David Mulholland @nipoligraph

Data analysis for Northern Ireland politics nipoligraph.co.uk Belfast, UK Joined September 2017

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Patrick Flynn @patrickjfl

a year ago

@focaldataHQ Full write-up with further analysis and interactive maps 👇 focaldata.com/blog/focaldata…

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Types of gifts received by NI Assembly departments in recent years. Education ministers get lots of homemade, keepsake gifts. See the full gifts & hospitality dataset here nipoligraph.co.uk/blog/odni-mini… @opendatani

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David Mulholland @nipoligraph

a year ago

A few new datasets are on NIPG now, via @opendatani. Here is the value of gifts received by NI Assembly departments (not always kept/used personally by the minister) in recent years. Explore the full gifts & hospitality data here: nipoligraph.co.uk/blog/odni-mini…

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David Mulholland @nipoligraph

a year ago

Another measure of status within the party could be activity in the Assembly, where Mr O'Toole is by far the most frequent contributor in recent plenary debates, though others including Daniel McCrossan have asked more questions to ministers. nipoligraph.co.uk/what-they-do

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David Mulholland @nipoligraph

a year ago

Confirming what is obvious, Claire Hanna and Matthew O'Toole have the biggest print media footprint in NI PoliGraph's news tracking, making them them the natural names to be mentioned in respect of the leadership election. nipoligraph.co.uk/what-we-report

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David Mulholland @nipoligraph

2 years ago

NIPG tracker after two recent polls. The ULiv poll asked about voting intention in the next Westminster election, but has been included as if it were a regular party support question. The slow flow of support from TUV back to DUP appears to continue.

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David Mulholland @nipoligraph

2 years ago

Belatedly, the August LucidTalk poll showed continued swings SF-to-SDLP and TUV-to-DUP. Note that compared to the raw poll data, the headline numbers for DUP and UUP reported for the poll seem to have been misquoted by 1% each.

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David Mulholland @nipoligraph

2 years ago

It was a forecast-busting performance from Sinn Fein. To be fair, the indications were there in recent polls, but I didn't expect them to translate so directly into local votes. SDLP, UUP, Green, even Alli pushed towards lower end of expectations by the SF over-performance.

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David Mulholland @nipoligraph

2 years ago

Those Alliance gains are predicted to most likely come in Causeway Coast & Glens (+4), Newry, Mourne & Down (+3), Lisburn & Castlereagh (+3), and Antrim & Newtownabbey (+2). Sinn Fein gains are predicted in Fermanagh & Omagh (+3), Derry & Strabane (+2), and Belfast City (+2).