lennart vds @LennyVds

@nntaleb Machiavelli argues in Discorsi that the continues dispute between Senat and people are one source for the freedom and success. Remind me of antifragile

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lennart vds @LennyVds

6 years ago

@patrick_oshag Human Action von Mises

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lennart vds @LennyVds

6 years ago

@nntaleb Thank you so much for this info! Can’t wait for the Book. Greetings from Germany

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lennart vds @LennyVds

6 years ago

@eriktorenberg For enterprise sales, overestimate speed of roll out after trail. Cost us almost the company since we hired 7 more people but took 8 months longer, due to unobserved internal Processes

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lennart vds @LennyVds

6 years ago

@yudapearl Thanks!

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lennart vds @LennyVds

6 years ago

@yudapearl Therefore you could answer an counterfactual, is Y less likely given that X would have not happen

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@yudapearl Dear Pearl I am reading your book Causality second edition and have a question, is the next statement correct? The Power of structural causal models is not that you know all reason for Y but given X you know how certain it is that Y happens. Given: X -> Y

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lennart vds @LennyVds

6 years ago

@yudapearl Compare this with a probability structure you can not be certain given X, Y gonna follow since you can not express what cause what.

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Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸 @pmarca

6 years ago

a16z.com/2020/04/18/its…

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lennart vds @LennyVds

6 years ago

@eladgil Would be interesting to see how many asymptomatic cases are in fact false positive. What do you think?

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lennart vds @LennyVds

7 years ago

@DellAnnaLuca For 2018 3.027 (full year). Monthly i didn't find. Here is the link for the official database from the state of nrw. landesdatenbank.nrw.de/ldbnrw/online/…