Patrick McCarroll @PatrickMTGnerd
Burleson, TX Joined October 2018-
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You can't make this up: After months of anticipation of Fed rate cuts, Fannie Mae says mortgage rates will still be 5.9% at the end of NEXT year. That's just ~60 basis points below current levels. Why is this the case? Because inflation is rising, deficit spending is out of…
You can't make this up: After months of anticipation of Fed rate cuts, Fannie Mae says mortgage rates will still be 5.9% at the end of NEXT year. That's just ~60 basis points below current levels. Why is this the case? Because inflation is rising, deficit spending is out of… https://t.co/jBu34wsCJ0
Fannie Mae on if we want affordable homes again: 1. Prices must crash by -38%, or: 2. Incomes must rise by +60%, or: 3. Mortgage rates must crash by -415 bps For any of these 3 things, something massive would have to happen to the macroeconomy. How did we end up here?
Fannie Mae on if we want affordable homes again: 1. Prices must crash by -38%, or: 2. Incomes must rise by +60%, or: 3. Mortgage rates must crash by -415 bps For any of these 3 things, something massive would have to happen to the macroeconomy. How did we end up here? https://t.co/4y6aMi9qlS
Lennar reported that in Q3 2025 it spent incentives averaging 14.3% of the final sales price. See what the builders are doing? If you have a $400,000 house, they're spending $57,200 to buy the rate down, add shit whatever. So the problem is, if the homeowner needs to sell that…
lol
BREAKING: Job postings on Indeed fell -8% YoY in the week ending September 12th, marking the second-lowest level since February 2021. Postings have now declined for 3-straight years. The current number of available vacancies is only 4.3% above the pre-pandemic levels seen in…
You need to be prepared for a market downturn in October.
Lennar is showing you what has to happen in the housing market to drive sales. They've cut prices 22%. And are now below pre-pandemic pricing. The result? Sales orders have spiked. Lennar's margins have compressed to 17.5% as a result of the price cuts. But that's just how it…
Now show the previous play where #6 sacked Arch and stood over him after the play was dead.
Now show the previous play where #6 sacked Arch and stood over him after the play was dead.
So, he had no reason to end a man’s life and leave two kids to grow up without a father. Cool story bro
So, he had no reason to end a man’s life and leave two kids to grow up without a father. Cool story bro
Hmmmmm
Lennar, America's 2nd largest builder, has cut their average selling price 22% from the pandemic peak. And their most recent quarter's net sales prices is now lower than pre-pandemic. This is where the U.S. Housing Market is heading in 2026.
Sounds like they want to punish the agent for doing a fantastic job! She quickly defined a property meeting the needs of the consumer and sold the vacating home equally as fast. Sounds like she was well worth the money considering the performance.
Sounds like they want to punish the agent for doing a fantastic job! She quickly defined a property meeting the needs of the consumer and sold the vacating home equally as fast. Sounds like she was well worth the money considering the performance.
Fed rate cuts don't lower long-term mortgage rates. But PIMCO has a plan to get spreads down and lower 30-year fixed rates anywhere from 20-50 bps. Simply by reinvesting MBS roll-off proceeds and/or selling legacy MBS and buying new ones.
FOMC statement redline: the biggest highlight is the addition of "downside risks to employment have risen" the clarification that "jobs gains have slowed" and that the "unemployment rate has edged up" This is an insurance cut and is the first of many
Powell: Hope 2% inflation is achieved by 2028 So 7 years above target? Wow #MacroEdge
Powell admitted the Fed has no idea where inflation will be in the future. At any point in time, they just assume it will return to their 2% target in two years. This is not really a forecast, but a goal. In reality, it’s wishful thinking disguised as a legitimate forecast.
@Geiger_Capital “Atlanta Fed is now projecting that Q3 GDP will be +3.4%” Ai spending with zero job creation. The US GDP would be negative without it.
The quality of CPI inflation data continues to deteriorate: In August, 36% of CPI prices were estimated, up from 32% in July. Normally, BLS calculates CPI inflation by gathering ~90,000 monthly price quotes across 200 product and service categories. When price data is missing,…
Folks - this is why no one is buying houses. Income growth is 21.9% since 2019. Mortgage cost growth is 91.9%. Costs to buy have gone up 4x faster than incomes. Not sustainable.
🚨This is INSANE: The US government has paid a record $1.2 TRILLION in interest on its public debt over the last 12 months. This makes up nearly a QUARTER of the government's revenue. All while the total federal debt is rising by ~$1 TRILLION every 100 days.
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