chrisjunlee @chrisjunleex
Joined June 2025-
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chrisjunlee retweeted
Wednesday is a big day, Fed is priced around 93% to hold at 3.75 to 4%, so I don’t think the rate call moves much at all. What matters is $MSFT and $GOOG reporting the same afternoon, with $AMZN on Thursday, because their capex guides are basically next year’s revenue line for the chip sector. $MSFT told us last quarter Q1 capex lands above $50B and that demand still exceeds supply. If two of the three raise spend this week, I think chips outperform the Nasdaq 100 into 6 Nov, even if the hyperscalers themselves get the Meta treatment for spending it. SOX has shed around $2T since this selloff started on rate fears and AI cost worries. Is that a capex top being priced in, or the best setup in chips all year? Also, Trump seems to be dropping bombs on Iran Monday so brace yourself. Good luck.
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