Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

Run your own NFL simulations, even mid-game when lineups change. Compare projections to props and prediction markets. Data, not advice. Built by @Duilen. neutralzonelabs.com Denver, CO Joined September 2026

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

16 minutes ago

@SleeperNFL His yards per carry undersell him: 4.1 ranks 18th of 30 backs with 40+ carries, but his 47% success rate is 5th. He's also had 57% of Arizona's carries.

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

18 minutes ago

@ProFootballTalk The Chargers' offense was two different units with and without Alt last season: +0.11 EPA per play with him on the field (5th-best rate), -0.09 without him (27th), on 291 snaps with him.

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

27 minutes ago

@RapSheet Diggs has drawn the most targets (24%), but McLaurin has done more with his: +0.41 EPA per target to Diggs' +0.15, and 6.4 yards per target to 5.5.

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

2 hours ago

@UnderdogNFL Travis Etienne has been the lead back anyway: 33% of New Orleans' carries to Kamara's 27%, with a 48% success rate to Kamara's 32%.

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

2 hours ago

@AdamSchefter Two lost fumbles explain most of Swift's efficiency gap: he's at -0.11 EPA per carry, +0.04 without them. Monangai, out Sunday, is at +0.10 with none.

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

3 hours ago

@AdamSchefter @jamisonhensley The drop may be smaller than expected: Baltimore scored 3.4 points per drive in Huntley's 3 starts last season, 2.3 in Lamar's 12. Those 3 came against defenses ranked 11th, 19th and 22nd.

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

3 hours ago

@UnderdogNFL @JClarkNBCS Philly loses its most efficient runner: Barkley is at 5.1 yards and 0.00 EPA per carry. Tank Bigsby (3.3, -0.17) and Will Shipley (3.4, -0.22) have most of the rest.

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

3 hours ago

@minakimes The volume hasn't caught up to the efficiency: Buffalo's designed runs succeed 53% of the time (2nd) at 4.9 yards a carry (4th), but it runs on 48% of neutral early downs, 16th.

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

4 hours ago

@NFL_DovKleiman 1) Barry Sanders 2) Jim Brown 3) Walter Payton 4) Eric Dickerson 5) Emmitt Smith 6) Adrian Peterson 7) Bo Jackson 8) LT 9) Derrick Henry 10) Terrell Davis

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

4 hours ago

It depends how you are grading though, I tend to favor peak performance so players like Terrell Davis get elevated and players like Emmitt Smith go down a rung. Based purely on peak performance, I think AP has a solid case for top 3-5. But when factoring everything in, I still have him around 5-7.

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

5 hours ago

@CourtneyRCronin Chicago loses the more efficient half of its backfield: Monangai has 42% of the carries at 5.4 yards and +0.10 EPA per carry. D'Andre Swift is at 4.5 and -0.11.

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

5 hours ago

@nflrums It wasn't a game-manager win: +0.23 EPA per dropback, to Dak's -0.08, on 19 of 25 for 189 yards, a touchdown and no interceptions.

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

5 hours ago

@SharpFootball The climb in raw targets: 2, 3, 4, then 9 against the Jets. The other side: Green Bay has allowed 33 tight end receiving yards a game, 6th-fewest in the NFL.

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

5 hours ago

@DougKyed Gonzalez has been the swing piece: New England allowed -0.12 EPA per play with him on the field last season, 2nd-best of any defense's rate, and +0.03 without him (22nd).

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

6 hours ago

@LombardiHimself The hits are already showing up: Seattle's QB has been hit on 18% of dropbacks (26th), though the sack rate (4.7%, 12th) and EPA per dropback (10th) have held up.

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

6 hours ago

@SleeperNFL He's doing it on fewer looks: 284 yards on 23 targets, while Carnell Tate has 268 on 32. Seven rookies since 2017 had more through 4 games, led by Puka Nacua's 501.

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

7 hours ago

@SharpFootball The opponents changed: weeks 1-2 were Tennessee and Green Bay (26th and 24th in offensive EPA per play), weeks 3-4 Detroit and Chicago (6th and 7th). Cleveland ranks 17th.

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

22 hours ago

@DraftKings @dallascowboys We project CeeDee Lamb for 75 receiving yards and 0.3 touchdowns tonight (season avg 81 and 0.3). Based on 5,000 simulated games. Data, not advice.

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Neutral Zone Labs @NeutralZoneLabs

22 hours ago

@SheilKapadia The schedule eases after Sunday: Jacksonville is 2nd in EPA margin per play, but Carolina, Dallas, Washington and the Giants rank 9th to 21st. Philly is 31st (-0.18).