Andrew Mack @Gingfacekillah
Sports Bettor & Retail Trader. JD/MSc Grad. Statistical Sports Models with R & Excel. Bayesian Enthusiast. Pricing Uncertainty. solo.to/gingfacekillah Calgary, Alberta Joined November 2018-
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Here is an analysis of variance within NBA games. The chart shows the results of 1,000 simulated games of evenly matched teams against the actual results of the last 1,000 games where the spread was 1.5 points or less. This simple simulation is the by-product of something we’re…
The concept of a prediction ceiling can help your betting by identifying edge cases where a market's implied certainty exceeds the rational basis for it. "If everyone is thinking alike, then somebody isn't thinking." - Patton
AI and semi's are good again. Thanks for playing.
A 24/7 market will smooth out some existing edges, but likely expose some new ones as well. Same same. Occasionally being able to sleep would be nice though.
A 24/7 market will smooth out some existing edges, but likely expose some new ones as well. Same same. Occasionally being able to sleep would be nice though.
People wait for several days of realized volatility before taking action and then act surprised (or even better, mad) when ranges tighten up. You are familiar with vol seller win rates, yes? Most of the time the short straddle wins.
A truly fun player to watch (and a prop betting gold mine). Pretty entertaining run with the Pistons too. Much respect BG23 🫡
A truly fun player to watch (and a prop betting gold mine). Pretty entertaining run with the Pistons too. Much respect BG23 🫡
I try to help people in the DMs as much as possible, but when I see code I've given them get presented as their own work publicly, I think: 1) Anyone doing that is well behind, so nbd; but 2) I don't think very highly of that; and 3) Maybe I should stop helping people
With the MLB season now a go, a reminder that pitcher K's are a good place to start MLB prop modelling. Full explanation of this one (as well as run in first inning [RIFI] and first 5 inning ML models) in SSME volume 2.
With the MLB season now a go, a reminder that pitcher K's are a good place to start MLB prop modelling. Full explanation of this one (as well as run in first inning [RIFI] and first 5 inning ML models) in SSME volume 2.
"Invincibility is in oneself, and vulnerability is in the opponent. Invincibility is a matter of defense, vulnerability is a matter of attack. Therefore skillful warriors are able to be invincible, but they cannot cause opponents to be vulnerable. That is why it is said that…
An important point. No medals for wowing the crowd.
An important point. No medals for wowing the crowd.
@jamestsliu One thing that law school hammered home for me was never argue for free. Holds true for markets too - if you think the counterparty is slipping, bet.
will the fed cut? impossible to say really and not for me to decide but yes
will the fed cut? impossible to say really and not for me to decide but yes
Price action, sentiment and flows. Simple, not easy.
Plus EV Analytics @PlusEVAnalytics
24K Followers 452 Following Actuary. Gambler. Pragmatist. Canadian. Small data specialist. Instructor “Art of Sports Betting Analytics” https://t.co/8cxdAMuYbucephalopod @macrocephalopod
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27K Followers 445 Following vol trader, opinions are my own and may or may not be reflective of positions i hold. nothing should be taken as financial advice.Agustin Lebron @AgustinLebron3
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37 Followers 5K FollowingElan Rotklein @ElanRotklein
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433 Followers 1K Following The race is long, and in the end, it's only with yourselfanon @usogui_dr
0 Followers 49 Followinguɐɯoᴚ @r0manua
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380 Followers 446 FollowingEZZOUBAIR BEL-KADI�.. @ezzoubair_rh
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1 Followers 505 FollowingKD @Dasss_capital
76 Followers 148 FollowingPlus EV Analytics @PlusEVAnalytics
24K Followers 452 Following Actuary. Gambler. Pragmatist. Canadian. Small data specialist. Instructor “Art of Sports Betting Analytics” https://t.co/8cxdAMuYbucephalopod @macrocephalopod
45K Followers 571 Following At Octopus Capital our passion is providing best-in-class liquidity in the marketplace of ideasRob Pizzola @robpizzola
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37K Followers 1K Following Gambling Twitter Degen. Grinding that rent money. As seen on @NBAonTNT. Called “basically a card counter” by Dave Portnoy. Always need accounts. @TheHammerHQCorey Hoffstein 🏴�.. @choffstein
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41K Followers 1K Following Crypto HFT/MFT QR | DMs open 📥 (plz no essays) | @QuantitativeArb | Views my own. Not financial advice.Rufus @RufusPeabody
51K Followers 746 Following Pro sports bettor. Co-founder @UnabatedSports and @MasseyPeabody analytics. Co-host @BetTheProcess. Rufus is a dog's name.Jeffrey Benson @JeffreyBenson12
34K Followers 1K Following Director of Operations @CircaSports #BetJeffKris @KrisAbdelmessih
31K Followers 3K Following Stay groovy 🤙DMs open σ https://t.co/p0ss9OuitP 💡Twitter list curator 🎲Boardgames 👽Vol trading 🎸GuitarsCaptain Jack Andrews @capjack2000
36K Followers 388 Following Part of https://t.co/CYMsm4cvKT. However, my opinions are 100% my own. Nominated to be the Commissioner of Sports Betting by @beatingthebook.Agustin Lebron @AgustinLebron3
16K Followers 348 Following On my fourth pseudo-PhD. Moving bits around so that people can trust other people. Traded for a while and wrote a book about it.Andy Molitor @AndyMSFW
22K Followers 949 Following Director of Content for @Betsperts. The MN half of @DeepDivePod. Making newsletters about sports I like to bet. @BetspertsGolf Rabbit Holer.Unabated @UnabatedSports
20K Followers 202 Following Bet Smarter. The tools and resources you need to become a winning sports bettor. Sign up for the Unabated Newsletter: https://t.co/ncbHoVBcCa686 Ebullient Prism @686Prism
8K Followers 734 Following Forerunner AI and Monitor of Line Installation 1-4. Unethical and have no regard towards a beings consent for inspection - art powered by @where_is_hardo & coKris Sidial🇺🇸 @Ksidiii
61K Followers 570 Following Co-CIO of Ambrus| (Focus: Exotic Derivatives/Volatility/ Tail risk hedging )| @penn guy (Not investment advice)ltrd @ltrd_
13K Followers 197 Following In the constant process of mastering doing simple things right. HFT, Low-Latency, Algorithmic Trading.Joseph Buchdahl @12Xpert
20K Followers 131 Following Sports betting analyst & sceptic. Author of Squares & Sharps, Suckers & Sharks: Science, Psychology & Philosophy of Gambling. 18+. Please Gamble Responsibly.Solo @solo_trader
1K Followers 25 FollowingFantasy Life @MBFantasyLife
55K Followers 485 Following Fantasy football & betting content straight to your inbox, for free, every day.Wages to Freedom 💰.. @W2Freedom
3K Followers 439 Following Became a millionaire in my 20s & multi-millionaire in 30s as corporate 401k employee. Tweet about 9-5 jobs, tech, taxes, #BitcoinAnil ⚡ @anilsaidso
46K Followers 556 Following Author: https://t.co/b8kBHK3zZ7 Teaching: https://t.co/k1sG30nR0A Working on: https://t.co/3nnyU3tiX6smartestmoney.eth @smartestmoney_
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59K Followers 352 Following Semi-Retired Crypto OG from 2017. Poloniex and Bittrex alts gambler. Other OGs remember me as Ramen in Bear and Panda in BullCanadian Tax Guy @TheTaxHeroes
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336K Followers 1 Following Bringing you unparalleled coverage of all-things BRICS in real-time.Alberta Institute @AB_Institute
4K Followers 2 Following An independent, libertarian, public policy think tank that aims to advance personal freedom and choice in Alberta.Fyodor Dostoevsky | N.. @Dostoevskyquot
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84K Followers 372 Following Full Time 8-Figure #Stonks Day Trader 🤑 w/13 Yrs Exp📈 #2 Ranked All Time Trader🏆(92.09% Career Win Rate) on @kinfo 📧:[email protected] IG:madazlifestyleMartin Pelletier @MPelletierCIO
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8K Followers 605 Following Not Financial Advice Insert extremely corny quote hereFinish 🏁 @0xFinish
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3K Followers 189 Following Momentum Swing Trader in US equities/ETFs | Catalyst gap ups (Earnings/Thematic EP) + subsequent PEADS (BO/PB) | 2024 US Investing Championship $1M+Georgi D. @haidut
20K Followers 13 Following Hacker dabbling in bioenergetics: #RayPeat #PUFA #OXPHOS #metabolism. Sites: https://t.co/2VoFUVDiao, https://t.co/YTrNo7pumv. Nothing I write/say is medical advice.LLM Security @llm_sec
8K Followers 296 Following Research, papers, jobs, and news on large language model security. Got something relevant? DM / tag @llm_secCreatie @CreatieAI
1K Followers 97 Following One-stop product design tool amplified by AI. Ideate, design, collaborate, prototype, handoff - all made more joyful with AI. Get started at https://t.co/Rba1EPeHzzJavier Blas @JavierBlas
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76 Followers 119 Following Dad, big rig driver and occasional developer of simple trading systems using statistical modeling.Anthony Koch @Anthony__Koch
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2K Followers 13 Following Plymouth supports top international talent with work visas and green cards. Proudly built by immigrants for immigrants.If most of finX questioned their tightly held "beliefs" about trading, they'd likely realize they picked up those beliefs from unreliable sources: People that have either failed at trading, or never actually tried and are just pretending. Examine everything Think for yourself
Amazing.
I didn’t know I needed this on a Sunday evening
The Beastie Boys’ ‘So What’cha Want’ -by The Muppets
Trading the Bonds.....very different than Investing in Bonds. As a Past Bond manager The worst meetings were the ones where you had to tell your clients you lost money. Many don't understand how you can lose money (well...back in the day they did not understand) in Bonds. They…
68 /120 electrocardiogram is clean Old guys in ok shape, I even lost weight from last year
I still can't for the life of me figure out tradingview issue My only guess at this point is the matrix is fighting back I'm winning to much
Great interview, interesting person, and a disturbing message: you need one large bet to become rich, and the outcome is random. He was lucky, but brave, he faded the economists expecting inflation in 2011. Maybe the best bet is to short the economists.
This is Gary Stevenson. He was Citi Bank's most profitable trader in 2011, earning over $35,000,000 for the bank and a million-pound bonus. He has an incredible story and a powerful message. Here's a recent interview with him by LADbibleTV (@ladbible):
Kolmogorov's zero-one law: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kolmogoro…
If you’re poor, it makes sense to buy a suit and pretend you have money. If youre rich, it makes sense to hide your wealth and look like an everyday guy. “When youre strong, appear weak. When youre weak, appear strong.” -Sun Tzu There’s 0 advantage to being accurately judged.
How absurd is 🇨🇦’s Ponzi scheme? National Bank estimates $200k/year is the minimum annual salary required to qualify for a median home. At which point 🇨🇦 considers you “the rich,” so you pay ~$65k/year in taxes—more than the income of most existing homeowners. 🤷♂️
Market statistical analysis based on past data can hurt future performance.
This is Gary Stevenson. He was Citi Bank's most profitable trader in 2011, earning over $35,000,000 for the bank and a million-pound bonus. He has an incredible story and a powerful message. Here's a recent interview with him by LADbibleTV (@ladbible):
How have I not heard of this before? dang
🇯🇵 datacenter operator, Sakura Internet 3778…is going to the 🌙 😆 Name already trades like crypto or GME of days past
i paper handed all my puts, but fuck i love @unusual_whales new feature of showing underlying that dump was so predictable...what a cheat code lol i'm going to take a break from posting entries until I figure out this tradingview thing, but another green day in the books
Here is an analysis of variance within NBA games. The chart shows the results of 1,000 simulated games of evenly matched teams against the actual results of the last 1,000 games where the spread was 1.5 points or less. This simple simulation is the by-product of something we’re…