Reid Culp @ReidCulp
Advice to Grow and Protect Multigenerational Wealth | CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ | Chartered Financial Analyst® tagstonecapital.com Charlotte, NC Joined December 2017-
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The S&P 500 is about to be up 8 days in a row and >6% during the win streak. 3 of the past 4 times that happened it was >20% a year later. Better than avg returns across the board going out a year. More clues the lows are indeed in and this isn't a bear market rally.
Jevons paradox strikes again! As AI gets more efficient and accessible, we will see its use skyrocket, turning it into a commodity we just can't get enough of. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_pa…
For those interested, my Quantitative Finance paper on bitcoin, dubbed the "bitcoin black paper". 1) not a currency, 2) not a store a value, 3) not an inflation hedge, 4) does not protect ag. "tyranny", 5) not decentralized. Effectively worth exactly 0. arxiv.org/pdf/2106.14204…
How did sectors do the first month after President Trump won in 2016 and then what happened the next year? Energy, small caps, and financials soared, but then didn't do well all that well. Tech was weak, then was the top group. Awesome chart from @gilbert3142 of…
No, don't blindly invest in only seasonality, but we just left the worst two months and are now in the best two months of the year during an election year.
Officially the second 5% mild correction of '24 for the S&P 500. The average year tends to see more than three a year.
Umm, so we shared this chart in January (but it was bullish then). It showed that if you had a lame duck President stocks peaked on July 18th. If you the President was up for re-election things tended to be just fine. S&P 500 peaked on July 16 this year so far. 🤔
Well said by @awealthofcs on valuations. The top 10 stocks are pricey, but the rest aren't too bad.
We've shared this a lot, but it continues to play out. Yes, the first yr of the new bull was weak, but history said yr 2 would just play catch up. That is absolutely happening. Up 53% now from Oct '22, but avg bull two years off lows is 58%. A little more room before Oct?
The S&P 500 up close to 4% in June is really strong for historically a weak month. But green in June during an election year is perfectly normal, as no month is up more often than June.
Can this rally continue? Be aware that July has been up nine years in a row for the S&P 500. Over the past decade? Higher 90% of the time (tied with November for the best) and up 3.1% on avg (second only to Nov).
Stocks tend to do well after a 20% gain, so solid gains in '24 shouldn't be very surprising. What is surprising is just how strong they are. Only 4 out of 20 times did the next year gain 20%. Long way to go, but this year could do it again.
On this, the 100th day of 2024, we celebrate the exponential increase in the number of US Centenarians. Currently, 77% of those over 100 years old are women.
Let's take a breath and remember that your average year sees: * More than 7 separate 3% dips * More than 3 separate 5% mild corrections * A 10% correction once a year * A bear market every 3.5 years The 2024 max peak to trough so far is only 2.0%.
I often get asked how @TheSolo401k compares to a SEP IRA. In short, Solo 401k plans have: - bigger contributions - Roth accounts - borrow $50k from your 401k - invest in alternative assets The Solo 401k is the evolved SEP
I often get asked how @TheSolo401k compares to a SEP IRA. In short, Solo 401k plans have: - bigger contributions - Roth accounts - borrow $50k from your 401k - invest in alternative assets The Solo 401k is the evolved SEP
🇺🇸 S&P 500 Being prepared for market volatility is crucial for wealth creation. Since 1980, the peak-to-trough pullback within a given year has averaged 14.3% 👉 isabelnet.com/?s=S%26P+500 h/t @RyanDetrick #markets #sp500 $spx #spx #drawdown #stocks #returns #stockmarket #equities
When the S&P 500 is >10% YTD at the end of June the next 6 months do well, much better than avg. But if the year before was negative (like now) things are even better. Next 6 mo up median of 12.4% and higher 89% of time. We remain OW equities and would buy weakness.
Are financial headlines causing you worry? Discover six proven investment principles recommended by Dimensional Fund Advisors and other experts in the field. tagstonecapital.com/banking-on-inv… #longterminvesting #investmenttips #principles
Volatility is the toll we pay to invest. 7 times a year stocks dip 3% 3 times a yr is a 5% mild correction About once a year a 10% correction Every 1.5 years a 15% severe correction And every 2.7 years is a bear market
Every time the S&P 500 had a 20%+ decline or more in Midterm Election year, 1-year later the market rallied ~30% or more. BIG sample, BIG cyclicality, BIG gains! $SPX $SPY $ES_F $QQQ $DIA

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