Captain Jack Andrews @capjack2000
Part of https://t.co/CYMsm4cvKT. However, my opinions are 100% my own. Nominated to be the Commissioner of Sports Betting by @beatingthebook. youtube.com/c/CaptainJackA… Joined August 2011-
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@UnabatedSports @capjack2000 The full Youtube vid was your best yet.
Had a long drive today and listened to this. Got home. Played it again. I still find I disagree with Matthew on a lot of things, but I would love to get the chance to sit and discuss sports betting with this guy over many pints. He’s one of a kind.
Had a long drive today and listened to this. Got home. Played it again. I still find I disagree with Matthew on a lot of things, but I would love to get the chance to sit and discuss sports betting with this guy over many pints. He’s one of a kind.
🚨 New Markets Alert 🚨 Introducing MLB First Five Innings markets, main and alternate lines included! Available pre-game AND in-play, with brokerage capabilities as well.
From time to time I’ll hear from someone in the industry that knows someone who’s got “Rufus’s golf”. When I ask for a list of plays, it’s often a lot of the sides I’m on at prices 20c worse. Those plays will not win. Similarly, you see bet and money %s thrown around and a lot…
Sustainability as a bettor is less about learning how to win and more about learning how to lose. 👈
Sustainability as a bettor is less about learning how to win and more about learning how to lose. 👈
NFL Draft betting tip: "Spot the sucker" 🧵 This weekend, I'm sharing the NFL Draft betting angles that have served me best. First up: "Spot the sucker" (h/t @EdMillerPoker and @DavidowMatthew, "The Logic of Sports Betting") -- identifying beatable lines to increase your ROI 👇
We asked professional bettor, @UnabatedSports co-founder & players' advocate @capjack2000 if he'd share his thoughts & expertise on *reduced juice betting* "Why the Juice Matters", by Capt. Jack Andrews (*Jack wasn't compensated for this article) journal.primesports.com/p/why-the-juic…
Want to read a book on expanding your sports betting operation? Here's the free PDF⤵️
Want to read a book on expanding your sports betting operation? Here's the free PDF⤵️
Part 5 of the @UnabatedSports Intro to Data Science series is out! @jaketroch & @JasonAScavone have put together another FREE easy-to-follow lesson to advance your sports betting journey. Linear & Logistic Regression Complete with data and code examples.…
Anyone calling their product "the Bloomberg Terminal of sports betting" has clearly never used an actual Bloomberg Terminal. Why not call yourself "the Compuserve of sports betting" - pretty much equivalent in terms of user interface.
NJ bettors only lost $89.7m on $1.33b wagered on sports betting in March. A respectable 6.75% loss rate.
NFL Draft talk is about to take over your podcast timeline. We jumped out of the gate with a great source on the subject.⤵️
NFL Draft talk is about to take over your podcast timeline. We jumped out of the gate with a great source on the subject.⤵️
Ah, so we'll just bet the NO price then. What's the current line at Fanduel? Oh. You don't offer the NO? 🫥
Ah, so we'll just bet the NO price then. What's the current line at Fanduel? Oh. You don't offer the NO? 🫥
Discipline, @capjack2000 writes, is where plenty of bettors run into trouble.
The better headline for this story would have been: "Delaware Looks to Reduce Their Sports Betting Tax Rate by 80%" Current tax rate for operators is 88%, would drop to 18%.👀
The better headline for this story would have been: "Delaware Looks to Reduce Their Sports Betting Tax Rate by 80%" Current tax rate for operators is 88%, would drop to 18%.👀
This is interesting...🤨
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Market-based projections are best used blending with your own projections to regress your numbers, but they can also help you spot books that are off relative to the rest of the market.
Books are incredibly deceptive in inducing players to make sub-optimal decisions. Taking the cash out here would be the equivalent of having ONLY bet Petrovic, but instead of at +175 ($4,444 payout), at -120 (the offered $2,958 payout). #ConsumerProtection
@UnabatedSports @capjack2000 The full Youtube vid was your best yet.
With $200k on the line and all but one leg home on the parlay, the cashout offer came in. When the money gets heavy, the decisions get harder for many bettors. @capjack2000 looks at the math behind the cashouts books offer.
Take the cash out offer. Divide it by the potential payout of your bet. That’s the offered sell price of your bet, expressed as a % of the full potential payout. Does that % seem greater than the true %, or at least fair? If yes, consider cashing out.
Should you ever cash out a bet? @capjack2000 looks at the math behind cashout offers and the way sportsbooks can put players in tough spots, especially when dollar amounts get large. Which is what happened on one bettor's HR parlay.
@a_kane47 Great video. But to simplify things, when considering hedging or cashing out with one leg remaining, I always ask myself what I would be willing to bet on that leg. If the cashout or hedge option is more than I would be willing to bet, I cash out or hedge. Not fancy, but logical.
Should you ever cash out a bet? @capjack2000 looks at the math behind cashout offers and the way sportsbooks can put players in tough spots, especially when dollar amounts get large. Which is what happened on one bettor's HR parlay.
Finished up my #sportsanalytics methods course today with final project presentations and some betting content (nice materials @UnabatedSports), but one group had this as their final slide (photo by @qntkhvn) - I love my job
Remember when that poor girl got fired for talking about brackets to an elementary school class? wbko.com/2024/04/12/2nd…
@spanky You were laying -112 after you got your phone bill for all the score updates. Many bettors had fake telephone long distance credit cards for calling score phones. Once you cracked the way they were issued you had unlimited access.
@BradAllenNFL BetMGM didn't pay out a teacher $180k until they were forced to by the gaming commission
When your projections show a huge edge, you have to figure out if the market's off, or your projections are. Our market-based projections are derived from current lines and weighted toward recency. Blend them in to regress your and develop sharper edges.
Pyramids are different than triangles. Nice try. It's Mandalay Bay.
@Mike_E I'd recognize that pyramid anywhere. That's the Luxor. 💯
@iamrahstradamus We all go through bad runs dream. Keep your head up.
@capjack2000 @Mike_E It doesn't have Doritos on it......wrong.😉
When there are multiple exchanges in the ecosystem, you will always be able to get better odds on your picks. Prophet and @sporttrade_app have been offering no hold and arbitrage on MLB MLs all season! Checkout @UnabatedSports to get the best odds, and start winning more!
How long does it take to double your whole bankroll? @capjack2000 breaks down the math behind churn.