8/ The great @johnhopebryant shared the attached "proverb" at a recent meeting, which was 100% spot-on for today's demanding environment. "When the sun comes up, you'd better be running." Run as fast as you can to help save your company's life. "Easy" popped with the bubble.
"Pursuit costs" - the money real estate buyers spend on a property before closing is the riskiest part of the deal
entitlements, option payments, due diligence, design can add up to a couple hundred thousand or more on a $5m development project
successful operators have
In the 7 recessionary episodes of the last 50 years, the US stock market bottomed on average:
- 12 months after (!) the first Fed cut
- 13 months after (!) the trough in unemployment rate
After, not before...
Legendary investor Howard Marks just released a new memo.
“In my 53 years in the investment world, I’ve seen economic cycles, manias and panics, bubbles and crashes, but I remember only two real sea changes. I think we may be in the midst of a third one today.”
My Notes…
Legendary Fundsmith CIO Terry Smith doesn't like to sell stocks.
But in his December update, he shockingly disclosed the sale of Intuit and PayPal. Smith ended the year with a 13.8% loss.
Here's how Fundsmith is managing this downturn sparked by inflation and rising rates.
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