Mark Dampier @MarkDampier
Author of Effective Investing. Non executive on 1 investment trust.Loves investment. All opinions are my own. hl.co.uk Bristol Joined October 2011-
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UK Wind Power has taken quite a dive since yesterday and is now 2.2GW. We are burning 10.5GW of Gas, 0.3GW of Coal and Importing 7GW. Nuclear is 5.4GW and Solar a disappointing 1.4GW. The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours has been £55 per MWH.
UK Wind Power has taken quite a dive since yesterday and is now 2.2GW. We are burning 10.5GW of Gas, 0.3GW of Coal and Importing 7GW. Nuclear is 5.4GW and Solar a disappointing 1.4GW. The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours has been £55 per MWH.
Current situation: 1. Stocks are down ahead of more big tech earnings 2. Oil prices are down on fears of higher interest rates 3. Gold prices are down on worries over a stronger Dollar 4. Natural gas prices are down on weak US demand 5. Bond prices are down ahead of the May…
BRENT CRUDE $85.64, GOLD $2293.10, UK 2-YEAR GILT YIELD 4.51%, 7-YEAR GILT YIELD 4.23%, 10-YEAR GILT YIELD 4.36%, 10-YEAR US TREASURY YIELD 4.67%, CABLE $1.2476 at 5.35am
UK COMPANIES reporting today – GSK, Next, HSS Hire, Aston Martin, Computacenter, Haleon, Domino’s Pizza Smith & Nephew - US companies – Mastercard, Qualcomm, Pfizer, CVS Health, KKR, Marriott
Economic Data posted today – BRC Shop Price Index, Nationwide House Price Index, UK/US PMI Manufacturing, US MBA Mortgage Applications, US Construction Spending, US ISM Prices Paid, US Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Meeting result, US Auto Sales
With US Labour costs rising, inflation has no intention of leaving the party yet, as investors skimmed 1.5% off share values yesterday. Europe larupped. Bond yields rise. Oil $85. Asia easier. Opening calls nervous. FTSE +2 @ 8146 DAX -41 @ 17886 CAC -15 @ 7969 DJIA +37 @ 37852
What they mean by certainty is guaranteed high and index-linked prices for intermittent electricity. A bigger trough for the snouts
What they mean by certainty is guaranteed high and index-linked prices for intermittent electricity. A bigger trough for the snouts
Polar bear mating season almost over as we move into May. Mating usually takes place on sea ice (but sometimes on land along the coast) & is the 2nd important use of spring ice after intensive feeding. Summer sea ice is not critical
Amid the nerves after the Q1 core PCE deflator came in hotter than expected, the excellent David Rosenberg @EconguyRosie points out if you measure US core CPI like the ECB does, HICP is running just below or around the 2% yoy target for some months now bls.gov/cpi/research-s…
Wind generation declined in 2023 for the first time since the 1990s @EIAgov eia.gov/todayinenergy/…
US has a massive income mismatch problem. Take away govt xfers (which Uncle Sam is doing) what's left is so little private income that something has to give. I don't think people realize just how bad this is. It's all been covered up by govt "aid." youtu.be/nUP5SjY_o3U
Funds axed for teacher recruitment scheme triggering backlash ft.com/content/497323… via @FT
Chicago PMI 37.9, Exp. 45.0 LOL
Ravenous (by my wife @gemimsy and me) won best food book at the André Simon awards last night. Incredibly touched to follow in my mum's footsteps. Although she was quick to point out she won it twice (in 1978 and 1979). 😂 Still work to do.
Peak base effects in UK retail prices - we won’t get a decent read on the underlying run rate for consumer prices until the end of the year. Timing of energy cost peak a big difference between the UK and other major economies
Peak base effects in UK retail prices - we won’t get a decent read on the underlying run rate for consumer prices until the end of the year. Timing of energy cost peak a big difference between the UK and other major economies
Half the world now believe that humanity will go extinct from climate change The reality? The UN expects the average person by 2100 to earn 450% of today’s income. Climate will reduce that to 434%. Problem, not end-of-world basicbooks.com/titles/bjorn-l… (free first 25 pages)
The UK Money Supply is beginning to grow. BoE: The net flow of sterling money (known as M4ex) continued to increase in March. M4ex rose by £12.1 billion, compared to an increase of £8.9 billion in February.
Planting ever-larger top-heavy objects on long thin poles in zones with potentially stronger winds clearly has its challenges. Even getting them to their site can be a major undertaking. tallbloke.wordpress.com/2024/04/29/how…
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@TheSecretAcct A friend of mine is a vehicle transporter. He says every petrol/diesel car he collects at the end of there lease, he takes to a dealer. Every EV car he collects goes strait to auctions because the lease companies can't sell them to dealers!
Thank you Sir Humphrey!! Sigh
Meanwhile, in the UK, we are still waiting for the government to conclude a competition to decide who, what, where and when towards SMRs before anyone can start planning anything.
@MerrynSW People don’t seem to realise that, despite the bullspiel of the manufacturers and Tesla stock shills, the EV battery ‘technology’ still consists of essentially packing traditional domestic batteries into big units.
Susan nails it. Few people critical of benefits understand how onerous and fiddly claiming actually is.
Falling in style.
RYO BREAKS SKI JUMPING RECORD Japanese olympic champion ski jumper Ryoyu Kobayashi achieved a new world record ski jump of 291 metres, breaking the old record by a remarkable 37.5 metres. The record breaking jump was the culmination of two gruelling days of attempts. Source:…
There's no "risk" about it. Net Zero is already crushing energy intensive industries.
Net zero risks crushing businesses, warns Energy Secretary Claire Coutinho telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/…
I am bullish on solar Not a fan of wind These data help explain why Source: eia.gov/todayinenergy/…
The Chicago PMI extended the long list of recessionary data as far as industrial activity is concerned. When the components are reweighted to the national index, this reveals a huge decline in the ISM to its lowest figure since April 2020.
Hm. Not sure they did the maths when they decided to cut funding for this...
Funds axed for teacher recruitment scheme triggering backlash ft.com/content/497323… via @FT
Maybe some rate hikes will cheer them up. Look, they can keep claiming the debt financed economy is so resilient and strong all day long. Reality is very much different for the average consumer.
🔴 ⚠️ BREAKING: US CB CONSUMER CONFIDENCE ACTUAL 97 (FORECAST 104, PREVIOUS 104.7) $MACRO
"The best opportunities [in fixed income] are a mixed bag. You've got some really enticing yields," says @EmmaSmWall to @FrankCNBC
UK electricity generation from variable renewable energy (=wind+solar) fluctuates between 5% and 60% of UK consumption with an average over 3 days. Advocates of VRE continually dispute how the dips in generation are compensated for. It is obviously fossil fuel, here is a thread…
Hargreaves Lansdown (#HL.) has published their Q1 trading update indicating: ✅️ Net new business of £1.6bn ✅️ Assets under administration of £149.7bn ✅️ 34k net new clients ✅️ Client base +48% year on year ✅️ Revenue +6% to £199.7m I continue to hold.
This "No Climate Emergency for Polar Bears" video, written and narrated by me in 2019, is one of the reasons I've been attacked so relentlessly. But note I also produced a fully referenced book to back up these statements. youtube.com/watch?v=jQRle6…
There is no 'green' free lunch. Every wealthy person who gloats over their cheaper bills from solar panels / cheaper EV running costs is subsidised by everyone else. If that is winning, I'd hate to see losing.
Offers of free electricity sound good, don't they. Too good to be true. Let's call it the Agile Octopus Freeloader problem. A thread 🧵(1/n)
@MarkDampier @hallifordhead No problem as it was a sad day. Because I have enjoyed many chats with him about athletics over the past 30 years.
Quite a good day really. SNP clown falls on his sword and the Irish get to understand a bit more the horror that is the EU
@AlanJLSmith I think its should be looked at as a business. It can be optimised if held inside a ltd company and if you are adding value by renovating etc.