Nika A @NikaA59

Mark my words based on real world experience from 25+ years. Russia has never had a genuine intention to negotiate a peace deal in the first phase of the war on Ukraine. Its modus operandi against Ukraine between 2014-2022 was attack-negotiate-cease fire-attack, rinse & repeat.

Daniel Szeligowski @dszeligowski

2 weeks ago

Mark my words based on real world experience from 25+ years. Russia has never had a genuine intention to negotiate a peace deal in the first phase of the war on Ukraine. Its modus operandi against Ukraine between 2014-2022 was attack-negotiate-cease fire-attack, rinse & repeat.

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We owe it to Ukrainians to be faithful in our support. Hear Slavoj Žižek's message and join us tomorrow at 1:30 pm in London and across the country in solidarity with the Ukrainian people ✊🇺🇦

Anders Puck Nielsen, a military expert, has published a YouTube video in which he discusses whether Russia can indeed attack NATO and whether a Russia-NATO war is really possible. His line of thought looks logical to me, so I want to share his conclusions with you. Mr.…

I think people dismissing the idea that Russia would attack a NATO state are woefully clueless. If Russia wins in Ukraine, and gets in Trump a President willing to abandon NATO, Putin will strike NATO. This isn’t a low-probability event, it’s Russia’s explicit goal in Europe.

11. The old administrative border of the USSR is the only solid & objective principle for drawing the border between what is essentially two Soviet provinces slightly rebranded Anything else will lead to a long bloody mess with no clear winner

Being Ukrainian and getting lectured on the perils of NATO by people from NATO countries feels like living through a zombie apocalypse, trying to get into a bunker, and having people in the bunker tell you you’re making a mistake because the food in the bunker isn’t that good.

The most useful razors and rules I've found: 1. Bragging Razor - If someone brags about their success or happiness, assume it’s half what they claim If someone downplays their success or happiness, assume it’s double what they claim 2. High Agency Razor - If unsure who to work…

1/ I get asked a lot about the possibility of a ceasefire in the 🇷🇺🇺🇦 war. Short answer - it's an illusion. Long answer in the thread.

The positional war is not the result of fundamental realities in modern warfare that can only be changed with a technological or tactical revolution. Neither does it rest on a permanent parity in military capacity between Russia & Ukraine regardless of Western support to Kyiv. 🧵

Institute for the Study of War @TheStudyofWar

6 months ago

The positional war is not the result of fundamental realities in modern warfare that can only be changed with a technological or tactical revolution. Neither does it rest on a permanent parity in military capacity between Russia & Ukraine regardless of Western support to Kyiv. 🧵

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Kaiser Wilhelm might win the war tbh. Entente counteroffensive was a disaster. Clemenceau should've negotiated a peace deal when it was possible.

Up until the German invasion of the Soviet Union in June 1941, Stalin had supplied the Nazi war machine with 1.75 million tons of wheat, 23,000 tons of chrome, 214,000 tons of phosphate, & 440,000 tons of rubber, wolfram, copper, tin, soybeans & whale oil in total.

🧵I’ve been looking as the relative analytical contributions made by universities, think tanks and research institutes to our understanding of the drivers of the Russian invasion of #Ukraine, including pre-invasion assessments, projected outcomes and how the war would unfold. 1/5

The Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valerii Zaluzhnyi said in an interview with The Washington Post he wants to liberate Crimea as soon as he has the means. "I will do something. I don't care - no one will stop me," Zaluzhnyi emphasized.

The Washington Post @washingtonpost

10 months ago

The Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valerii Zaluzhnyi said in an interview with The Washington Post he wants to liberate Crimea as soon as he has the means. "I will do something. I don't care - no one will stop me," Zaluzhnyi emphasized.

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The Kherson that floated away is now arriving onshore in Odesa region. Locals are reporting seeing roofs, sofas, and even animals. The dog apparently survived by surfing the 140 km on a wooden board.

The relationship between the human mind and body has been has challenged great thinkers for millennia, including the philosophers Aristotle and Descartes. The answer, scientists have now found, appears to reside in the very structure of the brain reut.rs/3MXiPTD 1/3

🇬🇪We have compiled and translated some of the most memorable posters from the large-scale protests that engulfed #Georgia from March 7th in protest against the controversial draft law "On the Transparency of Foreign Influence." See them below 👇

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Left campism, at its root, seems to be a failure to cope with defeat. It doesn’t appear to be strategic, tactical, or ideological, but, a sort of nihilist response, a spoiled child reaction, to being irrelevant—and in that sense grows from Western chauvinism. /1

Vladislav Surkov, a major Russian figure behind developing the so-called Minsk Agreements between Russia and Ukraine, has just confessed that the agreements, as he worked on them, were never meant to be implemented. 1/2

This thread will make you a Zotero expert even if you have never used: It will teach you: A. How to to automate your citations and references using Zotero B. How to take notes in Zotero C. How to add a new citation style to Zotero

It's been five months since I started to write occasional threads about the importance of empire and imperialism in Russian history (and a bit about Ukraine, too). It's time to sum it all up by making a thread of threads. Let's go: 🧵 1/