Smoke the Books @SmokeTheBooks
Hedge Fund Manager building sports betting models and brainstorming random betting ideas. Nothing to sell. Don’t bet the rent money people!!! chat.openai.com/g/g-LACBobDzZ-… Cherry Hills Village, CO Joined November 2022-
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Here is an analysis of variance within NBA games. The chart shows the results of 1,000 simulated games of evenly matched teams against the actual results of the last 1,000 games where the spread was 1.5 points or less. This simple simulation is the by-product of something we’re…
Respect to @CircaSports for keeping the old tradition of dime lines in baseball alive (with $20k limits)
This is so crazy. If there was a reason, like past post or Temple games on a huge ticket and they need to investigate, then fine. But just consistently winning on main lines? It’s incredible work taking $100k off them, but it’s small money for them… about their hourly hold.
This is so crazy. If there was a reason, like past post or Temple games on a huge ticket and they need to investigate, then fine. But just consistently winning on main lines? It’s incredible work taking $100k off them, but it’s small money for them… about their hourly hold.
Umpire report from Rockies home opener, that somehow still went over 13. I’ll be watching this ump to play unders. This is really unusual… guy might cause electronic balls and strikes by all by himself.
Chipotle’s valuation is $24,500,000 per location
Bankroll simulators are very helpful for understanding and visualizing variance, staking methods and bankroll management, so we put one online. betcraft.ai/bankroll-simul… You can run up to 1,000 simulations at a time, each with up to 10,000 bets. The graph will randomly show 10 of…
In response to egregious cashout offers, we made a calculator that shows cashout EV and whether you’re better off betting the other side instead if you really want out of the bet. It’s outrageous that cashouts are often worse than betting the other side. betcraft.ai/cashout-calcul…
Caesar’s live lines are tricky to beat for US sports. FanDuel isn’t as square as everything thinks all around. Those two are almost in their own catagory, in between Bookmaker/Pinnacle/Circa and all the others
Square books rooting Niners and sharp books rooting Chiefs. DraftKings has spent untold millions curating a customer base that sucks at gambling!
Square books rooting Niners and sharp books rooting Chiefs. DraftKings has spent untold millions curating a customer base that sucks at gambling! https://t.co/K3qPYysq90
Billy Walter is betting the Chiefs small ($500k to $1mm) and explains his reasoning in a rare interview here. Good luck to all youtu.be/iUp3hjhCjVA?si…
Is there any conceivable reason why favorites would win at such an outsized rate in English Premier League in weeks 25-31? Last 22 seasons covering over 1,500 games and an ROI of 9.0%. If this is a coincidence, it's a really weird one.
Despite my better judgement, here’s our quick take on Super Bowl exact score EV from Fanduel odds. Black boxes are @grpwins plays. Smiley face is the group play! Some nasty vig out there… straight donations
Despite my better judgement, here’s our quick take on Super Bowl exact score EV from Fanduel odds. Black boxes are @grpwins plays. Smiley face is the group play! Some nasty vig out there… straight donations https://t.co/FZMiSgn9ax
I spent 3 minutes making a matrix of estimated odds of the final score. This is read as "1 in _____" odds that a specific team will win by this score. Small value on these 3, but I'm tailing @grpwins because karma KC 34-10 +40,000 KC 27-7 +50,000 KC 27-10 +27,000
In the past 4,591 games, there have been 7 times where the final score is 28-17 either way. That'd be odds of 1 in 1,312 that a score is 28-17 in a specific direction. That isn't the right way to price this with such a small sample size. In 10.1% of games the losing team has had…
In the past 4,591 games, there have been 7 times where the final score is 28-17 either way. That'd be odds of 1 in 1,312 that a score is 28-17 in a specific direction. That isn't the right way to price this with such a small sample size. In 10.1% of games the losing team has had… https://t.co/x3I1SxoyIK
We built an NFL Sports Betting AI. It's free and the link is below. Further down in this post is more info on what it is and what it isn't. We've been playing around with custom AI GPTs built on OpenAI's ChatGPT. The impetus here wasn't to make a free NFL Betting AI. Totally…
I’m really amazed by some of the year end posts from the +EV community. My New Year’s resolution is to spend more time calling out the frauds that refuse to post a @betstamp or @pikkitsports. My 2024 dream is to find more people trying to straight up beat sides and totals.
Scurgush @Scurgush_Mpj8p
0 Followers 142 Following
TobeyWallis @sI3jy9G2z3168L
0 Followers 182 Following
Mr. Liiiimited @MrLiimited
4K Followers 579 Following Limited somewhere, sharing how not to get limited elsewhere DMs open and happy to help you on your betting journey!
Darren Triplett @darrentriplett
25 Followers 280 Following
Ny Aces Ova @oceans214
96 Followers 1K Following Dont let others decide your fate Rule with purpose and defy those who dont believe in you.
Jewish Quimbo @JewishQuimbo
184 Followers 1K Following
Rick Lange @rickdlange
0 Followers 27 Following
David Shapiro @daveshap
1K Followers 352 Following marketer & hip-hop head. marketing @UnabatedSports.
Jonty Tong @JontyTong
124 Followers 952 Following Increasing my presence in the modern day age of social media. Do things with football pricing.
YardsPerPass @YardsPerPass
26K Followers 427 Following Bills stats & breakdowns & other football thoughts and views Gifs used according to the Copyright Act of 1976, 17 U.S.C. § 107 Owner of the 1st ever Bills NFT
David @_dmclevy
198 Followers 1K Following
Adam Candee @adamcandee
2K Followers 1K Following Editor In Chief @lspreport | Talking sports @espnlasvegas @cofieldandco @audacysports | "The charisma of a fencepost" | Analytics are people too | #GoJacks 🪓
Chris Stevo @choostevo
147 Followers 5K Following
Brad Stampfl @cardiffgiantt
12 Followers 27 Following
Geoffrey Riddle @Louchepunter
6K Followers 4K Following Director of @WHR. Formerly head of digital at Racing UK. 9 years at The National, 5 at Sunday Times. ❤️ is a bookmark & views very much my own.
Joe Botsch @jbotsch
683 Followers 1K Following VC at @rtpvc, formerly @OpenView & Head of Research at @MassChallenge talking startups or complaining about Boston sports
Kirk Mackinder @kirk_mackinder
134 Followers 327 Following
AB @KDisASS739
152 Followers 1K Following
randyham @ErozerLuca
52 Followers 435 Following
PG @pgarnock
33 Followers 214 Following
alfagators @alfagators
50 Followers 394 Following
Benjamin Starling @bstarling_
163 Followers 548 Following
Mr. Ryan P. Kelly @rkelly121
119 Followers 739 Following
Mark Welser @mark_welser
12 Followers 329 Following
Shenanigans @Shenaniganery_
12 Followers 191 Following
Dr_Two_Inch @Dr_Two_Inch
75 Followers 157 Following Only surviving off positive variance ~2x MMA DFS World Champs Competitor~
Corey @boothbydfs
36 Followers 93 Following
Chris Blumthal @ChrisBlumthal
83 Followers 282 Following
Charles Fellows @TheRealCRFTV
190 Followers 371 Following
Devin Rajza @devin_rajza
413 Followers 306 Following Financial Advisor Development Program @Vanguard_Group Series 7, 63 licensed | God above all things 🙏 #NewYorkForever #TakeFlight POSTS ARE NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Fervent Finance @ferventfinance
7K Followers 2K Following
TheLinksPicks @TheLinksPicks
17 Followers 233 Following
caveman_sam @caveman_sam
132 Followers 254 Following Proud caveman. Trying not to lose my liquor money on the VLTs
Rich @Rich81681867
25 Followers 202 Following
GA @QuantAddict
62 Followers 164 Following
Matty H @MattyH_THFC
201 Followers 1K Following
jolt @joltchuTFT
37 Followers 231 Following prop trader | sports betting enthusiast | league/nba focus markets | ex challenger tft master league player
Stabboor @stabboor
0 Followers 4 Following
Sidhu Ram @sidhuram
541 Followers 655 Following
Timothy Wagner @Timwagner4514
47 Followers 305 Following
jacob @jacobt1000
145 Followers 253 Following Aspiring to be a professional bettor! DM for any questions. 🫡
Brian Beachkofski @beachkofski
347 Followers 566 Following
Josh Appelbaum @Josh_Insights
27K Followers 272 Following Sports Betting Analyst @VSiNLive. Host of @_ASG_Podcast powered by @bet_rithmm. Author of “The Everything Guide to Sports Betting.”
All Systems Go Podcas.. @_ASG_Podcast
480 Followers 5 Following Data-driven sports betting podcast with @Josh_Insights. Sharp line moves, contrarian plays, system matches, player props & more! Powered by @bet_rithmm
rithmm @bet_rithmm
3K Followers 5K Following 🤑 THE place for data-backed props & picks 🤖 Custom AI betting models with 1 click 🏌️PGA + LIV Golf 🏀 NBA + WNBA 🆓 Download on iOS, Android, and Web
Beat The Books @BTBSupport
65K Followers 18 Following Official support account for the "Beat The Books' discord| Link to join 👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻
Mr. Liiiimited @MrLiimited
4K Followers 579 Following Limited somewhere, sharing how not to get limited elsewhere DMs open and happy to help you on your betting journey!
Lucra Sports @LucraSports
2K Followers 168 Following Unleash The Power of Friendly Competition ⚡️ · Enhance your brand’s engagement by adding real-money competitions through Lucra’s new SDK
Bill Simmons @BillSimmons
5.5M Followers 849 Following @ringer (founder) @spotify + The BS Podcast + @therewatchables + @BookoBasketball + Music Box series on @hbo ... Past Life: @grantland33 @30for30
BartBets @bartbetts
2K Followers 129 Following Ev Better up over 150k+ in profits in 2024. Owner @edgeseekers2024. Oddsjam Code bartbets
Her Hoop Stats @herhoopstats
17K Followers 2K Following Unlocking better insight for Women's Basketball (WNBA and NCAAW) through statistics, articles, podcasts, videos, and more
Oddessa @MMAOdds
13K Followers 1K Following 🌍 𝓙𝓸𝓮𝔂 𝓑𝓪𝓰𝓮𝓵𝓼 𝓞𝓭𝓭𝓮𝓼𝓼𝓪 🌎 "Born in 🇺🇸, made 'offshore.' Sometimes wrong; never in doubt. Always on time!" ⏱ ✞ 🙌 👊 #𝙐𝙁𝘾 ΔΩΧ
LineLeaders @LineLeadersLLC
26 Followers 23 Following Leveling up your sports betting with data-driven insights. Transforming analytics into winning strategies. #LineLeaders #SportsAnalytics
Bluntz @Bluntz_Capital
258K Followers 2K Following trader and bubblechaser, when one pops find another one https://t.co/JTEPUxvook private trading group available
SX Bet @SX_Bet
30K Followers 2K Following The largest web3 sports betting platform in the world 💰 Get the best odds from the safety of your own wallet 🏦 Backed by @nascentxyz @hack_vc @cmcc_global
@jason @Jason
823K Followers 3K Following Host of the world's most important conversations: @twistartups @theallinpod & @liquiditypod; I also invest in 150 startups a year @launch & @founderuni
🏴☠️FishyGut.. @2nd0ldest
716 Followers 1K Following Bees do not waste time telling flies that honey tastes better than shit. 1D=1B
Deepak @dt_nfts
113K Followers 1K Following NFT & Crypto Investor | All tweets are my own views and not investment advice.
Johnny Beauprez @jbeauprez
2K Followers 1K Following Lover of life, liberty, business, and all things +EV. #bracelethunted | Co-Founder @ChipLDR | PLO QuickPro Lead Instructor
Betting Talk @bettingtalk_
46K Followers 2K Following The essential sharp sports betting community. Home to @RASPicks. Free to join: https://t.co/lNo7PIQtkv | @RASPicks newsletter: https://t.co/Pj2pkBi6hv
Joey’s Sports Bets @JoeysBets
79K Followers 16 Following PhD in Computer Science 🧪 I build Algorithms that pick out winning sports bets. All my bets & data are FREE. To join in, drop me a follow ⤴️ 21+
ck @stack__sats
13K Followers 3K Following Jesus guy | Left-curve investooor | Punk #2825 | Ultra runner and power clean enthusiast | Chief $ZYN Officer @ZynCoinERC20
ZynCoin @ZynCoinERC20
7K Followers 926 Following Upper deckys only. Official ZynCoin account | First to put mankind’s favorite nic on eth, base and sol $ZYN | *Not Affiliated with PMI*
Steve Ruddock @SteveRuddock
6K Followers 810 Following EIC @GamingLawRev | Gambling industry analyst-consultant | Nominated for an award... didn't win | Subscribe https://t.co/MACQHpEWCC newsletter
David Huffman @davidhuffman24
652 Followers 319 Following COO @sporttrade_app. Hokie 🦃 and Philly 🦅 fan. I will bet on anything.
Pullthepocket @Pullthepocket
4K Followers 418 Following Horse owner, bettor, marketer. Thinking of joining Space Force.
lavoier @lavoier_07
49 Followers 56 Following
Pisky @PiskyPositivo
1K Followers 444 Following Sports Betting industry vet 🏈 Aspiring content creator 🤳 Co-host @AlwaysBetPod🎙️CHASE YOUR F'ING DREAMS!
FTS Income @FTSIncome
6K Followers 924 Following FTS Income is a site created by punters for punters. In it's 15th year, We provide the best service and tools for punters of all levels.
focusbetting @focusbetting777
78 Followers 212 Following pro sports bettor / betfair trader tennis addict football / handball
Bf Bot Manager @BfBotManager
736 Followers 9 Following Professional betting bots for automated betting at Betfair, Betdaq and Matchbook betting exchanges!
Bet Angel - Betfair t.. @betangel
103K Followers 751 Following Betting and Trading on Betfair for over 20 years. Get a free trial of our cutting-edge software at https://t.co/1pO6aqYoFn, Customer support at https://t.co/QbT8mjEtGz
Trading the Market @weareallttm
162 Followers 101 Following Pro traders teaching sports trading for free. https://t.co/DKnVFzLBIZ… https://t.co/g5c520JfXX
Lessons in Logic @LessonsInLogic_
1K Followers 13 Following Educational channel showing how to use complex software packages in a methodical way. Mainly concentrating on sports betting and trading software.
Vic @VixPixSports
2K Followers 175 Following I have monies, I bet the monies on sports, I win more monies. Co-Founder of The Crew Enterprises. Join to get winning bets, all tracked. link is below #TCE
TCE Betting @TCEBetting
343 Followers 19 Following The Crew Enterprises. All bets tracked/available to the public for full transparency. Sign up with link directly below 👇
BostonianVsTheBook @BostonVsTheBook
5K Followers 1K Following Show hosted by @sportstalkmatt + @SportsBkConsig LIVE off @youtube podcast right after. 2-4 ISH est w replay 10p PST/ 1a est @siriusxm @SportsGridTV #BVBBrigade
OddsView.com @odds_view
298 Followers 56 Following Live and prematch EV, arbs & odds screener. Leading the way in sports betting data visualization. Join us on Discord: https://t.co/jRltuyXYFd
Arbitrage Bettors @surebettor
78 Followers 52 Following Valuebets of 170+ Bookies | More Arbitrage Bets down below | Always be careful! | Warning: Gambling can be Addictive and Harmful! https://t.co/BfuPzpDoPp
Alfonso Straffon 🇨.. @astraffon
9K Followers 557 Following Equity research. Have traded junk bonds, have booked bets offshore. Just here to log news. Opinions, if any, are my own. And @wageraxess. Pura vida!
BAanalytics @MLBksPSYCHIC
3K Followers 2K Following Dm for partnerships. always looking to grow grow grow.
ʎllǝuuop ʇuǝɹq @donnelly_brent
71K Followers 814 Following President of @Spectra_Markets. Author of am/FX and Alpha Trader. I like trading, table tennis, my family, writing, hard/fast music, and poker. Not in that order
Marie - Sports Bettin.. @MarieMoneyline
2K Followers 297 Following Personal Finance Nerd. I bet on sports as a side hustle :)
You can tell election season is around the corner. Signal down, noise way up. Still lots of opportunity out there in the markets. Stay focused. Get what you came for 🫡
Reporter grills Columbia student after she demands the university help feed protestors occupying Hamilton Hall: "It seems like you're saying, 'we want to be revolutionaries, we want to take over this building, now would you please bring us some food'."
This is incredible. Worth a listen.
Reporter grills Columbia student after she demands the university help feed protestors occupying Hamilton Hall: "It seems like you're saying, 'we want to be revolutionaries, we want to take over this building, now would you please bring us some food'."
@SmokeTheBooks @goldenpants013 UFC careers can live or die on random shit. McGregor original run was a ton of quick KOs from a gasser for instance
@SmokeTheBooks I don’t doubt he has some reason for his confidence. But I have my own reasons for mine.
Ackman predicts that Trump will win a majority of Jewish votes in November. I’ve already offered to bet him on this. If anyone else would like to take Ackman’s side in an even-money bet, I can wager up to $10,000. Escrow preferred for bets over $1000.
This is absolutely insane
Breaking: @jakepaul vs. @MikeTyson on July 20 will officially be classified as a sanctioned, heavyweight professional fight. Rules: 8, 2-minute rounds with 14oz. gloves and the outcome will reflect on their pro records. Full story on @espn espn.com/boxing/story/_…
STOP SCROLLIN STUPID This is the most useful thread you'll see this week 'Everything I've bookmarked for the past year from a bunch of different awesome accounts' MAKE SURE TO CLICK THE LINKS, MANY OF THESE ARE THREADS
@SmokeTheBooks @CircaSports Feels veeeerrrryyyy challenging.
ok to be serious now i never intended to stop betting or take a break but i have basically all but stopped since october, lots of things including me breaking up with my girlfriend, my own mental health as well as those around me just put me in a pretty poor mental state and…
@SmokeTheBooks For that price you would figure they could be a bit more generous with the chicken.
@SmokeTheBooks Well $YUMC is valued at 1M per location
@SmokeTheBooks Just paid 17 euro for a bowl today, so prob up to 24.51M per location
We’re doing +5% on stock splits again huh
Chipotle’s valuation is $24,500,000 per location
Someone else got dealt the same hand you did (or worse) and found a way to win. Focus.
Day 5, I received 4% of a coin recently, it’s gone up to almost 0.5BTC. So for the community - I’m going to cook it in 10 mins. Straight to the burn addy. This is the last burn, any more coins sent here I’ll market sell.
.@OleGriersy & I are already all in on $ZYN coin.
Not a big crypto guy but if someone dropped Zyncoin I’d cave
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