The Capital Allocator @theallocator_

Family Office Investment Lead | Long Term Capital Allocator | Not Financial Advice Joined October 2022

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Kevin Gordon @KevRGordon

4 days ago

Lots of bubble talk these days so it's interesting to look back at the market's peak in March 2000 ... in the first two years of that bear market, the cap-weighted S&P 500 was down by 24.8%, while the equal-weighted S&P 500 was up by 11.3%

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The Capital Allocator @theallocator_

4 days ago

For years we heard about neat cycle theories. Now that reality doesn’t fit, the story changes: “cycles no longer apply.” Models weren’t right — they were wrong.

Altcoin Daily @AltcoinDaily

5 days ago

For years we heard about neat cycle theories. Now that reality doesn’t fit, the story changes: “cycles no longer apply.” Models weren’t right — they were wrong.

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The Capital Allocator @theallocator_

4 days ago

Irrational Exuberance

Liz Ann Sonders @LizAnnSonders

4 days ago

Irrational Exuberance

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Mark Minervini @markminervini

5 days ago

This market is starting to feel like early 1999, where the indexes ran up on fewer and fewer names. Of course, 99 saw one of the biggest rallies in history on the Nasdaq. And then, it wasn't so pretty afterward. Historically, I tend to get cautious early. My hope is that we get…

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The Capital Allocator @theallocator_

6 days ago

Is the MVRV Z-Score still relevant? With institutional flows via ETFs reshaping Bitcoin demand, old retail-driven metrics may no longer capture the full picture.

On-Chain College @OnChainCollege

6 days ago

Is the MVRV Z-Score still relevant? With institutional flows via ETFs reshaping Bitcoin demand, old retail-driven metrics may no longer capture the full picture.

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The Capital Allocator @theallocator_

6 days ago

Shiller CAPE > 40. For the first time since the dot-com bubble in 2000, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings ratio has crossed 40. Such extremes have been rare in history — and they’ve never lasted. The open question: does this signal a peak in exuberance, or are we…

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a16z @a16z

6 days ago

Ben Horowitz: Computing has always needed two pillars, machines and networks. AI has the machines but not the network. Crypto is the missing layer, giving AI money, identity, provenance against deepfakes, and a decentralized registry of truth. Source: @bhorowitz at Columbia…

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Simon Ree @simon_ree

7 days ago

$NVDA has to provide the capital to its customers which becomes its revenues in order to maintain revenue growth, and the market is celebrating this? Sounds kinda like a Ponzi to me...

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The Capital Allocator @theallocator_

a week ago

Why the portfolio performs so well: The strong performance is no accident — it comes from a disciplined combination of: Wide economic moats High return on invested capital Strong earnings yield Positive momentum

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The Capital Allocator @theallocator_

a week ago

Gold’s dramatic outperformance poses a dilemma for asset allocators. Do we take profits and rebalance — treating gold like any other asset that’s run ahead? Or is this time different, with gold’s surge acting as a warning sign of a much bigger fiat currency crisis?

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The Capital Allocator @theallocator_

a week ago

European small caps look attractive on valuations vs. U.S. small caps. The discount is even larger when compared with U.S. large caps. Chart: @johnauthers

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The Capital Allocator @theallocator_

a week ago

Legends

The Tennis Letter @TheTennisLetter

a week ago

Legends

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Financelot @FinanceLancelot

2 weeks ago

It should be obvious to everyone now that we're at the end of a 16 year economic cycle that was prolonged with cheap debt similar to 1929.

Ozzy @ozzy_livin

2 weeks ago

It should be obvious to everyone now that we're at the end of a 16 year economic cycle that was prolonged with cheap debt similar to 1929. https://t.co/qnEppAZnlo

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The Capital Allocator @theallocator_

2 weeks ago

S&P 500’s Price-to-Sales ratio is now more than double its long-term average. Strong margins justify part of the premium. But if profitability normalizes, investors may find they’ve overpaid for growth. Chart: Charlie Biello

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Li ❄️🔥Sincaraz daily ❤️‍🔥 @sincarazzzz

2 weeks ago

I miss tennis 🎾

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The Capital Allocator @theallocator_

2 weeks ago

US equities trade at record valuations. Historically, such extremes didn’t last and often led to mean reversion. Stimulus may cushion weakness — but the margin of safety is thin. Diversification is key. Chart via @SarnaCapital

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Nicolas Ally @nick_ally1986

3 weeks ago

16,950 points is basically equivalent to a player holding simultaneously all the 4 slams, the world tour finals (unbeaten) and around 7 masters 100 plus a 500😱. No one is ever breaking this Djokovic record (not a tough field to achieve this 😉)

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The Capital Allocator @theallocator_

3 weeks ago

Bitcoin was the best-performing asset in eight out of the last ten years (2015-2024). This year, gold is leading until today…

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Ophir Gottlieb @OphirGottlieb

3 weeks ago

$ORCL has $11B in cash, $105B in debt, generates $20B in cash from operations and is now FCF negative. How is this all going to work exactly? ORCL has to buy the chips, take on more debt, while OpenAI has $10B in revenue but will spend $60B/yr in CapEx for five years. What?