Steven Fortney @Steven_Fortney
Economics/Applied Science @Uber. PhD Financial Economics @Yale ‘21. San Francisco, CA Joined June 2016-
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“Hey dad?” “Yea, sport?” “What’s a Collateralized Loan Obligation?” “What?! Oh, jesus. Well, alright. I suppose you’re old enough for “the talk.” Son, when a syndicator and a debt fund love each other very much…”
Again, a moment to pause & appreciate the cool professionalism of those in & around the Key Bridge at 1:24 am Tuesday. Ship’s pilot radios in that ship has lost steerage & will hit bridge. Someone (maritime control?) transmits urgent alert to Maryland/Balt police dispatch… —>
the fact that trump might lose housing if he doesn't come up with half a billion dollars by the end of the month is how it feels to live in the bay area
Genuinely wonder how much of the amazement at the performance of Claude Opus just comes from using a model that hasn’t been RLHF,d/DPO’d into uselessness yet.
Seeing more and more evidence on Twitter that Claude 3 might be a new LLM milestone (i.e. step change up from GPT-4) and not just marketing hype.
Seeing more and more evidence on Twitter that Claude 3 might be a new LLM milestone (i.e. step change up from GPT-4) and not just marketing hype.
This is truly incredible. Love the connection that both fractals and NNs apply the same same function to themselves ad infinitum and so generate the same convergence/divergence behavior over their (hyper)parameters.
This is truly incredible. Love the connection that both fractals and NNs apply the same same function to themselves ad infinitum and so generate the same convergence/divergence behavior over their (hyper)parameters.
This is incredible
This is legit wild that they don’t know why it is.
This is legit wild that they don’t know why it is.
Babe wake up they just dropped a new way to gatekeep being a dude
Babe wake up they just dropped a new way to gatekeep being a dude
Have noticed this as well. It is inadvertently hilarious that in the attempt to make GPT more human we have made it more lazy as well
Have noticed this as well. It is inadvertently hilarious that in the attempt to make GPT more human we have made it more lazy as well
My “Elon is actually just kind of a giant goober” theory remains undefeated
My “Elon is actually just kind of a giant goober” theory remains undefeated
Important paper: studying growth "per working-age adult" radically changes the picture. For instance: “ from 1998 to 2019, Japan has grown slightly faster than the U.S. in terms of per working-age adult: an accumulated 31.9% vs. 29.5.%.” sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/Wealt…
Leftists are addicted to using civil disobedience tactics designed to achieve political change in places where there’s no democracy (colonial India, Jim Crow America) under circumstances where their ideas just haven’t won in elections.
Leftists are addicted to using civil disobedience tactics designed to achieve political change in places where there’s no democracy (colonial India, Jim Crow America) under circumstances where their ideas just haven’t won in elections.
“The spending on Delta’s American Express cards is…nearly 1% of the entire U.S. gross domestic product….Delta will collect nearly $7 billion in revenue from American Express this year….That’s nearly equal to the amount the airline generated from flying passengers in 2022.”
Not sus at all
Orban sounds like Gru
TLDR: Homeownership for the 20-30s cohort has dropped by about 15 points since the 1970s. I have had this same problem with these charts for a while. Measuring things at the HH level and without adjusting for age comp. effects really paints a much rosier picture than reality.
TLDR: Homeownership for the 20-30s cohort has dropped by about 15 points since the 1970s. I have had this same problem with these charts for a while. Measuring things at the HH level and without adjusting for age comp. effects really paints a much rosier picture than reality.
The US has a GDP of about $27 trillion annually, ie $54 trillion over two years. The past two years of aid to Ukraine have cost $75 billion, or about one-tenth of a cent out of a dollar of national output. Yes, the US can afford it. theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
This reads a lot like many of our prompts. You basically have to talk to GPT vaguely threatening it in, like, three separate and distinct ways before you can have any certainty that it will 100% won’t do THE THING which represents a bad failure state.
This reads a lot like many of our prompts. You basically have to talk to GPT vaguely threatening it in, like, three separate and distinct ways before you can have any certainty that it will 100% won’t do THE THING which represents a bad failure state.
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.@UChicago really showing the benefits of having clear principals around speech
Matt Levine reading this headline
"Apollo Accused in Lawsuit of Illegal Human Life Wagering Scheme" Creditors to APO portcos have been subject to this for decades
Hear me out: Golden Gate Bridge >Iconic worldwide symbol of American greatness Marin County >Uninhabited except for 2,179 annoying NIMBYs. Proximate to major US city in need of housing. 500 Danish architects >Newly unemployed and eager to escape bonesaw range I HAVE A PLAN
Perhaps the delays with the F16s were necessary The’ve made underground bunkers for them, they will be dispersed, they come with stealth tech upgrades & if I may add, sorties can be flown at night to avoid civilians unintentionally providing geolocation This is the way fellas!
The latest evidence on this is that in rich countries from 1870-2015, housing has actually been the best-performing asset class, with a real return of 7%, beating stocks. You also need to include the rental yield, not just price appreciation. from Jordà et al (2019)
from 1896 to 1996 average return on investment in housing was 0.06% annual!!! 0.06%!!!! 6% total over 100 years!!! TOTAL
I've only ever seen this work once, and it wasn't really revealed until the end can you think of any idiot plot stories that worked and were enjoyable?
Useful terminology for your every day life:
⚡️Ambassador of 🇱🇹Lithuania to 🇸🇪Sweden
Stop decommissioning ships. Just stop.
To sail no more: the US Navy has ended all work on cruisers COWPENS CG63 and VICKSBURG CG69 and now, after hundreds of millions of $$$ with zero ROI, both will be decommissioned this year. Another "tough decision." 63 seen at San Diego in Feb; 69 at Norfolk in April
Counter-protest at UCLA right now No masks, we come in peace ✌🏻
Rage Against The Machine won our first grammy for “Tire Me”, a song on which I played a guitar costing 40 Canadian dollars. Though admittedly I’ve never really considered myself a “serious” musician!
“If you walk through a Guitar Center, you see an awful lot of $300 guitars. If I’m a serious musician, it doesn’t feel like the right place for me anymore”: Guitar Center’s new CEO explains why the firm’s future must prioritize premium guitars trib.al/hVbyiMA
Fetterman is King! After harassing his staff, the pro-Hamas mob try their hand at @SenFettermanPA, but he won’t have any of it, reiterating to them: “I’m very clear. I’m with Israel. You know that, I know it. So go talk to somebody else.”
One of the many Ukrainian flags at the anti-Russian protests in Tblisi now.
The Georgian regime must resign. The people of Georgia demand freedom and democracy, not Putin's control and rule.
next time your friend goes to the bathroom, grab their phone and use the new memory feature to add some stochastic whimsy and delight to their chatgpt experience
@Nexuist ...that seems like a positive indicator that they're competent, though? They saw a graph that's from a distinct process than they're used to and correctly judged that it's different for some reason.
@Nexuist while its a funny story, the most likely reason people found the chart interesting was because of the high variance (vol in traderspeak) - you can trade on vol and make good money as an institutional trader (while the retail day traders lose)
Revolution. Georgia is Europe 🇬🇪
My basic model of student protests is that in general students don't know shit about what they're protesting against, they do it because it's cool, makes them feel like they're part of something important and they want to be with their friends. In the vast majority of cases,…
YouTube "ad lottery" feature where one person watches only ads so others can enjoy an ad-free experience.
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