Seth Walder @SethWalder
ESPN Sports Analytics Writer. DMs open. espn.com/analytics Brooklyn Joined October 2009-
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Grades for Minnesota's two trades: espn.com/nfl/draft2024/…
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I still can't believe the Falcons picked Penix Jr. at 8.
Seth Walder retweeted
Trading up from 33 to 32 is maybe the worst thing you can do. Greatest gap in terms of rookie salary. 5th year option has lost a lot of value not that it's fully guaranteed.
We have our first rule #2 violation (non-QB edition) with the 49ers selecting Ricky Pearsall at No. 31
We have our first rule #2 violation (non-QB edition) with the 49ers selecting Ricky Pearsall at No. 31
Seth Walder retweeted
According to ESPN's Draft Day Predictor, there was just a 5% chance that Terrion Arnold would be available at the 24th pick.
I think the draft pick trade market is fascinating, particularly the contrast in prices that sometimes occurs. Detroit and Minnesota both traded up tonight. But the Vikings paid much more to do it.
Who will still be on the board at pick No. 32? Live update through 24 selections.
Lions surrender a fringe 3rd/4th of extra value for this trade-up, per our draft pick valuations.
Seth Walder retweeted
Uhh he's a defensive player he will be available on Day 2
Uhh he's a defensive player he will be available on Day 2
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Fontenot on Penix: If he sits for four or five years, that’s a great problem to have because we’re doing so well at that position. #Falcons
I guarantee you every trade up, successful and unsuccessful, comes with conviction. The Dolphins were confident in Dion Jordan, Bears in Trubisky, 49ers in Trey Lance
@ArifHasanNFL Arif, you do great work. But I appreciate the Vikings “losing” a deal if it means they have conviction about their selections. We’ve spent years trading down and it hasn’t resulted in anything tangible. We have nine figures of cap space next year. Let’s play!
@ASAP_Server @SethWalder The value of the option is overblown especially at 32.
@SethWalder Have to think they are looking to trade out of 32 and this gives them time to work out a deal. Rarely are 1st round trades anywhere near this.
tbh i can see why they decided leaking team plans to kirk wasn't the world's best idea
From Kirk Cousins’ agent Mike McCartney on the #Falcons’ selecting QB Michael Penix Jr. eighth overall.
Kirk Cousins was the most expensive smokescreen in sports history.
The Falcons called Kirk Cousins when they were on the clock to let him know. From what I learned, Cousins understood a QB would be considered but he did not believe his successor would be taken in the first round. I’m told he’s a bit stunned.
ok not that one
I feel sorry for @FourVerts but this is tremendous content
Next Ben Stats: the Falcons are the first team in NFL history to give a quarterback $45 million dollars per year, then draft a different quarterback at 8 overall, and not tell the first guy about the second guy
Uhh he's a defensive player he will be available on Day 2
After 14 picks, here's Dallas Turner's updated availability chart.
We're so back
Our server is getting overwhelmed. Apologies. We're working on it.
Live predictor updates espnanalytics.com/draft-predicto…
Goodell has no tie and a few buttons undone. He’s one of the cool kids! He’s hip! He and Eminem are buds!
Quick guide of what spot each team could potentially trade up to with a "fair" 2-for-1 trade tonight according the Jimmy Johnson trade value chart
*Rips up mock*
Not tipping picks this evening but the Chicago Bears appear to have zeroed in on selecting Caleb Williams with the top overall pick tonight
A reminder ahead of tonight's first round of how the 1st round salaries rank within the current market at each position:
This is an incredible tool!
The simulator was also updated today off the latest mocks! espnanalytics.com/draft-sim/
I wonder what analytics staffers from Ivy League schools infiltrating NFL teams will be sinisterly whispering in their owners' ears tonight.
@SethWalder I was getting stuff like this in August and after one half of football the conversation was over
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