Forward Cap @forwardcap
Joined October 2021-
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Elon’s reluctance to educate consumers at scale has hurt Tesla’s mission and earnings power. Likely a reason for some exec departures too In FY23, Operating Income fell -35% YoY and will decline again in FY24 Cutting prices every 2-3 months doesn’t work
Elon’s reluctance to educate consumers at scale has hurt Tesla’s mission and earnings power. Likely a reason for some exec departures too In FY23, Operating Income fell -35% YoY and will decline again in FY24 Cutting prices every 2-3 months doesn’t work
Just when I thought we had lost all touch with reality, Google shows there is still hope No room for these pro Hamas fools
Just when I thought we had lost all touch with reality, Google shows there is still hope No room for these pro Hamas fools
$RIVN raised $13.5B during its IPO Current market cap = $9B
YoY growth in vehicle sales - Ford +7% (EV sales +86%) - GM +6% - BYD +13% (EV sales +36%) - Rivian +71% - Tesla -9%
So deliveries -9% YoY while ASPs also down significantly. Brutal for a stock trading at >60x earnings
So deliveries -9% YoY while ASPs also down significantly. Brutal for a stock trading at >60x earnings
People using $TM outperformance of $TSLA over the past year to justify that hybrids are the future. Very short-sighted I mean, Tesla was founded 20 years ago and still had a higher market cap than Toyota which was founded 90 years ago
Saudi PIF has now invested $6.4B into Lucid over the past six years. $LCID entire market cap is just $7B
Saudi PIF has now invested $6.4B into Lucid over the past six years. $LCID entire market cap is just $7B
Tesla spent years developing FSD, writing 300k lines of C++ code. In the past year, they changed approach to video training only (no code) & it’s already better 🤯 & will scale/improve much faster from here I don’t see how Waymo or Cruise compete with their current architectures
Tesla spent years developing FSD, writing 300k lines of C++ code. In the past year, they changed approach to video training only (no code) & it’s already better 🤯 & will scale/improve much faster from here I don’t see how Waymo or Cruise compete with their current architectures
Businesses and real estate create no economic value but memecoins do. Got it
Businesses and real estate create no economic value but memecoins do. Got it
$TSLA China wholesale (domestic + export) unit sales down -6% YTD (Jan + Feb) while ASPs also down from last year US and Europe volumes not looking great either
Another Tesla killer acquitted of all charges
Another Tesla killer acquitted of all charges https://t.co/QFj78rG3pa
James Stephenson @ICannot_Enough
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5K Followers 754 Following Leverage is the Beverage. TMT, Healthcare & misc generalist deathtraps. Credit of all flavors.if elon wants to be in wrecking ball mode, why doesn’t he take it to the entire tesla solar division instead. it’s been a completely worthless division since the $SCTY bankruptcy bailout.
Carbon capture lets heavy industries use their fuel of choice. That's why we're advancing CCS projects around the world.
@elonmuskADO X should be the holding company that owns Twitter and Twitter should be Twitter.
Can’t decide whether it is funny, ridiculous or sad that the CEOs of Occidental Petroleum and Delta Airlines are on the new AI safety board. Less than half of the 22 members have any real AI knowledge. Also odd that it’s not even vaguely bipartisan, has zero open source AI…
Battery recycling shatters the myth of electric-vehicle waste. The upfront emissions from making a battery are paid back after driving just 15,000 miles.
Words are just words. The only thing that can save $TSLA is a stabilization and reacceleration of earnings. I am not seeing any of that for years to come. I consider the share price reaction mostly a short squeeze because shorts got greedy. I have no idea how long and how far…
Things I didn't like from Tesla earning call: 1. Elon claiming Tesla is doing better than its Chinese competitors. That is simply not true. Tesla shrunk -7% YoY in China while NEV market rose +33% and BEV market grew +15% YoY. 2. Elon pumping FSD hard during the call, but…
Short term 1-3 years, Tesla’s growth looks dismal and I don’t buy the new vehicles within 1 year talk (hey, anyone see that flying Roadster?). BUT: long term if they solve robotaxi with regulatory approvals and/or Optimus scales or even if they just reduce COGS through unboxed…
@forwardcap @MurphyLavin This is such a key point. There’s so much they could do here. The supercharging network is completely unknown to normies. The cost savings from home charging and no oil changes alone is thousands annually vs the avg 25 mpg suv
@WholeMarsBlog @Tesla it has to be a meaningful budget for it to work. Google AdWords and a few ads on X isn’t enough. hire a seasoned marketing executive, build a team around them, and give them a serious budget to work with. I’d say $1 billion per year is a good start. Toyota blankets TV, radio,…
@WholeMarsBlog “We tried to the strategy of focusing on advertising while raising prices” — what world do you live in? There’s a difference between effective and ineffective advertising, and clearly what we have seen has been mediocre quality (and this is being generous) and totally…
the religious resistance to mass advertising within the $tsla community has ended up harming the company and slowed down the transition to renewable energy.
$TSLA as of July 2023: 1) $260/share. 2) 51x expected 2024 earnings. 3) 60% Y/Y 2024 EPS growth expected. Now: 1) $150/share 2) 55x expected 2024 earnings. 3) -12% Y/Y 2024 EPS growth expected. Lower price doesn't always mean cheaper... & vice versa.
Tesla is not an auto company, it's an AI / robotics company. That's why the stock price is dependent on auto loan interest rates
$GOOG just nuked 28 employees involved in the sit-in protests, stating clearly it will fire future disrupters: “Their behavior was unacceptable, extremely disruptive, and made co-workers feel threatened.” “If you’re…tempted to think we’re going to overlook conduct that…
As much as I have criticized Elon for his decisions and actions from 2021 on, he clearly earned his comp package. A deal's a deal, imo. How is this even a question?
now I’m actually living the *exact* life that I dreamed about few years ago. I work in my dream firm, in my dream role, and live in my dream city. back then I would’ve given up my thumbs if that’s what it would take. my finances are great. before this I would eat a heap of…
OK the new Full Self Driving from Tesla is very very good. Definitely a better driver than I am at this point.