Matt Simpson @cLeverEdge
Market Analyst covering forex, indices, gold and oil during the Asian session with @forexcom and @CityIndex. No DM's. Brisbane, Queensland Joined July 2010-
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EUR/USD, USD/JPY key levels heading into ISM, employment, FOMC ms.spr.ly/6011YOIvL
Why are fed fund futures still implying a 3.9% chance of a Fed cut on Wednesday? The dollar bull-dog has been unleashed ahead of of the #FOMC meeting thanks to rising labour costs, wages and benefits. And with traders particularly sensitive to stronger economic data from the…
The ‘downside’ to selling in May and going away: forex.com/en-uk/news-and… It’s that time of year that we’re reminded of the old adage to “sell in May and go away”. It is based on the historical observation that stock markets tend to underperform between May and September. Yet a…
Shellshocked USD/JPY holds ground, 6-day rally on AUD/USD: Asian Open ms.spr.ly/6017Y3ePW
Whoever drove prices up to 160 really peeved the MOF and BOJ... It was supposed to be their day off, after all. #USDJPY down over 400 pips in less than and hour.
Whoever drove prices up to 160 really peeved the MOF and BOJ... It was supposed to be their day off, after all. #USDJPY down over 400 pips in less than and hour. https://t.co/LvQZ038bro
#USDJPY just spiked 170 pips and reached 160 during low-liquidity trade with Japan on a public holiday. Nice. If the BOJ want the threat of intervention to be taken seriously, they simply need to do instead of loosely hinting it. But if they didn’t intervene with the break…
Final call for those interested in attending the @CityIndexAus event on Thursday evening in Sydney. Spaces are filling up first and we're looking to finalise numbers, so DM if you'd like to join us. Scutty.
Final call for those interested in attending the @CityIndexAus event on Thursday evening in Sydney. Spaces are filling up first and we're looking to finalise numbers, so DM if you'd like to join us. Scutty. https://t.co/Ema8nY935N
US dollar, yields look set to close the gap with commodities forex.com/en-uk/news-and… #Commodities have led the way for the #USD and #yields this year. Whilst the CRB index rally has paused, it still allows for some near-term upside on the dollar and 2-year, to send them to ~107…
US dollar, yields look set to close the gap with commodities forex.com/en-uk/news-and… #Commodities have led the way for the #USD and #yields this year. Whilst the CRB index rally has paused, it still allows for some near-term upside on the dollar and 2-year, to send them to ~107… https://t.co/C7X9VqGbBh
AUD/USD weekly outlook: AUD squares up to US dollar strength ms.spr.ly/6018YMkmw
Bitcoin’s forecast: BTC rebound seems unconvincing ms.spr.ly/6013YH7z1
Weird... it's almost as if the AU and NZ economies are closely related. AU CPI beats expectations across the board. - CPI 3.6% y/y (down from 4.1%, > 3.6% exp) - CPI 1% q/q (>0.8% exp and 0.6% prior) - Trimmed mean also above expectations etc. This won't place the RBA into a…
Weird... it's almost as if the AU and NZ economies are closely related. AU CPI beats expectations across the board. - CPI 3.6% y/y (down from 4.1%, > 3.6% exp) - CPI 1% q/q (>0.8% exp and 0.6% prior) - Trimmed mean also above expectations etc. This won't place the RBA into a… https://t.co/rjEBs7XbXw
US dollar correction kicks in, AUD/USD firm ahead of CPI: forex.com/en-us/news-and… Clearly what most want to see is a softer set of inflation figures to warrant a cut from the RBA sooner than later. Yet looking through the data for CPI q/q, odds slightly favour a miss with 43.5%…
I'm not saying yields cannot go higher for here, but yes - that support level on the 2-year bond price seems to be capping the 2-year yield at 5%. #USD correction now underway.
I'm not saying yields cannot go higher for here, but yes - that support level on the 2-year bond price seems to be capping the 2-year yield at 5%. #USD correction now underway. https://t.co/gRAoADvpRl
Looking forward to hosting this next week in Sydney. If you're interested in markets, come along for a casual chat about what may happen next. DM for details. Scutty.
#GBPUSD, #EURUSD forecast: Here’s why the US dollar rally has stalled ms.spr.ly/6019YG7zd
Gold’s worst day in two years, Crude oil eyes bounce above $80 forex.com/en-uk/news-and…
EUR/USD, Gold, Crude Oil, 2-year note analysis: COT report forex.com/en-uk/news-and… Asset managers piled into the 2-year note that their fastest pace on record, EUR/USD futures traders are on the cusp of flipping to net-short exposure, and managed funds are increasing their short…
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@cLeverEdge What a waste. Didn't even reach Fridays bottom. I ain't complaining. Nice trade
@cLeverEdge @FOREXcom The success of the intervention will be to keep the usdjpy sideways bearish while the dxy rises due to the high yields of US bonds
@cLeverEdge @FOREXcom I am not referring to the loss of money, but to the effectiveness of the intervention... this day is just a normal holiday that lacks liquidity and balance. and this was just profit taking.
@cLeverEdge Maybe BOJ want to see how low it will go.
@cLeverEdge This would lower the inflation pressure in the US.
Good breakdown on the potential upside - and risks! - in #Bitcoin at current levels from my colleague @cLeverEdge. The chart of the correlation with the Nasdaq 100 is particularly noteworthy. cityindex.com/en-au/news-and…
The on or off switch for the internet could be the equivalent to the 1980's finger on the cold war button.
Monday's bullish call is unfolding nicely - US tens (futures) are also looking to rally from here (yields lower) which ties in nicely with the bullish stocks thematic.
$es & $xjo time to go long here after a decent pull back. Don't forget last 2wks of April always out-perform the 1st two so after the recent pull back this is looking even better, give or take 1.5%. 5015 and 7560 are the levels. Classic Monday morning buy.
aging well so far
if I was a betting man I'd bet on currency wars, nothing else
Oz government: 'If we can't control it, it must be full of crooks' 🙄 Unlike the many politicans rippping off tax payers. #auspol afr.com/politics/feder…
This has gotta be a contrarian indicator right?
The share concern about geopolitical reached 97th percentile since 2012. -: BofA US Credit Investor Survey
First @TheWiggles concert today. Gonna be lit! 🔥🥔
$XJO down 100 did not expect that i got to be honest , what stops are for