tp @tpunreleased
swing trader, investor | crypto, fx Joined October 2025-
Tweets18
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Followers18
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Following47
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US 30y yield just hit 5.6%. Highest since 2002. Buckle up. Good luck buying a house.
Everybody asks me if AI will replace us. Relax. AI still can't get me a table in Monaco on a Saturday night. What will replace us is the heating bill. Let me explain how the energy crisis works, because nobody else will. Somewhere far away there are two very narrow pieces of water. Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb. They decide if your apartment in Zurich is 21 degrees or 14. Most Europeans can't pronounce either. Doesn't matter. They will learn, like they learned "Nord Stream" in 2022. Then a missile flies. The oil tanker takes the scenic route around Africa. Two extra weeks at sea. The captain is happy, he gets a tan. You are not happy, you get the invoice. Brussels calls an emergency meeting. After 11 hours they agree on one thing: the date of the next meeting. Germany opens the window to save energy, then closes it because it's cold. Switzerland says it is neutral. Also on the price. It is not. Meanwhile I ask my AI what to do. It says "diversify your energy sources." Thank you. I bought a second sweater. Winter is coming. Not the Netflix one. The one with the invoice.
@h_dumptytrading the fed rarely only hikes once, if we get a hoke it won't be the only one
@h_dumptytrading you do know that the preferred inflation measure for the fed is the pce not the cpi
@h_dumptytrading did you take that easy short at the Vah ?
BREAKING: The 10Y Note Yield officially rises above 5.00% for the first time since October 2023. US mortgage rates are back above 7%.
@Kalshi The ranking is soft (45 cities, entertainment-platform study), but the underlying point isn't: Zurich's edge is disposable income after rent, ~$4k/month. High cost of living, higher pay. That's a different claim than "best city to live in" and one the EIU index doesn't measure
@jbulltard1 Credibility isn't the hike itself, it's not blinking at a single print. CPI lands the 11th, five days before the decision. Hiking into a soft one reads reactive, not credible.
@h_dumptytrading looks solid, sizing according to the quality of the setup is one of the key components of good risk management
ethereum:native Looking to short ETH around 2500–2510, confluent with the range VAH and weekly VAH. Above sits the yearly VWAP VAH, capping the upside. Target: yearly VWAP.
If you want to level up in trading Here is a list: - Eat clean, you will have less brain fog - get yourself an ergonomic chair (once you made your first big profits) - Have clear trading hours rather than being active 24/7 - Have a long-term vision, the GT3rs won't run away - Learn to listen to higher-level traders (put your ego aside) - Find a hobby to clear your mind (more important than you think) - Don’t compare yourself to others if you don’t know their journey Follow for the reality of trading instead of all the nonsense online
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