T-Rex Capital @trexcapital
Investing, Economics New York Joined April 2026-
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T-Rex Capital retweeted
Whales are not done with $QQQ: $89M in total put premium on the day. 🐋
T-Rex Capital retweeted
The CPI is leaked play $SPY
T-Rex Capital retweeted
$SPY a great post by John @market_sleuth . Long story short, as a retailers you would be much better off long investing than trading especially shorting the market. 1. Why retailers should always cautiously long and quote on quote buy the dip on $SPY? Because $SPY along with treasury bonds are the backbone of us economy, it cannot afford to fail in the long run. Meanwhile the way $SPY adds good performance stock and kicks out bad ones also helps its long term performance together with the fact all 401k money invests in it periodically nonstop. But it does not mean retailers should blindly long spy every day. Taking recent PA as an example long at 750 compared to long at 780 are two different mindset. 2. Why most retailers should not short all the time? Because both Warren buffets and Stanley drunkenmiller said so. If drunkenmiller can lose hundreds of million shorting internet stocks. What makes you so confident you can do it? Secondly playing both sides are extremely hard. It sounds sexy people can go back and forth long low and short high. Trust me it is very hard. I tried it again and again and got burned. That is why I long mainly. Can you use short as hedge? Absolutely when IV is low. And I repeatedly say you do not need much size of hedge to protect your portfolio 3. Can market crash occur? Absolutely, in fact I think if interest rates keeps going up above 6% market can crash 30% or more. But does that mean I can make money preparing for it. Absolutely not. I rather follow market tape every day and put a small hedge in case something extreme happens. With the way 0DTE dominates every aspects of the market, I would not be surprised one day spy crashed 10%. But guess what when that happens most bears would take profit after 1.5% and celebrate. They can never even Let profit run beyond 2.5% let alone catching the whole 10%
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