TMT Turtle @TmtTurtle
Always 10 steps behind Interests: Fintech, Semis, Software Incoming TMT Banking Joined May 2023-
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Following590
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Something people don't seem to be talking about: The TikTok deal represents both a "reset" and a potential future model for Chinese technology firms doing business in the US EVs, robotics and AI are next, and both sides want to set the tone in their favor for these negotiations
Growing confidence this 4th customer is Softbank + OpenAI. Let the supply chain digging begin! Intel Foundry has all the pieces of the menu to do this as well. Contrary to some folks beliefs. This week's @T_h_e_Circuit will have another Ben's Thesis Time!
Growing confidence this 4th customer is Softbank + OpenAI. Let the supply chain digging begin! Intel Foundry has all the pieces of the menu to do this as well. Contrary to some folks beliefs. This week's @T_h_e_Circuit will have another Ben's Thesis Time!
$Sbux about to comp at 10% #iykyk
Adam Jonas on $F results (pre-EV event): We expect Ford's EV event to be ambitious but find it hard to see beyond the headwinds they face Ford Blue=ICE, Pro=Commercial, Model e=EV
AI Agents are a real transformation in software monetization. Traditionally, software was largely capped at ~$10-50 or so per month per seat for any particular software. There’s outlier vertical software, but it generally always had roughly this ceiling. AI Agents on the other…
AI Agents are a real transformation in software monetization. Traditionally, software was largely capped at ~$10-50 or so per month per seat for any particular software. There’s outlier vertical software, but it generally always had roughly this ceiling. AI Agents on the other…
Not remotely surprsingly that @figma has a top 15 Grindscore amongst all venture backed companies with >100 Glassdoor reviews. Grindscore = % of employees "Positive Business Outlook" / "Work Life Balance." Low WLB + employees who believe in the company = success.
It's funny, so many websites are so slow and the backends are so old that it'll make AI agents, even with fast inference, feel slow Delta takes 20 seconds to load flight results when searching... the agent waits this, like the user would, but the user blames the agent not Delta
Interesting counterpoint to the perspective I’ve been leaning towards
Interesting counterpoint to the perspective I’ve been leaning towards
Meta is reportedly looking to raise $29 billion from private capital to help build AI data centers in the US, with this consisting of $3 billion in equity and $26 billion in debt. $META
Coatue: ChatGPT has quietly creeped up to 29 minutes/DAU/day on mobile, rivaling social media giants
Coatue: Growth is increasingly scarce in public markets for software Just 5% of software companies having >25% NTM revenue growth, vs. 26% in 2021 Today, median NTM revenue growth in the software universe is 9%, vs. 17% in 2021
Wild to consider this story in the context of AI. AI generated videos are a brand new form of dissident social media content. At the moment, there is an “air pocket” where the technology does not exist to censor it. Could it trigger political chaos in China?
Wild to consider this story in the context of AI. AI generated videos are a brand new form of dissident social media content. At the moment, there is an “air pocket” where the technology does not exist to censor it. Could it trigger political chaos in China?
Wow, huge for Bain
The @FT has finally woken up: "On a Robinhood-like multiple of 44 times last year’s earnings, Revolut’s net income would only need to triple to meet the $150bn valuation." For perspective - net income grew 2.3x (from £344m in 2023 to £780m in 2024). 🤯 ft.com/content/5150c2…
Software creates soft men Soft men create hard times Hard times create hard men Hard men create hardware Hardware creates good times Good times creates software

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