Nucleus 42 @nucleuspredict
Independent U.S. election forecasting model. 2026 House and Senate projections, probabilities, simulations, and reproducible methodology. github.com/juaniflls/midt… Joined September 2026-
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SENATE BATTLEGROUNDS Margin/Rating/Win Probabilty: ME D+0.85/TU/D56% AK D+1.8/TD/D62% OH D+2.0/TD/D65% TX D+2.3/TD/D67% IA R+2.3/TR/R65% NE R+2.5/TR/R66% FL R+3.9/LR/R67% KS R+4.2/LR/R78% MI D+5.1/LD/D84% NC D+7.8/LikD/D93% NH D+8.7/LikD/D95% GA D+12.1/LikD/D97% 4/4
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SENATE Democrats have a 72.0% chance of controlling the Senate. Central forecast: D 52 – R 48 Net Democratic gain: +5 Projected Democratic flips: NC, TX, OH, AK, ME Projected Republican flips: none 3/4
FORECAST UPDATE | Sep. 28, 2026 NUCLEUS 42 snapshot: • House: Democrats 92.5% | D 230 – R 205 • Senate: Democrats 72.0% | D 52 – R 48 • Popular vote: D 52.78% – R 44.30% • Monte Carlo: 50,000 simulations Forecast Website: nucleus42.onrender.com 1/4
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