Compound Kings @matfun7
Compound Kings - Here, we discuss long-term wealth creation, high-conviction stocks, global macro trends, and generational investing strategies. whatsapp.com/channel/0029Vb… Hong Kong Joined March 2016-
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$SOFI TECHNOLOGIES Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS 🔹 Revenue: $1.4B (Est. $1.25B) 🟢; +44% YoY 🔹 Adj. EPS: $0.18 (Est. $0.16) 🟢; +64% YoY 🔹 Adjusted EBITDA: $469.8M; +70% YoY 🔹 Members: 17.1M; +35% YoY FY26 Guide: 🔹 Adj. Revenue: ~$5.04B (Est. $4.87B) 🟢 🔹 Adjusted EPS: ~$0.61 (Est. $0.59) 🟢 🔹 Adjusted EBITDA: ~$1.66B 🔹 Adjusted Net Income: ~$840M 🔹 Member Growth: At least +30% YoY FY27 Guide: 🔹 Adj. Revenue: ~$6.4B (Est. $6B) 🟢 🔹 Adjusted EPS: ~$0.90 (Est. $0.82) 🟢 🔹 Adjusted EBITDA: ~$2.24B 🔹 Adjusted Net Income: ~$1.28B Segment Net Revenue: 🔹 Lending: $821.3M; +66% YoY 🔹 Financial Services: $525.1M; +25% YoY 🔹 Technology Platform: $87.4M; -24% YoY Other Q3 Metrics: 🔹 Total Products: 26.7M; +44% YoY 🔹 Fee-Based Revenue: $570.6M 🔹 Net Interest Margin: 6.14% 🔹 Total Deposits: $51.3B Comments: 🔸 “We are adding more members, who are using more products, and generating more revenue per product to create the most value for our shareholders over the long run.” 🔸 “Our conviction in the opportunity ahead has never been greater.”
JP Morgan just released their Q3 Guide to the Markets. It's over 71 pages of institutional-grade research with hundreds of charts and data points. I just went through the entire document and compiled the 13 most important charts: 🧵👇
Bill Ackman thinks $NFLX can compound earnings at around 20% a year… do you agree? That’s a big reason he came back with a roughly $1B position after losing $400M on Netflix in 2022. And he’s not alone: - Pershing Square: ~19% EPS CAGR - JPMorgan: ~24% - Evercore: ~20% - Jefferies: ~20% Netflix already grew EPS from roughly $0.63 in 2020 to $2.58 in 2025. At around 22x forward earnings, can $NFLX keep compounding EPS near 20% for another 5 years?
Morgan Stanley on $AMZN (Bull Case Sees $500 PT) See AWS’s road to $1 trillion of revenue over the next 8-10 years, which paints a path toward $500 billion of company-wide EBIT and a $500 share price by year-end 2027. Our base case remains $335 PT, with the bull case increasingly in play if AWS delivers as we think it could. Amazon’s $1 trillion vision for AWS revenue reinforces the high-ROIC opportunity ahead. Believe Amazon is confident given 2Q26 earnings commentary laying out a vision of $1 trillion of AWS revenue, roughly 6x larger than the current ~$170 billion annualized, with long-term returns similar to the core AWS business over the past ~20 years. Amazon believes AWS could very possibly become a $1 trillion annual revenue business over time, with very appealing accompanying free cash flow and return on invested capital. Importantly, Amazon sees margins and returns in AI tracking what it saw with the core AWS business at the same point of evolution and actually a little ahead. Bringing on compute capacity remains the gating factor. As innovation and demand for GenAI tools continue to scale, we believe each hyperscaler’s ability to bring on compute capacity is the key factor driving forward revenue growth. Estimate Amazon will bring on 6-8 GW of compute capacity in 2026/2027. While visibility beyond 2027 is limited given server/rack purchase volumes, power requirements, regulatory uncertainty, and physical limits to faster data center openings, we believe Amazon is executing at an organized and rapid clip. As a base case, we assume adding 8 incremental GW per year is a reasonable range going forward. Analyst: Brian Nowak
$NFLX Netflix Q2 FY26: • Revenue +13% Y/Y to $12.6B ($20M miss). • Operating margin 33% (-1pp Y/Y). • EPS $0.80 ($0.01 beat). FY26 Guidance: • Revenue +13%-14% Y/Y (narrower). • Operating margin 31.5% (unchanged).
Warren Buffett on the one thing you need to be a successful investor:
This Economy Is Now Just AI! 🤖 $AMD just dropped a monster Q1 2026 report! The Numbers: • Revenue: $10.25B (+38% YoY) vs $9.89B est. • EPS: $1.37 (+43% YoY) vs $1.29 est. • Data Center: $5.8B (+57% YoY) now the primary driver! • Record FCF: $2.6B (Tripled YoY) The Guidance:AMD is raising the bar with $11.2B revenue projected for Q2 (+46% YoY). Lisa Su says demand for AI infrastructure is "accelerating meaningfully." Stock up 16% in after-hours. #AMD #StockMarket #AI #Semiconductors #Earnings
$AMD AMD Q1 FY26: • Revenue +38% Y/Y to $10.3B ($0.3B beat). • Operating margin 14% (+4pp Y/Y). • Non-GAAP EPS $1.37 ($0.08 beat). • Q2 FY26 rev guide ~$11.2B ($0.7B beat).
$AAPL Apple Q2 FY26 (March quarter): 📱 Products +17% Y/Y to $80.2B. 💳 Services +16% Y/Y to $31.0B. • Revenue +17% Y/Y to $111.2B ($1.6B beat). • Operating margin 32% (+1pp Y/Y). • EPS $2.01 ($0.07 beat).
$MSFT Microsoft Q3 FY26 (March quarter): ☁️ Azure +39% fx neutral. • Revenue +18% Y/Y to $82.9B ($1.5B beat). • Gross margin 68% (-1pp Y/Y) • Operating margin 46% (+1pp Y/Y). • EPS $4.27 ($0.22 beat).
The Ultimate Warren Buffett Clip Compilation is Here! Over 1.5 hours of Buffett wisdom. Bookmark this so you never lose it. 👇
$GOOG Alphabet Q1 FY26: • Revenue +22% Y/Y to $109.9B ($2.9B beat). • Operating margin 36% (+2pp Y/Y). • $37.7B net gains from equity investments. ☁️ Google Cloud: • Revenue +63% Y/Y to $20.0B. • Operating margin 33% (+15pp Y/Y). ▶️ YouTube ads +11% to $9.9B.
$AMZN Amazon Q1 FY26: • Revenue +17% Y/Y to $181.5B ($4.3B beat). • Operating margin 13% (+1pp Y/Y). • EPS $2.78 ($1.13 beat). • Q1 FY26 rev guide: +16%–19% Y/Y. ☁️ AWS: • Revenue +28% Y/Y to $37.6B. • Operating margin 38% (-2pp Y/Y).
"No one has ever been a success betting against America since 1776 — and they're not going to be a success in the future doing it, either." – Warren Buffett
Q1 2026 Earnings Season earningswhispers.com/calendar $MSFT $TSLA $AAPL $UNH $AMZN $PLTR $NVDA $SNDK $SOFI $META $NOW $INTC $HOOD $AMD $GOOGL $CLF $ISRG $VRT $LRCX $IBM $ALK $GE $HIMS $SHOP $NOK $LITE $GEV $RTX $CRWV $CLS $COF $DIS $BA $UAL $BE $BOH $NU $IBKR $IONQ $LMT $APH $ALAB $FSLY $STX $VZ $WDC $T $TER $TXN $CVX
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