mostly lurking, iso east bay climbing partners, co-writers, friends, spontaneous happenings, etc. CoS at givewell.varia.substack.com sf bayJoined August 2019
imo if you’re against waymo for, idk, vague anti-tech reasons, or you think driving jobs are the future of work, you gotta admit that you’re willing to tolerate the trade off of more accidents & fatalities.
imo if you’re against waymo for, idk, vague anti-tech reasons, or you think driving jobs are the future of work, you gotta admit that you’re willing to tolerate the trade off of more accidents & fatalities.
It's a lot of work to figure out how all of this trades off against what were previously the best opportunities in global giving but I trust @GiveWell to do it more than anyone else.
Nothing made me feel more like a low trust conspiracy theorist than realizing how much of the field of education studies is completely made up vibes, very often by people who haven’t had personal experience in advanced science classes
Nothing made me feel more like a low trust conspiracy theorist than realizing how much of the field of education studies is completely made up vibes, very often by people who haven’t had personal experience in advanced science classes
Before you say “this isn’t surprising”…
Yes, it is. We got people to preregister their expectations, and even folks who are extremely in-the-know about AI coding abilities still failed to predict this result.
Your *vibes* are not reliable indicators of productivity effects.
Before you say “this isn’t surprising”…
Yes, it is. We got people to preregister their expectations, and even folks who are extremely in-the-know about AI coding abilities still failed to predict this result.
Your *vibes* are not reliable indicators of productivity effects.
I’m leaving GiveWell — my last day is tomorrow.
I thought I’d write a short thread on why I’m so grateful to have worked here — and why I think GiveWell is (still!) underrated.
(Here is me in Uganda, during perhaps the most fulfilling week of my life.)
@chargoddard Any chance you're looking for a coauthor in future work? I want to write a survey paper explaining why while jobs extremely similar to mine will be easily automatable, my own skillset is unique and special and require a human touch.
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