CryptoQuant🫆 @cryptoquantdev

给穷人家孩子的忠告： 1．除了消费，忘记自己是穷人家孩子。 2．就算学历普通，也要保持阅读习惯，深耕优质文字读物 3．尽量不要在小城市发展。 4．好好利用空闲时间，打磨写作、厨艺、收纳等技能，练就过人本事 5．社交上一定要认识几个远超父母认知的前辈，并且能跟他们保持长期的关系。 6．面临重大抉择，不要一味听从父母和老友的想法 7．挑选能够长期沉淀、未来前景广阔的行业深耕，不必纠结起步薪资 8．理性理智消费，戒掉短暂的快感娱乐，培养可以变现的技能爱好疏导情绪 9．胜算不足的时候，切忌盲目跟风投机 10、看懂社会发展周期，储备本金，顺着周期风口抓取赚钱机遇 11、拓宽眼界见识，但别贪恋奢靡；条件允许，可以体验交响乐这类事物丰富阅历 12、投入在健身、外在气质、认知格局上面的精力，一定要多于谈恋爱 13、不要幻想依靠婚姻或是单次重大抉择实现人生逆袭 14、找出容易牵动你负面情绪的导火索，慢慢化解自己的心结

@Q9925912 Dark Seduction

Humans have a 90% defense shield when you pitch them & a 0% defense shield when they think they're eavesdropping on something they weren't supposed to see Which means the dirtiest way to close a rich buyer is to stage a scene right in front of him & pretend you have no idea he's watching Tell a founder to his face that you can make him $100,000 & his brain immediately discounts it by 70% because he knows you want his money Let him "accidentally" catch you proving it to somebody else & he believes every single syllable like it's gospel Here's how I rig the room so 6-figure buyers close themselves thinking it was their own idea: 1... Plant their biggest objection from a burner & murder it with receipts Whenever a post starts getting traffic, I already know what the 20 rich guys lurking on it are thinking: "yeah cool, does this actually work for high-ticket B2B or only info products?" Most people pray somebody asks that in the comments so they can answer it Why wait? Have a second account drop that exact skeptical comment under your post 20 minutes after it goes live Then reply to it with a 6-line breakdown & a blurred Stripe or CRM screenshot showing $180k closed for a B2B client in 30 days To the 20 founders reading the comments in silence, they just watched a hater try to expose you & get bodybagged with proof in public. You scripted both sides of the fight & their skepticism died watching it 2... Leave the "wrong" tab open for 3 seconds on screen share If you tell a prospect on a call "we only have 1 onboarding spot left this month," he assumes it's a cheap sales trick When I share my screen at minute 15 to show a doc, I have a Notion tab sitting open first for 3 seconds before I "notice" & click away from it The tab says: "October Onboarding Capacity: 1 slot remaining -> holding for [Competitor Type] call on Friday" Because I clicked away from it & never brought it up out loud, his brain treats those 3 seconds like classified intel he stole off my laptop. Half of them ask before the call ends how to lock the spot before Friday 3... Publicly autopsy a company identical to his without saying his name When I see a founder doing $200k/mo follow me or view my profile & he hasn't DMed yet, chasing him in the DMs kills all the leverage Instead I publish a teardown the next afternoon about an "anonymous company doing ~$200k/mo" that happens to have his exact offer structure, his exact ad-spend bottleneck & his exact closer problem, showing how that setup bleeds $40k every month it stays unfixed He reads it at 11pm thinking he stumbled onto a post about his twin brother by pure coincidence. His ego never gets defensive because nobody called him out by name, & he DMs me the next morning asking if we have bandwidth 4... Why X is the greatest psyop stage ever built In a cold email or a Meta ad, the buyer knows the message was built to take his money -> shield up On X, CEOs, fund managers & 8-figure operators sit in the dark at 1am thinking they're invisible voyeurs scrolling a timeline. They have no idea that the post they stopped on, the argument in the replies underneath it & the teardown the next day were all engineered specifically for the 30 rich guys lurking on my profile that week Real offer + money to invest -> dm me or yegor. com Study this

If you want more opportunities out of life or want to maximize your luck, just be easier to cooperate with, and a pleasure to work with. Be enthusiastic. Let people know your word means something. Let them your standards are absolute. Let them know you can execute hard decisions extremely well. Be reliable. In important partnerships, teams and business, reliable behavior makes it easier to trust you. The person who can handle large stakes well, is offered even larger stakes.

My mentor taught me that geo arbitrage will always be the thing that makes money You just copy whatever is making money in the west, make it a little bit better and more local, and sell it in other countries Me and a friend grew to $350k mrr making a malaysian openclaw alternative and we pretty much just stole the whole playbook There are literally endless opportunities like this

GPT-6 Astra is the most powerful trading agent right now. It gives you AGI-adjacent reasoning. I've shown the exact way to use GPT-6 Astra at its HIGHEST benchmark. You could literally build MOST complex trading models like hedge fund with it. x.com/i/article/2098…

The chance of AI catastrophe seems to be catching everyone’s eye. So when @unherd asked us to wade in with our own forecasts, we answered. We asked our team of world-leading forecasters: “absent a substantive policy response by the United States, what is the probability of AI causing human extinction by 1 January, 2037?” Their mean prediction? 1.5% As @tomough put it: “[a] figure of 1.5% — a likelihood higher than that of your car failing to start tomorrow — still feels uncomfortably high.” unherd.com/2026/09/welcom…

The biggest scam humanity has collectively accepted as normal, according to Claude

Jane Street pays $650,000 a year for quants. MIT wrote the exact bible to get there & released it for free. 51 pages. Zero to quant. Probability, stats, market making, real interview questions from Jane Street, Citadel, Two Sigma & more. Bookmark, before someone takes it down.

Roan @RohOnChain

6 months ago

x.com/i/article/2048…

30 186 1K 3.5M 6K

@mykebass @LinkedInLunat1c This changed my life. Thank you sir!

How to build AI agents from scratch

x.com/i/article/2033…

x.com/i/article/2033…

𝗚𝗮𝗺𝗲 𝗧𝗵𝗲𝗼𝗿𝘆 𝗯𝘆 𝗚𝗶𝗮𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗼 𝗕𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗻𝗻𝗼 Probably one of the best book on Game Theory. Access the PDF here: arxiv.org/pdf/1512.06808 𝗠𝗮𝗶𝗻 𝗧𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗰𝘀 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗣𝗮𝗽𝗲𝗿: - Introduction to Non-Cooperative Game Theory - Strategic-Form Games with Ordinal Payoffs - Dominance Relations (Strict and Weak) and Iterated Deletion Procedures - Second-Price Auctions and Pivotal (Clarke) Mechanism - Nash Equilibrium in Finite and Infinite Strategy Sets - Dynamic Games with Perfect Information and Backward Induction - Extensive-Form Games with Imperfect Information Subgame-Perfect Equilibrium - Games with Chance Moves .......

Things to research when bored: -String theory -Dark matter -Analects of Confucius -The Fermi Paradox -Quantum Entanglement -Time dilation and relativity -Transhumanism -Lost Civilisations and Myths -Political Bias in Cartography -Bioluminescence -Street art movements -Legends of Werewolves in Europe -The Voynich Manuscript -Green children of Woolpit

Game theory teaches: never enter a game you haven’t studied, never reveal your strategy until the incentives are locked, and never play to be liked, play to make the rules irrelevant by building leverage.

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THE 3 FORMULAS BEHIND POLYMARKET TRADING BOTS > i tried to actually understand what the author was pointing to in those two pages after digging into the formulas, this is basically what they mean > Page 1 - how Polymarket prices outcomes (LMSR): C(q) = b · ln(Σ e^(qᵢ/b)) > the probability you see in the market is basically a softmax: pᵢ = e^(qᵢ/b) / Σ e^(qⱼ/b) > which is funny because it's literally the same math used in neural networks so in a way the market itself acts like a classifier that aggregates beliefs > Page 2 - how the trading bot decides when to act the key formula is surprisingly simple: EV = p̂·(1−p) − (1−p̂)·p = p̂ − p where: p̂ = your estimated probability p = market probability if your estimate is higher than the market price → you have edge → trade > then the system keeps updating beliefs using Bayesian updates: log P(H|D) = log P(H) + Σ log P(Dₖ|H) − log Z so the loop is basically: 1. Estimate the real probability 2. Compare it to the market price 3. If EV > 0 → place trade 4. Update the estimate when new data arrives > repeat After looking at the latency table in the screenshot, it seems the real edge isn’t the formulas themselves > it’s execution speed their cycle shows ~828ms from data → update → trade > so honestly if you drop these formulas into an AI agent (@claudeai or @openclaw), it already has a pretty clear blueprint for what kind of system to build if I have misunderstood something, please write in the comments

may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth

8 months ago

A friend quit his quant fund job and sent me 2 pages. “These are the key formulas I used to make money on Polymarket. $400K a year. If you can apply them, you’ll get rich.” I didn’t believe him. I dropped both pages into OpenClaw and sent one prompt: “build a bot for

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