Electoral Calculus @ElectCalculus
Electoral Calculus (https://t.co/4i0ISPybeH) is a quantitative political consultancy, well-known for its website of election predictions and data. electoralcalculus.co.uk United Kingdom Joined September 2016-
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🚨 SNAP DIGITAL ID POLL🚨 We at @ElectCalculus and @FindoutnowUK asked the public whether they support or oppose the government's plan for Digital ID. The public rejects Digital ID, by a clear margin according to our findings. ❌ Oppose: 47% ✅ Support: 27%
Our latest monthly prediction now includes Tactical Voting which deprives #Reform of an absolute majority due to anti-Reform tactical voting. #Labour and #Conservatives still trailing in polls, but helped by TV. Details at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…
EXCLUSIVE: YOUNG PEOPLE LEAD THE REVOLT AGAINST DIGITAL ID Tune into @GBNEWS next to discover why the anti-Digital ID backlash is being led by youngsters - the very people Labour believed backed them! Has Labour spectacularly misjudged the national mood? From @ElectCalculus
New study shows that tactical voting against Reform UK could cost the insurgent party dozens of MPs express.co.uk/news/politics/…
Our latest poll with @FindoutnowUK, featured in @thetimes, reveals strong anti-Reform tactical voting which could cost Farage 60 seats and the possibility of an outright majority at the next general election. Read our full analysis ⬇️ electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/pseph_ta…
Our latest poll with @FindoutnowUK, featured in @thetimes, reveals strong anti-Reform tactical voting which could cost Farage 60 seats and the possibility of an outright majority at the next general election. Read our full analysis ⬇️ electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/pseph_ta…
Should Keir Starmer remain as Prime Minister or resign? Our new poll with @FindoutnowUK shows a majority of Brits want him to step down, amid a crisis of confidence in his leadership. ⬇️ 54% of the public want Starmer to resign 21% want him to remain as PM
Our latest poll for @PrprtyChronicle, featured in the @Telegraph, shows the majority of Brits back a balanced budget, but deciding where to make cuts proves more difficult. Full findings ⬇️ electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_fisca…
Our latest poll for @PrprtyChronicle, featured in the @Telegraph, shows the majority of Brits back a balanced budget, but deciding where to make cuts proves more difficult. Full findings ⬇️ electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_fisca…
Generative AI tools give confident but very often incorrect answers. A report by @TweetMRS Census and GeoDems Group reveals that most current LLMs failed to accurately answer a UK statistics focused question. Read the full report here⬇️ mrs.org.uk/resources/inac…
Our latest poll-of-polls has #ReformUK maintain its strong lead over #Labour, who are slightly down on last month. Reform would likely form a government if there were an election now. Details at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…
Our latest poll for the @Telegraph highlights shifts in how mental health is perceived in the UK. More than half of the public say mental health problems are often exaggerated, yet only 14% believe current services meet demand. Full findings here ⬇️ electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_mhpol…
Our latest poll for the @Telegraph highlights shifts in how mental health is perceived in the UK. More than half of the public say mental health problems are often exaggerated, yet only 14% believe current services meet demand. Full findings here ⬇️ electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_mhpol…
The UK Census is going ahead in 2031. This important data source supports the future of population statistics and continues to be of enormous value. Read more about the @TweetMRS Census & GeoDems Group’s involvement in the consultation here ⬇️ research-live.com/article/opinio…
As we predicted on Thursday, Japan’s ruling LDP-Komeito coalition has lost its majority in the Upper House, falling three seats short. The LDP remains the largest party, but the right-wing Sanseito surged to 14 seats, shifting the balance of power. ⬇️
As we predicted on Thursday, Japan’s ruling LDP-Komeito coalition has lost its majority in the Upper House, falling three seats short. The LDP remains the largest party, but the right-wing Sanseito surged to 14 seats, shifting the balance of power. ⬇️
Our poll for @stae_elephants reveals strong public support for the Animals (Low-Welfare Activities Abroad) Act 2023. People want the Gov to prioritise implementation, but lack confidence in its ability to promote ethical animal tourism 🐘 Full findings⬇️ electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_staep…
Our poll for @stae_elephants reveals strong public support for the Animals (Low-Welfare Activities Abroad) Act 2023. People want the Gov to prioritise implementation, but lack confidence in its ability to promote ethical animal tourism 🐘 Full findings⬇️ electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_staep…
As of Thursday, Electoral Calculus predicts Sunday’s Japanese Election will likely end the LDP-Komeito coalition in the Upper House. LDP set to remain the largest party, but right-wing Sanseito may gain 12+ seats, boosting its influence. Read more ⬇️ electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_japan…
One year into Starmer’s Labour government, our poll for the Sunday Mirror reveals a stark warning as the public feel worse off and nearly half say the PM lacks clear values and priorities. Read the full findings ⬇️ electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_mirro…
One year into Starmer’s Labour government, our poll for the Sunday Mirror reveals a stark warning as the public feel worse off and nearly half say the PM lacks clear values and priorities. Read the full findings ⬇️ electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_mirro…
Our latest poll-of-polls has #Reform just short of an overall majority, ahead of #Labour, the #LibDems and the #Conservatives. The situation is very volatile and can quickly change. More details at: electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…
Our new MRP poll, on behalf of @PLMRLtd and with @FindoutnowUK, suggests that if a General Election were held soon, Reform could win an outright majority with 377 seats, while the Conservatives may drop to just 29 seats 🗳️ Read more electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_vipol…
Our exclusive new poll with @FindoutnowUK reveals why many Labour voters no longer support the party and what is driving them away 📊 Read their views in their own words ⬇️ electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_labde…
Get a competitive edge with our Live Seat Data Maps. Receive monthly predictions for your constituency, detailed vote share analysis, and targeted data to strengthen your campaign efforts. Visit our store for full access & free samples ⬇️ electoralcalculus.co.uk/services_lsdm.…
Catch this yet? Our latest voter transition graphic shows how party support has changed between 2024 and May 2025. Explore the key shifts ⬇️ electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/pseph_tr…
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