The Columnist 🤷♂️ @Sime0nStylites
Former Sage. Not ascetic. Best years far behind him. thecolumnist.substack.com/welcome Joined October 2016-
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Excellent piece - much more thoughtful than most of the commentary out there.
Excellent piece - much more thoughtful than most of the commentary out there.
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Out of curiosity, does anyone know how asylum seekers are traveling from rUK to NI? Apologies if this is a stupid question.
Fortunately these guys are likely not to be in charge again for a long, long time.
Fortunately these guys are likely not to be in charge again for a long, long time.
This is broadly in line with numerous estimates though worth pointing out there’s likely to be more Brexit costs to come.
This is broadly in line with numerous estimates though worth pointing out there’s likely to be more Brexit costs to come.
Everyone will be astonished to hear…it’s all the fault of the Europeans… telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/…
Sell.
Problem for center right let alone right wing commentators…given where we are now…a complet lack of credibility?
The Columnist 🤷♂️ retweeted
A crisis of trust in our politics spells trouble for the government - analysis from me of exclusive polling by @YouGov for @SkyNews news.sky.com/story/a-crisis…
Happy to be in agreement with John Curtice on this. The curious thing is that his argument is pretty obvious but remains (for the moment) very undersubscribed.
Happy to be in agreement with John Curtice on this. The curious thing is that his argument is pretty obvious but remains (for the moment) very undersubscribed.
The Columnist 🤷♂️ retweeted
Big fan of Liam's description of politics at the end of this, along with the wry description of what critiques of objectivity ask us to think about.
Big fan of Liam's description of politics at the end of this, along with the wry description of what critiques of objectivity ask us to think about.
I forgot the most important point - people need to take actual responsibility for the failure.
I forgot the most important point - people need to take actual responsibility for the failure.
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3K Followers 860 Following Historian of religions and esotericism. Classics. Languages. Bibliophile, ailuromaniac. Liberal / social democrat. INFP.@Sime0nStylites I think the last three words of your tweet may be the crucial ones. I am likely to share thoughts on the UK-EU position in the coming weeks, less on the other challenges.
Some useful facts & numbers in this thread.
The current disagreement between Ireland and the UK concerning asylum applicants is another outcome of Brexit.
@alice No sorry thirties are New York, lovely brownstone in Brooklyn
@mickeyhynes Yes Mickey that's written in the tweet, did you miss the bit of the tweet that very specifically stated that
developing a theory that - assuming you have the money and a career that allows you to do that - the ideal life is to spend your twenties in London, your thirties in New York then your forties in Paris
Luke's excellent point here reflects why all the takes that the Tories will be 'out of power for a generation' will be as questionable as when we said the same about Labour post GE-2019. If Lab win in 2024, they will have to earn re-election. It's really not guaranteed.
I’m as guilty as anyone. But how wrong all those received wisdom assumptions “Labour is never winning back the Red Wall” or “Scotland will send an SNP block to Westminster for ever more” now seem. Big lesson of past few years is we have a highly responsive, fluid electorate.
@Sime0nStylites Interesting. Who sells it?
Full disclosure, our first draft in the dead of night did not use the poll, because it hadn’t come out yet. The only real change was instead of going “just look at the historic results” I went “here’s an unsurprising poll”: ft.com/content/a1b121…
I wondered how much to get into this this morning. The headline result is pretty close to the GLA results in 2021, and IMV it seems reasonable to assume that “Sadiq less popular - to the benefit of the Greens and Lib Dems” and “unknown Tory candidate gets the Tory base”.
Oh dear. Worth noting on recent @RedfieldWilton London poll — the numbers look bunkum. 👇
But as Damian points out some cause for caution.
Sadiq Khan is *smashing it* in ULEZ affected *Outer* London. Susan Hall is the voter's choice for *inner* London:
@Sime0nStylites @innes_abby @oldtrotter I think the sense in which the Coalition was Bad (ie austerity) was a failure of the general culture and economic understanding of policy and media elites. PR cannot solve everything, but it would avoided further disasters (like Brexit).
The combination of 'Ulez on the ballot' and 'Susan Hall as the Conservative candidate' is basically everything you'd want to maximise the chances of a weak Labour incumbent squeezing the Green and Liberal Democrat vote. But it's still all to play for: ft.com/content/a1b121…
The Conservative party didn't offer anything for London's swing voters in 2021 and what they offered in 2016 was a mess - but now they possibly can just get elected with their core: ft.com/content/a1b121…
Some thoughts on Ulez and the new Times poll of the London mayoral race and why it matters across UK politics: ft.com/content/a1b121…
@JackTindale wait - was your dad... ...a toolmaker?
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Henry Mance
@henrymance
86K Followers