Plus EV Analytics @PlusEVAnalytics
Actuary. Gambler. Pragmatist. Canadian. Small data specialist. Instructor “Art of Sports Betting Analytics” https://t.co/8cxdAMuYbu plusevanalytics.com Toronto, Ontario Joined January 2013-
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These campus protests would never happen at my alma mater. God help you if you try to get between a Waterloo student and his/her math class.
Job title inflation is getting out of control
Probably should have skipped the diversity and just gone with white people for this particular ad
In places where single game betting was illegal but parlays were ok, why didn’t operators just offer a “will the sun rise tomorrow? 1.01 yes” prop? Boom, there’s your parlay. @PiskyPositivo
Honestly congrats #bestoflinkedin
Any time you can put your $100 million veteran QB on the hot seat AND suggest that your shiny new draft pick might ride the bench for FIVE years, all before the first day of training camp, how could you not do it?
If my new Porsche sits in my garage for four or five years collecting dust, that’s a good thing because it means my 1998 Suzuki Swift is still running
If you think you can tell the difference between a 99.9% and 99.99% probability event just on judgment, I hope for your sake you get there but there are hundreds of thousands of years of human brain evolution up against you.
People who are predicting trades - isn’t that like a one in a million shot to get exactly right?
3 of the 9 goals allowed by Ilya Samsonov in this series came on low-quality shot attempts (<5% goal probability at time of release) By comparison, 0 of the 6 goals allowed by Jeremy Swayman/Linus Ullmark in this series..
Taught myself Stan by asking ChatGPT to write code for me. I feel like Keanu Reeves in the matrix learning kung fu by having it downloaded into his brain.
Utah Hockey Club? What are you, too good for a team name like everyone else has?
Draft betting, one of the few domains where math gets you basically nowhere
Do weird golf events like this week level the playing field between the sharps and the public, or do they give the sharps even more of an edge? @RufusPeabody @Saramek21
Joey Knish @JoeyKnish22
37K Followers 1K Following Gambling Twitter Degen. Grinding that rent money. As seen on @NBAonTNT. Called “basically a card counter” by Dave Portnoy. Always need accounts. @TheHammerHQRob Pizzola @robpizzola
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37K Followers 1K Following Gambling Twitter Degen. Grinding that rent money. As seen on @NBAonTNT. Called “basically a card counter” by Dave Portnoy. Always need accounts. @TheHammerHQRob Pizzola @robpizzola
47K Followers 782 Following Pro sports bettor. Co-founder, CEO @TheHammerHQ. Co-owner @Betstamp. Co-host @CirclesOffHQ, @FwdProgressHQ. Don't talk about it. Be about it.Jeffrey Benson @JeffreyBenson12
34K Followers 1K Following Director of Operations @CircaSports #BetJeffspanky @spanky
44K Followers 229 Following Pro Sports Bettor. Host of @BeBetterBettors. Created @bet_bash @spankodds and @theSGHOF. Betting Partner inquiries - DM @ChineseMike2.Rufus @RufusPeabody
51K Followers 747 Following Pro sports bettor. Co-founder @UnabatedSports and @MasseyPeabody analytics. Co-host @BetTheProcess. Rufus is a dog's name.Captain Jack Andrews @capjack2000
36K Followers 388 Following Part of https://t.co/CYMsm4cvKT. However, my opinions are 100% my own. Nominated to be the Commissioner of Sports Betting by @beatingthebook.Stuckey @Stuckey2
68K Followers 375 Following Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation. CFA®. OG @actionapp @actionnetworkhq ...Follow my bets for free here ➡️ https://t.co/m0TX5rJ4YG pod vm: 959-BAD-BEATAdam Chernoff @adamchernoff
58K Followers 401 Following 🏈 All things NFL betting for @RASPicks. Sign up for free year round betting emails in your inbox every Friday below. 👇Andy Molitor @AndyMSFW
22K Followers 949 Following Director of Content for @Betsperts. The MN half of @DeepDivePod. Making newsletters about sports I like to bet. @BetspertsGolf Rabbit Holer.Unabated @UnabatedSports
20K Followers 202 Following Bet Smarter. The tools and resources you need to become a winning sports bettor. Sign up for the Unabated Newsletter: https://t.co/ncbHoVBcCaDrew Dinsick @whale_capper
52K Followers 1K Following NFL, NBA, Tennis Handicapper | Analyst for @NBCSportsBet, Bet The Edge Pod: https://t.co/IPGUUpfZjI and the Deep Dive podcast: https://t.co/JMHXP9ya4HFabian Sommer @suuma810
16K Followers 810 Following NFL bettor, passionate about stats and spreads. Content for @TheHammerHQ @FwdProgressHQSteve Fezzik @FezzikSports
81K Followers 2K Following Over 1.5 mil in Lifetime Contest Ws 2 Time (Back 2 Back) winner Westgate Supercontest #hiltoncontest,#pregame,#sportshandicapper,#sportsreviews,#sportsbooksCris (lvc)🏈 @lasvegascris
17K Followers 193 Following NFL profit L/6y & Contest specialty.low volume/diverse tweets.Opinion/Strategy. Betting, a hard way to make an easy living. YouTube vids https://t.co/VzNk9X7sMaSportsbook Consiglier.. @SportsbkConsig
31K Followers 970 Following Pittsburgh native, Penn Stater, Las Vegas sportsbook veteran oddsmaker, @CashConsidShow @BostonVsTheBook behind the counter. Sports gambling writer/host/analystDave Mason @DaveMasonBOL
50K Followers 2K FollowingNick Kostos @TheKostos
43K Followers 3K Following Host @YouBetterYouBet @Audacy, M-F 3-7p ET (also carried @Stadium & @SiriusXM). Betting content for @BetMGM & @WestwoodOne. Founding Father of #wagertainment.Mr. Liiiimited @MrLiimited
3K Followers 579 Following Limited somewhere, sharing how not to get limited elsewhere DMs open and happy to help you on your betting journey!Andy Bloch @Andy_Bloch
30K Followers 2K Following ⚖️💉🇺🇦 Poker player. He/him. MIT blackjack Harvard Law https://t.co/WmzLOw6sMK https://t.co/Ooov4yXYd2 https://t.co/XHTRhKX008 https://t.co/FxkEfNl1AdSharpCast @Sharpcast_
879 Followers 653 Following LATIN PODCAST FOR SHARP BETTORS SPOTIFY👉https://t.co/3LhWEfHOiT YOUTUBE 👇Philip @philipalex99
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50K Followers 2K Following Professional Sports Bettor. Advantage gambler @Foxsportsradio “Countdown To Kickoff” Seen on Action Showtime/VSIN/ESPN @Krackwins #Sportsbetting WiseKracks PodGoldenPants13 @goldenpants013
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2K Followers 2K Following Ex-State Department FSO; AmEmBucharest; former-Media Director World Series of Poker; ex-PR Director Binions Horseshoe; Writer; NFL Analyst-Gambler; Texas Grad.ev @PlusEVOntario
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202 Followers 664 Following Jack of many gambling trades, but god I'd like to be the master of one | @JskeltsLolBot Swing hard, fall short. It's all part of the plan.@CripsyLocks @buttuglydude @PlusEVAnalytics Ingram and holiday together as a separate parley would have paid $21,500 and in a 4 leg option to cash is $9k.
@TaxmanCPAMST @PlusEVAnalytics The point is you would’ve just made $21k if you hadn’t added the last two legs. Why add them if you’re just going to cash out for less than half the return when it gets there?
@PlusEVAnalytics Appreciate the response, and your account. Slowly learning more and more about the math behind the +EV side of things.
One of the most valuable skills in gambling
@SharpClarkeNFL this is true yes, but also some people I think strongly underrate the value of cultivating an intuition that allows for effective decision making in situations with minimal data availability
@SharpClarkeNFL this is true yes, but also some people I think strongly underrate the value of cultivating an intuition that allows for effective decision making in situations with minimal data availability
@PlusEVAnalytics I never missed a single one and it paid off big time. I still smoked all the weed and drank much of the beer afterwards anyways. I don't get these kids who don't go to class. Fuckin' apply yourselves a little bit
@PlusEVAnalytics I suppose the put a positive slant on this they at least did not put him in a cotton field
@PlusEVAnalytics I can't speak for all operators, but this level of thinking outside the box is highly discouraged in a crown corporation.
horse racing: a beautiful sport with tons of hard-to-model features, high uncertainty [unseen matchups] & a betting market that allows for scale [many races, decent or even very good liquidity] simply superior.
@PlusEVAnalytics Dont forget that you you also just bought the 98 Suzuki 2 months ago and it had a massive price tag
If this happened today ESPN would make us listen to people tell us why this is ok and good.
On April 25th, almost 50 years ago Rick Monday saved the colors from being burned by some clownshoes commies. Rick still owns the flag and has rejected multi-million dollar offers for it. He brings it to veteran charity fundraisers. Be more like Rick Monday.
Actuaries pretty much ARE aliens when it comes to this.
@FezzikSports I’m aware. Unless you’re an alien, we’re subject to the same evolutionary forces as everyone else.
@EVBetsMA @PlusEVAnalytics Yeah but our brains are particularly awful at the extreme tail ends of probabilities. A 95% event is 50 times more likely to not happen than a 99.9% event and we’re just not able to intuitively ever get there without writing out the math
@MrLiimited @PlusEVAnalytics Honestly…people are pretty bad at estimating if something is even “more likely than not” to happen. Humans are TERRIBLE at estimating probability of events occurring.
@PlusEVAnalytics Even above 95% the human brain is not really up to the task
I have so many Gregg Jefferies Donruss rated rookie cards. Back then I thought I'd retire off them.
Two things you rarely see: 1) Lindor crushing two home runs in a game 2) A throwback Gregg Jefferies jersey in the crowd Both awesome.
"If I make this bet, I will win x% of the time. That is enough to make it a profitable bet." Advantage gambling is the best way to hammer this way of thinking into your head. And it applies to so many other areas of life. If you can win gambling, you have a leg up elsewhere.
@RoxyLasVegas @spanky It is absolutely wild to think about how much my generation takes the ease of access to information for granted. I’ve never known a time where I couldn’t readily find the answer to any question or stat
Remembering that time @JoeyKnish22 and @robpizzola did a podcast and said I was one of the worst follows on here now (def not wrong) and Joey complained about no more awards bets and he missed the only one I made this year and we binked Naz 6th Man
Let’s do this. Also I have an unreasonable amount of Wolves hopium this season I deserve all of the lols.