Beforeweknow @Beforeweknow

@mickeyhardy Every accusation is a confession.

The Government™ has made an ad about the protests happening around the world, and it’s surprisingly honest and informative.🌍🌎🌏

This paper answers why confident idiots run the world. Cornell University published a psychological paper that explains every terrible boss, every loud influencer, and every broken corporate hierarchy. It’s called “Unskilled and Unaware of It.” they tested participants across logic, grammar, and humor to measure the gap between actual performance and self-perception. And the results are wild. participants scoring in the bottom 12th percentile consistently believed they were operating in the 62nd percentile. they were not lying. they were literally incapable of recognizing their own incompetence. the paper revealed a brutal paradox: the exact skills required to master a domain are the exact same skills required to accurately evaluate your own competence in that domain. if you lack the skill, you inherently lack the cognitive capacity to realize you are failing. this creates a dangerous systemic loop. the incompetent are blessed with absolute, blinding certainty. their brain protects them from their own ignorance, allowing them to speak first, demand authority, and never second-guess their decisions. meanwhile, the actual experts suffer the exact inverse. top performers in the study consistently underestimated their rank. because a task was easy for them, they falsely assumed it was easy for everyone else. they hesitate. they obsess over nuance. they assume they have nothing unique to add. we are biologically wired to confuse confidence with competence. the loudest person in the room gets promoted, gets funded, and gets the microphone, not because they know what they are doing, but because they are physically incapable of seeing what they don't. the only defense mechanism is building systems that stop rewarding absolute certainty and start demanding proof of work.

Holy fucking shit

High schoolers, students: the twilight of macronism Hundreds of thousands of young people work hard to earn their high school diplomas, but there is nothing planned to welcome them into higher education thomaspiketty.wordpress.com/2026/10/20/hig…

🔴🇫🇷FLASH - 780 étudiantes et étudiants de 15 écoles de #journalisme dénoncent dans une tribune le traitement #médiatique des mobilisations lycéennes de ces dernières semaines et appellent à défendre une information indépendante, respectueuse de la #déontologie et de son rôle de contre-pouvoir démocratique. « Nous dénonçons la couverture médiatique actuelle du mouvement lycéen par une grande partie des médias. Nous l’estimons intolérable. Les revendications lycéennes se retrouvent invisibilisées par des lignes éditoriales sensationnalistes et orientées. Nous accusons certains médias d’omettre les violences policières, en se concentrant davantage sur les incidents provoqués par des “individus extérieurs”, qui se seraient greffés aux groupes des lycéens. Il est également important de souligner que certains médias refusent toujours de flouter les mineurs pris en photos et vidéos, bafouant ainsi leurs droits. Sous couvert d’une prétendue impartialité journalistique, certaines rédactions faussent l’accès à l’information pour décrédibiliser le mouvement. ACRIMED relate qu’entre le 28 septembre et le 1er octobre 2026, les JT de France 2 (ceux de 13 h et 20 h) ont consacré seulement 11 sujets aux mobilisations lycéennes : 75 % du temps des sujets abordaient la dégradation matérielle, 8 % les revendications et seulement 3 % concernaient les violences policières, soit 47 secondes d’antenne… Nous observons une dissonance entre ce que nous voyons nous-mêmes sur le terrain, au contact des personnes qui luttent, et ce que relaie la majorité des médias. Une telle couverture médiatique ne masque-t-elle pas les enjeux de la mobilisation ? Les rédactions mettent sous silence ce mouvement social. En tant que futurs journalistes, nous nous indignons de ces méthodes, contraires à la déontologie journalistique. (…) On nous apprend que les mots servent d’abord à présenter les faits. Les événements récents mettent en lumière la manière dont la majorité des #médias opèrent une inversion symbolique, consistant à traiter davantage les dégâts matériels que la perte d’un œil, d’une main ou d’une mâchoire fracturée. (…) Ces sujets nous concernent toutes et tous. Nous devons nous mobiliser afin que ces enjeux déontologiques ne soient pas étouffés au service de cette répression exercée sur la liberté d’expression. L’essor grandissant de nouveaux médias, sur les réseaux sociaux, est un indicateur important du besoin de représentation que ressentent de nombreux jeunes. Nous nous opposons aux méthodes de traitement de l’information de certains médias grand public. Ils devraient réaliser un travail important de recontextualisation, qui permettrait de comprendre la complexité d’un mouvement social. En tant qu’étudiants en journalisme, il est de notre devoir de nous unir contre cette #désinformation qui porte préjudice à la reconnaissance des revendications et occulte les violences policières subies, en grande partie par des mineurs. Le journalisme est un contre-pouvoir par nature et l’information, un bien commun. N’oublions pas que l’essor de la presse prend ses racines en pleine Révolution française, en suivant l’idée républicaine : par le peuple, pour le peuple. Nous nous reconnaissons davantage dans la couverture de certains médias à la ligne éditoriale indépendante et appelons les médias grand public et leurs journalistes à se responsabiliser. Chaque journaliste a une responsabilité. S’affranchir du cadre déontologique, en faisant primer l’#opinion sur la véracité des faits, revient à condamner à mort, non pas uniquement la profession, mais la démocratie elle-même. Nous ne voulons pas de ce journalisme. » (780 étudiantes et étudiants de 15 écoles de journalisme : École de journalisme de CY Cergy, Celsa – Paris, CFJ – Paris, ESJ – Lille, École de journalisme de Grenoble, IFP – Paris, EJCAM – Marseille, IJBA – Bordeaux, IPJ – Paris, EDJ – Paris, CUEJ – Strasbourg, IUT de Lannion, EJC – Cannes, Master de journalisme de Metz, EPJT – Tours.)

Una de las grandes mentiras de este tiempo es que no hay dinero. Que por eso hay que recortar en educación, salud, jubilaciones. Pero riqueza sí hay, solo que acaparada por ricos cada vez más ricos. Lo explica Piketty con números, para entender por qué tantos protestan en Europa.

Esta tana dice lo que el mundo está empezando a ver, no es contra la izquierda ni contra la derecha, estamos siendo víctimas de poderes que están mucho más arriba y solo buscan reducir a la población a míseros exclavos del sistema.

France, Education, Thomas Piketty ecrit: “des centaines de milliers de jeunes ont travaillé dur pour obtenir leur baccalauréat, mais que rien n’a été prévu pour les accueillir dans le supérieur. En particulier, le nombre de bacheliers technologiques et professionnels a fortement progressé, mais les places en IUT et BTS n’ont pas suivi, si bien que beaucoup se retrouvent affectés dans des filières universitaires surpeuplées et moins coûteuses, et souvent totalement inadaptées à leurs besoins et aspirations. Le gâchis humain et économique est gigantesque,…” Pas d’argent pour l’Education? “le pouvoir en place et ses soutiens expliquent que la France n’a pas les moyens d’investir davantage. Ils commettent une double erreur de raisonnement. La dette publique est certes passée de 20 % du PIB en 1970 à 120 % aujourd’hui. Mais dans le même temps, les patrimoines privés ont augmenté beaucoup plus fortement : ils sont passés de 300 % à 600 % du PIB, avec une concentration extrême au sein des plus grandes fortunes financières. Autrement dit, le patrimoine national de la France – somme du patrimoine privé et public, après déduction des dettes privées et publiques – n’a jamais été aussi élevé, non seulement en montant absolu, mais aussi en pourcentage du PIB (qui lui-même n’a jamais été aussi élevé).” “Autrement dit, la France n’a jamais été aussi riche : le problème que nous avons à régler est uniquement une question de répartition…” C’est pourquoi @Amnesty considere que les impots equitables constituent un enjeu de protection des droits humains. C’est pourquoi nous plaidons pour l’adoption d’une Convention sur la coopération internationale en matière fiscale. lemonde.fr/la-chronique-d…

Pretty funny to see everyone blame this (rightly condemned, to be clear) on whatever their political bogeyman is: I've just seen people say that this is because of, take your pick, "communism," "Islamism," "third worldism," "Russia," and "China". As if France needed any outside help to riot... Maybe some people need to brush up on our history, or read Victor Hugo's "Les Misérables"... This isn't to romanticize the rioters in the least. A reminder that in Les Misérables there's the figure of Thénardier, a horrendous scoundrel who exploits the chaos around him, robbing corpses and fleecing anyone he can. Every chaotic moment in French history has its share of Thénardiers, and this one is no exception. It's just too easy, and actually useful to those in power, to blame this on outside forces. At the end of the day, this anger was made in France, is happening in France, and can only be solved in France. And, as painful as it is to hear, if one studies history, this is pretty much exactly what's expected at the stage France is at. People have studied this. Whether you take Ray Dalio’s six-stage cycle theory, Peter Turchin’s "elite overproduction" thesis or the Chinese dynastic cycle framework, they all come to the same conclusion: when debt piles up, public services crumble and those in power become incapable, the streets eventually explode. In fact it's almost eerie how France ticks almost every box of most cycle theories: - Fiscal distress (debt is 119% of GDP and we now pay more to borrow than Italy or Greece), - Crumbling public services: a reminder that these protests (now turning into riots) started with high school students protesting over the state of education - Political paralysis and a legitimacy crisis (Macron has an insane 82% disapproval rate, he's definitely lost the Mandate of Heaven...) - Popular immiseration with a record poverty rate at 15.4% and a median wage at only €2,190 net per month for a full-time private sector employee (you can't even afford to rent a decent flat in any major French city with this) "Third worldism" or "Islamism" isn't the cause of any of this: French governments didn't borrow like there's no tomorrow (the last balanced budget dates back to 1974!) because the "Muslim Brotherhood" told them to, and it wasn’t Putin or Xi who left French classrooms without teachers... Sadly the reactions - scapegoating - are ALSO typical of this stage of the cycle: Dalio lists among the classic markers of Stage 5 the emergence of "scapegoat classes who are commonly believed to be the source of the problems" (linkedin.com/pulse/delving-…), alongside a "loss of truth in the public domain," with people more interested in hunting for culprits than looking for solutions. So what is the solution? Well, the way the Chinese dealt with it was basically a reset - regime-changing themselves with a new dynasty claiming the Mandate of Heaven, usually after decades of rebellion and war. Not exactly a hopeful prospect... There is also the exception where a dynasty managed what the Chinese call a 中兴 (zhōngxīng, "restoration"): profound reform from within before the whole house came down. It succeeded a few times (e.g. the Tongzhi restoration during the Qing dynasty) but usually could only buy a few more decades, rarely more. In 1945, the writer Huang Yanpei famously asked Mao how to break free of the cycle (cn.vlex.com/vid/constituti…), framing it in those terms: "People are careful and hard-working at first, for bold measures are the only possible ways to break through difficult conditions. But when things gradually get better, people begin slacking off: laziness may spread through a long history and is impossible to be corrected when it becomes a common practice. Gradually expanded territory requires corresponding increases in talent, but when the latter is insufficient, the central control will become weak. In a word, no one can escape the 'vicious cycle' of dynastic rise and collapse." Mao replied that democracy was the answer, because "as long as the people can supervise the government, the government dare not slacken." And Xi later added a "second answer" (chinadailyhk.com/hk/article/256…): a system capable of "resolute self-reform". The jury is still out on whether China has broken the cycle, but if France has any hope of escaping it, it will need both answers at once: a government that truly answers to its people, and very resolute self-reform. One thing the answer definitely isn’t: turning on each other. In all these cycle theories, division and scapegoating appear on the way down, never on the way back up.

confrontation française @confrontfr

a week ago

⚠️🔴 À REGARDER JUSQU'À LA FIN JE NE PEUX PAS DÉCRIRE CE QUE JE VIENS DE VIVRE À MARSEILLE. #17octobre

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Tribesmen in the Amazon listens to opera for the first time

@el_pais Representa el liberalismo de las élites: promete meritocracia y eficiencia, pero evita cuestionar quién posee la riqueza y concentra el poder económico. Critica el poder de los partidos, pero no el de la banca, las grandes empresas y los rentistas.

@SergioRevolS Representa el liberalismo de las élites: promete meritocracia y eficiencia, pero evita cuestionar quién posee la riqueza y concentra el poder económico. Critica el poder de los partidos, pero no el de la banca, las grandes empresas y los rentistas.

سبحان من علمه كيف ينسج ☝️ يُطلق عليه أيضاً اسم الطائر النساج؛ وذلك بسبب براعته المذهلة وقدرته الفطرية العالية على حياكة ونسج أعشاش معقدة وهندسية للغاية باستخدام ألياف النباتات وأوراق الأشجار كالموز والنخيل. #طائر_النساج_الاسيوي 🦜

For more than two months, I have been working on a truly horrific story about one of the gravest war crimes committed by the United States since Vietnam: The bombing of the Shajareh Tayyebeh school in Minab, Iran. It was one of the first targets struck in the opening hours of the war on February 28, 2026. At least 156 people were killed in the U.S. cruise missile strikes—120 of them were children and 26 were teachers. We spoke to survivors, first responders, parents, doctors, teachers, psychologists, and other witnesses. Some of them had never before shared their experiences of that day. It would be impossible to do justice to what happened in Minab that day with words alone. In more than 25 years in journalism and reporting on war, I do not believe I have reported on a more heinous single crime. Massacre at Minab: The School That Became a Grave dropsitenews.com/p/minab-school… Please share this story with as many people as you can.

The market will heavily discount today's PCE inflation data. Why? Because the US just changed the way PCE inflation is calculated: Beginning with today’s release, the US changed the methodology for 3 key PCE inflation categories and revised data back to 2021: 1. Portfolio management/investment advice 2. Computer software/accessories 3. Legal services The biggest change is in portfolio management fees. Under the old methodology, rising asset values could show up partly as higher "prices" for portfolio management services. For example, if an adviser charged 1% of assets and the portfolio rose 20%, the dollar fee would rise 20% even though the adviser did not raise the 1% fee. The new methodology uses an employment-based measure to estimate the quantity of services, reducing the amount of the increase that is classified as inflation. For software, the US now uses a broader composite. For legal services, an unpublished CPI series is being replaced because it had become "unusually volatile." We estimate the methodology alone could reduce Core PCE inflation by up to 20 basis points. In the PCE inflation data released just now, both headline and Core PCE inflation were revised down by 30 basis points for July. We do not interpret the entire 30 basis point drop as disinflation. Part of it is literally a measurement change.

De inviable nada. Incluso aceptando esas cifras infladas, se gastó más dinero en rescatar a la banca tras la crisis de 2008 y muchísimo más en la pandemia de 2020. El problema es de voluntad política, no de dinero.

Óscar Puente @oscar_puente_

4 weeks ago

Algo muy común en determinados sectores de la izquierda es confundir expropiación con expolio. Las expropiaciones se pagan. 650.000 pisos a una media de 200.000€ por piso son 130.000M€. A una media de 100.000 € son 65.000M€. Más allá de su legalidad, la medida es

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1/ Hace unos meses me tocó estudiarme a fondo la Ley de Expropiación Forzosa, así que algo sé de esto. Lo que plantea @oscar_puente_ no se ajusta del todo a lo que dice la ley. Dentro nuevo hilo con datos🧵

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57 years ago

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