Charles Sherry, M.Sc @CharlesSherry
Creator of simplicity, financial writer, economics geek, mountain climber, trekkie. Tweets/retweets are not advice. FinancialJumble.com Denver, CO Joined May 2009-
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Neither snow nor rain nor heat nor gloom of night…nor a high core CPI nor upbeat job growth nor hot inflation at the top of the year stays the #Fed from 3 rate cuts this year.
Nationwide, nearly 60,000 home-purchase agreements were canceled in August, which equaled 15.7% of homes that went under contract that month … highest share since October 2022 per @Redfin
Sentiment turns on a dime, again.
A beautiful Colorado day, July 1! There's still plenty of snow in the mountains, but it was not an obstacle for our hike #cowx
True
Why pause if you're so hawkish?
The 3-month performance spread between the S&P 500 and the S&P 500 Equalweight is the widest it has been since December 1999.
Earlier in May, snow conditions were superb. Easy trek to an old mining camp.
With the intellectual & philosophical chops of CS Lewis, Tim Keller never wavered in his steadfast reliance on God's love/grace. Walking the walk, he had a unique ability to tease out 'unseen' truths from Bible stories we've heard many times, yet remain faithful to the text.
With the intellectual & philosophical chops of CS Lewis, Tim Keller never wavered in his steadfast reliance on God's love/grace. Walking the walk, he had a unique ability to tease out 'unseen' truths from Bible stories we've heard many times, yet remain faithful to the text.
Yep, fed funds futures change on a dime and are simply a reflection of sentiment at a given moment. And, it goes without saying, sentiment can change quickly.
Yep, fed funds futures change on a dime and are simply a reflection of sentiment at a given moment. And, it goes without saying, sentiment can change quickly.
#Powell is talking. Expect another rise in the dots. The only thing consistent is 'higher and higher for longer and longer.' Fed models are poorly calibrated in today's post-pandemic environment.
February 2020: No one in their right mind will ever go on a cruise again. February 2023: Norwegian Cruise reports that "Occupancy is expected to average approximately 100% for the first quarter"
For the first time since April, the S&P 500 closed over 1% above its 200-DMA and the more than year long downtrend has finally been broken. Read more in tonight's Closer: bespokepremium.com/interactive/po…
Incumbents when they realize the next 75 bps hike will be within a week of midterms.
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Snow continues at Lake Louise Ski Resort, AB. This is a taste of what's coming to Colorado this weekend with a cold front.
The family of @LSUfootball Greg Brooks Jr. shares he had a large brain tumor that required emergency surgery. "Greg continues to fight and we await further clarity of that battle." #LSU
New research brief: I look at 123 PCE inflation categories, their respective changes in price and quantities, to figure out what is driving the disinflation we've seen in 2023. And the answer is pretty clear: 73 percent of it is from expanding supply. /1 rooseveltinstitute.org/publications/s…
68° and overcast in Denver on August 6! Normal high is 89°.
We are more sinful and flawed than we ever dared believe, yet more loved and accepted in Jesus than we ever dared hope.
Breck is still open!
You may see green leaves budding down in town, but we're still up here getting high. Like, 12,840 ft high. All things late spring are happening now as we blaze through the month of April 🍃
-23°F in Silverton, Colorado this morning. 🥶 Happy Spring!
It was so obvious the Fed would hike rates at the fastest pace in 40 years? Remember, the Fed kept rates at 0 as CPI ticked from 1.7% in Feb '21 up to 7.9% by Feb '22. Powell also said 75 bps was off the table a month before 4 straight 75 bps hikes. youtube.com/watch?v=zImKCY…
Steamboat leading all Colorado ski resorts with 312 inches of snow so far this season! Photo by Larry Pierce.
Pretty sunset from @vailmtn! Next accumulating snow arrives Wednesday-Thursday with an Arctic front.