Marwan🇲🇦🇬🇧 @MarwanData
Fintech Data Scientist @currensea and Pollster @ElectCalculus, RTs/Likes/Quotes/Follows not endorsement, Views my own. Joined July 2013-
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My guesses... Liz Truss or JRM
Here's something I prepared earlier... x.com/MarwanData/sta…
Here's something I prepared earlier... x.com/MarwanData/sta…
Jacob Rees-Mogg will be attending the Reform conference at an event named "How can Reform succeed in office?". Note that this is not in his capacity as a GB News presenter. Defection on the cards? 👀
This Caerphilly contest will be the last ever by election for a Senedd seat, as the voting system changes from FPTP to a list in May 2026. With polls as they are, this is Reform's to lose. Prediction based on current polling... ➡️ RFM: 31.6% 🟡 PC: 23.1% 🌹LAB: 22.7%
This Caerphilly contest will be the last ever by election for a Senedd seat, as the voting system changes from FPTP to a list in May 2026. With polls as they are, this is Reform's to lose. Prediction based on current polling... ➡️ RFM: 31.6% 🟡 PC: 23.1% 🌹LAB: 22.7% https://t.co/2BFx8RddwI
Further to this comment, can anyone in the Twittersphere explain to me, step by step, how an early election in the UK could be called?
Further to this comment, can anyone in the Twittersphere explain to me, step by step, how an early election in the UK could be called?
As parliament resumes today, we examine the state of the parties. Based on polling over the last month the chances of each party forming the next government are as follows. ➡️ RFM Majority: 48% ➡️ RFM Minority: 38% 🌹LAB Minority: 11% 🌳CON Minority: 2% 🌹LAB Majority: 1%
Marwan🇲🇦🇬🇧 retweeted
Here’s the latest betting for the next General Election with @StarSports_Bet: Overall outcome: ⚖️ No Overall Majority / Hung Parliament: 4/5 🔵 Reform Majority: 12/5 🌹 Labour Majority: 4/1 🔵 Tory Majority: 14/1 🔶 Lib Dem Majority: 100/1 ✊ Your Party (Corbyn/Sultana): 200/1
Here’s the latest betting for the next General Election with @StarSports_Bet: Overall outcome: ⚖️ No Overall Majority / Hung Parliament: 4/5 🔵 Reform Majority: 12/5 🌹 Labour Majority: 4/1 🔵 Tory Majority: 14/1 🔶 Lib Dem Majority: 100/1 ✊ Your Party (Corbyn/Sultana): 200/1
Very good result for the Conservatives. Religious make up of this ward: Christian ✝️: 39.3% Muslim ☪️: 21.4% Sikh 👳♂️: 18.9% Hindu 🕉: 10.2% No Religion: 8.1%
Very good result for the Conservatives. Religious make up of this ward: Christian ✝️: 39.3% Muslim ☪️: 21.4% Sikh 👳♂️: 18.9% Hindu 🕉: 10.2% No Religion: 8.1%
Photos from a trad(i) French wedding.
The highest poll ratings for the top 3 parties in 2025. LAB 🌹: 30% CON 🌳: 29% RFM ➡️: 34% The lowest poll ratings for the top 3 parties in 2025. LAB 🌹: 20% (15% if you include Your Party) CON 🌳: 16% RFM ➡️: 20%
The highest poll ratings for the top 3 parties in 2025. LAB 🌹: 30% CON 🌳: 29% RFM ➡️: 34% The lowest poll ratings for the top 3 parties in 2025. LAB 🌹: 20% (15% if you include Your Party) CON 🌳: 16% RFM ➡️: 20%
Marwan🇲🇦🇬🇧 retweeted
Happy 94th birthday, Sir Roger Penrose! 🎉
If a Sennedd constituency voted like this in the elections next year, then the 6 seats allocated would be: 1) RFM ➡️ 2) PLC 🌼 3) LAB🌹 4) RFM ➡️ 5) PLC 🌼 6) RFM ➡️
If a Sennedd constituency voted like this in the elections next year, then the 6 seats allocated would be: 1) RFM ➡️ 2) PLC 🌼 3) LAB🌹 4) RFM ➡️ 5) PLC 🌼 6) RFM ➡️
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