Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau
College football possession efficiency and data visualization enthusiast bcftoys.com South Bend, IN Joined July 2009-
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There are 9 college football programs that have averaged at least a 12.5 SP+ rating since WW2. Those 9 just enjoyed their best ever collective season. Their 9 best seasons: 1971-74, 2017-19, 2022-23.
Chart making and chart reading wisdom, brilliantly communicated
Chart making and chart reading wisdom, brilliantly communicated
https://t.co/YlVzdbt40b
Need the Iowa football punt version of this animation.
Need the Iowa football punt version of this animation.
All Caitlin’s Buckets.
putting a slide deck together for a presentation on college football possession efficiency
Enjoying the Super Bowl Punt, Pass, and Kick
This is so sad. @MummePoll was a big supporter for me in my early days, and was one of the genuinely fun, unique voices among fan blogs. RIP. blutarsky.wordpress.com/2024/02/09/a-f…
Built a tool with @5th_Factor to compare the résumé of two college hoops teams using WAB or wins-above-bubble/baseline We're calling it WABStick™ blessyourchart.shinyapps.io/WABStick/# See potential WAB of future games, add in quad guidelines, and compare any DI team Best viewed on desktop
This is a good thread.
There have been over 110,000 punts in non-garbage possessions in FBS vs FBS games since 2007. Eight teams contributed 1,000+ punts each to this project: Boston College, Iowa, Wake Forest, Virginia Tech, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Rutgers, Syracuse
There have been over 110,000 punts in non-garbage possessions in FBS vs FBS games since 2007. Eight teams contributed 1,000+ punts each to this project: Boston College, Iowa, Wake Forest, Virginia Tech, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Rutgers, Syracuse
Made a punt chart, not for deciding *whether* to punt from different areas of the field, but to show what happens when you do.
The analytics said to punt 77 times, so we did.
The analytics said to punt 77 times, so we did.
Random stat note that may only interest me: 14.2% of non-garbage offensive drives in FBS vs FBS games in 2023 ended in a field goal attempt, and 7.0% of them ended in a turnover on downs. Both of these percentages are highs since at least 2007.
Bill Connelly @ESPN_BillC
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2K Followers 221 Following https://t.co/P9ZQczjMIp CFB Season ATS: 413-364-15 (53.2%) O/U: 387-394-10 (49.6%) CBB Season ATS: 2528-2438-156 (50.9%) O/U: 2628-2386 (52.4%)
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17K Followers 1K Following National college football writer for CBS Sports. @TheFWAA Second VP. @AAJATexas Board #GirlDad (sheh-HAWN jay-uhh-raw-juh) 🇱🇰 [email protected]@bcfremeau I never know what to make of that. The recent rise began rapidly when membership was steady at 120, then continued when it rose to the 130s. (Similarly, the numbers were steady at first when membership plummeted in the early-80s, but then tumbled when the number stayed the same.)
For those asking, here are the best average SP+ ratings since WW2. Four teams have averaged at least a 14.0, nine have averaged at least a 12.5, and 16 have averaged at least a 10.0.
There are 9 college football programs that have averaged at least a 12.5 SP+ rating since WW2. Those 9 just enjoyed their best ever collective season. Their 9 best seasons: 1971-74, 2017-19, 2022-23.
Good news: If you don't like the college football "super league" idea that has been floating around, don't worry it's never going to happen. Bad news: There is a very real chance that college football's next alignment will be much worse.
Caitlin Clark scored more points this season (1,234) than Iowa football scored during her time as a Hawkeye (1,028). H/T @ByTimReynolds
@bcfremeau the FG range line is a really good one
The field for the NCAA hockey tournament was announced on Sunday and it was totally determined by a rating system. Amazing concept! And sad that basketball refuses to consider it. startribune.com/ncaa-mens-hock…
I have never invited The Haters to fill up the replies. Something to aspire to.
A March tradition: Gonzaga over-performing its seed and twitter crybabies making pathetic excuses for it. This makes 13 of the last 16 seasons the Zags have beat the win expectation for their seed. Twitter crybabies, unite! This is your time to shine. Fill up the replies, plz.
I’m not as anti-tournament expansion as others but anybody who makes the argument the big conferences need more bids and better access is straight up gaslighting.
No wonder Greg Sankey doesn’t want mid-majors in the tournament
WHAT DO NEW ADDITIONS BRING CONFERENCES ON THE FIELD? 🏈🏆 SP+ Rankings: 2002-Present Check out the on-field success that all of the new conference additions this year bring: It's interesting to see with a bit of perspective at each team's success over the last two decades...
@UVAMensHoops @UVA @presjimryan @theACC @accmbb @accnetwork @ADWilliamsUVA @MarchMadnessMBB Cannot wait for UVA to drop 42 points in a 25 point loss to CSU. I don’t think any tournament team scored fewer points all year than UVA.
** New ** Interactive visual with #MarchMadness2024 win probabilities. Connecticut is the favorite. bit.ly/1oNKyYn
Possession plot for last night's ACC Tournament Championship game
If the SEC and Big Ten split off and start their own tournament, the remaining teams will only have *checks notes* 10 of the last 10 championships.
"You have to give credit to teams like Saint Peter’s a couple years ago, Florida Atlantic’s run," SEC commissioner Greg Sankey said. "There are great stories and we certainly want to respect those great stories, but things continue to change."
Bill Hancock officially announces that the conferences and ND have unanimously agreed on "a structure that will continue the CFP through at least the 2031 season." Will be no smaller than 12 teams, and a minimum of 5 conference champs. Everything else about format TBD.
These players who only care about money must be stopped. After all… The coach of the national champs left for more money & the prestige of an NFL job. The coach of the runner up left for more money at Alabama. A school fired a coach and paid him $75M to go away. More than a…
Members of the 1954 Milan (IN) High School Boys Basketball State Championship team. The inspiration for the movie Hoosiers…living legends🏀 (1) Oakland 28 (6) Milwaukee 29 📺ESPN 📍Indianapolis, IN 🎟️NCAA bid on the line
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