Metaculus @metaculus
Metaculus is a forecasting platform that optimally aggregates quantitative predictions of future events. News & Announcements: https://t.co/EnjbicboHx metaculus.com Santa Cruz, CA Joined November 2015-
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Xi's been looking at our forecasts again - metaculus.com/questions/353/…
Xi's been looking at our forecasts again - metaculus.com/questions/353/…
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Metaculus retweeted
Hoy! Día internacional del actuario. Felicitaciones a todos mis colegas! Y la Asociación Colombiana de Actuarios y @metaculus lanzan torneo de pronóstico de aumento salario mínimo, con 1000USD en premios metaculus.com/tournament/col… linkedin.com/company/asocia…
Hoy! Día internacional del actuario. Felicitaciones a todos mis colegas! Y la Asociación Colombiana de Actuarios y @metaculus lanzan torneo de pronóstico de aumento salario mínimo, con 1000USD en premios metaculus.com/tournament/col… linkedin.com/company/asocia… https://t.co/QwvybbRwfk
🏆 The Fall Metaculus Cup is live: Weekly questions on everything from geopolitics to reality TV. $5k in prizes split between forecasting accuracy & quality comments. This week: • US-Venezuela conflict • French PM • Big Brother winner Get started: metaculus.com/tournament/met…
𝗠𝗶𝗻𝗶𝗕𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗵 & AIB Fall 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗹𝗶𝘃𝗲! $58,000 in prizes for forecasting bots competing against humans on real-world questions. There's plenty of time to build, compete, and help benchmark AI's forecasting capabilities. See links in the quoted thread for more.
𝗠𝗶𝗻𝗶𝗕𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗵 & AIB Fall 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗹𝗶𝘃𝗲! $58,000 in prizes for forecasting bots competing against humans on real-world questions. There's plenty of time to build, compete, and help benchmark AI's forecasting capabilities. See links in the quoted thread for more.
[Grabbing you by the lapels] When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?metaculus.com/questions/3684…
Metaculus retweeted
@secparam Metaculus's median date for when quantum computers will break modern cryptography is 2040: metaculus.com/questions/3684… Seemingly about a 20% chance it will be before end of 2030.
Metaculus retweeted
Excited that Open Phil is funding this @metaculus forecasting tournament on the future budgets and spending of NIH and NSF, and surprised that forecasters are expecting basically no cuts
We're testing whether AI systems can accurately predict real-world events: For our Q2 Benchmark, 96 forecasting bots competed on 300+ real-world questions for $30,000 in prizes. A hearty congratulations to the winners: 🥇 Panshul42 - $7,550, and they've also generously…
Which pathway are we on? Tool AIs or d/acc? Forecast questions drawn from AI Pathways scenarios (contributors: @VitalikButerin, @saffronhuang, @iamtrask). Contest link in quoted post. $5k in prizes for insightful comments.
Which pathway are we on? Tool AIs or d/acc? Forecast questions drawn from AI Pathways scenarios (contributors: @VitalikButerin, @saffronhuang, @iamtrask). Contest link in quoted post. $5k in prizes for insightful comments. https://t.co/q7yEKCCA08
• Will OpenAI, Meta, or Google commit to limiting AI autonomy? • Will AI guide government economic policy? Share your thoughts on questions like these in our new contest, part of AI Pathways. $5,000 in prizes for insightful comments. Metaculus link in quoted thread below.
• Will OpenAI, Meta, or Google commit to limiting AI autonomy? • Will AI guide government economic policy? Share your thoughts on questions like these in our new contest, part of AI Pathways. $5,000 in prizes for insightful comments. Metaculus link in quoted thread below.
Obergefell v. Hodges: metaculus.com/questions/1068…
And we love Molly working at Metaculus. So that's another perk we didn't mention in the job postings. - Get to work with Molly. Learn about other (lesser) perks of our - Head of Consulting Services & - Product Designer — roles here: apply.workable.com/metaculus/
And we love Molly working at Metaculus. So that's another perk we didn't mention in the job postings. - Get to work with Molly. Learn about other (lesser) perks of our - Head of Consulting Services & - Product Designer — roles here: apply.workable.com/metaculus/
Metaculus retweeted
I llllloooove working at Metaculus. If you have any questions feel free to reach out, my DMs are open.
I llllloooove working at Metaculus. If you have any questions feel free to reach out, my DMs are open.
We're hiring: - a Head of Consulting Services - a Product Designer Fully remote. Flexible hours. apply.workable.com/metaculus/
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