equity indexes finished mixed Tuesday, with renewed hopes for lower interest rates and a continuing slide in Treasury yields tempered by weakness in semiconductor shares and some earnings misses. ā”ļøLatest Closing Schwab Market Update: schwab.com/learn/story/stā¦
Mixed leadership today with both defensives and cyclicals outperforming; Cons Discr & Tech fell most but sit at opposite ends of YTD performance spectrum ā¦ Russell 2000 Growth outpaced peer indexes today and is outperforming thus far MTD
There's been almost no volatility to speak of so far this week. The 1-day VIX didn't break 10 on Monday or Tuesday.
Despite pared expectations, itās still likelier-than-not weāll see two, if not three, rate cuts from the Fed in 2024, says @DiMartinoBooth. š„ DiMartino Booth outlines why the FOMC has left the door open for an easing framework with @Cline_Woods:
Market on Close: āŖļø Current state of the bond market āŖļø Fed commentary āŖļø Earnings reports Nate Peterson and Collin Martin join @OJRenick on @SchwabNetwork's Big Picture Panel. Affiliation Disclosure: bit.ly/affiliationdisā¦ x.com/i/broadcasts/1ā¦
Does the 50%+ yield of $JEPY make it a better option than $JEPI? To answer that question, you need to properly understand the downside risks of each ETF. Read more š thestreet.com/etffocus/high-ā¦
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