Metaculus is a forecasting platform that optimally aggregates quantitative predictions of future events.
News & Announcements: https://t.co/EnjbicboHxmetaculus.com Santa Cruz, CAJoined November 2015
@metaculus is hiring for a head of consulting services! We're fully remote, the team is excellent, come work with me. Cat for visibility?? Link in comment
Solid write up of @metaculus pro forecaster predictions and reasoning on NIH and NSF budgets and (crucially) actual obligations. Forecasters expect both agencies to avoid major cuts, and actually spend the money appropriated.
Solid write up of @metaculus pro forecaster predictions and reasoning on NIH and NSF budgets and (crucially) actual obligations. Forecasters expect both agencies to avoid major cuts, and actually spend the money appropriated.
New: The US Democracy Threat Index - a collaboration between Bright Line Watch & @metaculus that will aggregate real-time forecasts of risks to democracy across 39 questions of concern. Go make predictions now! (links below)
24K Followers 4K FollowingGeopolitics, prediction markets. If you think I'm wrong, community note me. Capital case tweets are literal, others less. I like most people when I meet them.
22K Followers 321 FollowingGlobally ranked top 20 forecaster 🎯
AI is not a normal technology. I'm working at @IAPSai to shape AI for global prosperity and human freedom.
110K Followers 6K FollowingSearching for the numinous
🇦🇺 🇨🇦, currently live in 🇺🇸
Research @AsteraInstitute
https://t.co/maezekzRUb
https://t.co/2dWwZKrvrn
276K Followers 1K FollowingData to understand global problems and research to make progress against them.
Founder of @OurWorldInData / Professor at @UniofOxford's @BlavatnikSchool
7K Followers 369 FollowingDedicated to the protection and thriving of sentient beings. PhD in evo bio.🔸
Executive Director of @PauseAIUS. Opinions not necessarily those of the org.
2K Followers 352 FollowingBreaking news and forecasting updates from Metaculus user Jgalt.
Tweets are not legal or investment advice and must not be relied upon as statements of fact.
38K Followers 5K FollowingViews of a Transhuman neo-Buddhist from the future on sociology, artificial intelligence, mathematics, philosophy, neonoir film, and the post-singularity era.
3K Followers 696 FollowingEffective altruism / AI safety / Peaceful music-maker.
AI Events Program Lead at the Centre for Effective Altruism (views my own)
20K Followers 9K FollowingProgramme Director @ARIA_research | accelerate mathematical modelling with AI and categorical systems theory » build safe transformative AI » cancel heat death
37 Followers 6K FollowingNO executive function NO sense of self ABSOLUTE-LY cooked. cr absolute series, worlds finest; cw alice in borderland, what if and peacemaker!!
164 Followers 409 Following20 🇮🇳 | engineering @UofIllinois and partnerships @ILL_Blockchain | interested in all things health & fitness, crypto, and craftsmanship
5K Followers 1K FollowingEconomist, lecturer in critical thinking, podcaster at @45Graus and author («Política a 45 Graus»). Also, digital ambassador with @digitaleu.
209K Followers 102 FollowingThe original AI alignment person. Understanding the reasons it's difficult since 2003.
This is my serious low-volume account. Follow @allTheYud for the rest.
24K Followers 4K FollowingGeopolitics, prediction markets. If you think I'm wrong, community note me. Capital case tweets are literal, others less. I like most people when I meet them.
22K Followers 321 FollowingGlobally ranked top 20 forecaster 🎯
AI is not a normal technology. I'm working at @IAPSai to shape AI for global prosperity and human freedom.
110K Followers 6K FollowingSearching for the numinous
🇦🇺 🇨🇦, currently live in 🇺🇸
Research @AsteraInstitute
https://t.co/maezekzRUb
https://t.co/2dWwZKrvrn
34K Followers 828 FollowingExplaining AI Alignment to anyone who'll stand still for long enough, on YouTube and Discord.
Music, movies, microcode, and high-speed pizza delivery
90K Followers 717 FollowingProf of economics at George Mason, co-founder of the online education platform https://t.co/yocRRym80n. Advisor to firms, incl MultiversX, TEAL, Bluechip, 0L Network +
34K Followers 6K FollowingA mathematician/entrepreneur in social science. Tweets about psychology, society, rationality, tech, science, and philosophy. Founder of https://t.co/2YGraOwo77
2K Followers 1K FollowingCo-Executive Director @MATSprogram, Co-Founder @LondonSafeAI, Regrantor @Manifund | PhD in physics | Accelerate AI alignment + build a better future for all
3K Followers 17 FollowingHigh-volume account of @ESYudkowsky, the original AI alignment guy. If it's missing punctuation, it's humor. If you can't tell, it's probably also humor.
8K Followers 3K FollowingProfessor of Political Science, University of Chicago, specializing in security affairs. Founding Director, Chicago Project on Security & Threats (CPOST).
2K Followers 492 FollowingWe produce research and public resources on democratic attitudes and political behavior. Founder/Director @seanjwestwood and co-director @ylelkes.
4K Followers 2K FollowingAnyone can be wrong on the internet but only some of us can pull off getting paid for it. currently: horizon scanning at @renphil21; writer, https://t.co/Ve3B9MMFxD.
2K Followers 467 Following#1 Paid Prediction Market Newsletter | Polymarket | Geopolitics | Economy | If you follow the herd you are sure to get slaughtered
2K Followers 14 FollowingThe AI benchmark for predictive intelligence, advancing collective foresight via human–AI collaboration, from SIGMA Lab @UChicagoCS @DSI_UChicago
2K Followers 5K FollowingExecutive Director, @CoalitionPolFor. Host, @SSGamblers. Author of book American Universities in the Middle East and U.S. Foreign Policy.
245K Followers 2K FollowingSign up for my new newsletter! (Link below) Also: Co-author of Abundance, host of Plain English, and contributing writer at The Atlantic.
374K Followers 69 FollowingNot your father's search engine. Answering all of your questions on X: 1️⃣ Ask a question | 2️⃣ Tag me at the end | 3️⃣ Get answers.
123 Followers 438 FollowingForecasting analyst and question writer/resolver at https://t.co/nlgymEJdUP. Season 4 Superforecaster Good Judgment Project. Pro forecaster at Rand.
2K Followers 740 FollowingHumanity is great and I want it to keep existing.
Comms at @MIRIBerkeley. Former math teacher. Enjoyer of sci-fi, games, forecasting, psychology. Views my own.
8K Followers 951 FollowingAI could be the best or worst technology we ever invent.
Let's make it go well.
Co-founder of Nonlinear & CE.
Coaching & career advice: https://t.co/mU7FRQFq5a
72K Followers 4K FollowingFounder of Positive Sum Strategies. Founded @DataProgress. I work with companies and non-profits to achieve ambitious policy goals. seanadrianmc @ gmail