Metaculus Prediction Updates @MetaculusAlert
A bot that tweets whenever the Metaculus (@metaculus) community prediction for a question (currently Ukraine and Monkeypox) changes significantly. metaculus.com Joined April 2021-
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How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) Community prediction: 76% ⬆️ +11% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1055…
How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (100,000) Community prediction: 18% ⬆️ +11% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1055…
How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) Community prediction: 90% ⬆️ +15% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1055…
How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (100,000) Community prediction: 18% ⬆️ +11% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1055…
How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) Community prediction: 76% ⬆️ +11% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1055…
How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) Community prediction: 90% ⬆️ +15% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1055…
How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (100,000) Community prediction: 18% ⬆️ +11% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1055…
How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) Community prediction: 90% ⬆️ +15% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1055…
How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) Community prediction: 89% ⬆️ +14% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1055…
Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? Community prediction: 65% ⬇️ -15% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1008…
How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) Community prediction: 88% ⬆️ +13% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1055…
Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? Community prediction: 70% ⬇️ -10% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1008…
How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) Community prediction: 86% ⬆️ +11% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1055…
Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? Community prediction: 70% ⬇️ -10% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1008…
What will be the U.S. FY 2023 budget (in $ millions) for the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA)? Community prediction: 846 ⬆️ +11 in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1161…
Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? Community prediction: 73% ⬆️ +11% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1074…
How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (100,000) Community prediction: 35% ⬆️ +15% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1055…
How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (100,000) Community prediction: 33% ⬆️ +13% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1055…
How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (100,000) Community prediction: 32% ⬆️ +12% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1055…
How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (100,000) Community prediction: 32% ⬆️ +12% in the last 24 hours metaculus.com/questions/1055…
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