The Model 🤖 @ModelLocks
#ModelLocks #handicapper #sportsbettor #sportsbettingadvisor #gambler #sportsbettingpicks #sportsinvesting #sportshandicapper #gambling #freesportspicks New York City, NY Joined May 2020-
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#LaceOutModel🏈 results for wk 14 Tough luck in Week 14. Going to call it here boys and girls, the good guys are packing in. The market has caught up with us, plus we’ve gotten some bad luck. Will retool and be back. #NFL 3u, Colts ❌ 2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣: -7.75u All-time: +7.34u
The efficiency of betting markets is complex. In many ways, they are extremely efficient. If you look at 10,000 soccer games with no-vig lines of -300/+300 almost exactly 25% of the dogs will win. On the other hand, there simple things that are just continually mispriced. For…
#LaceOutModel🏈 picks for week 14 We’ve had a rough go of it this year. But we try to get back into the saddle with a small bet this week. #NFL 3u, Colts +132 2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣: -4.75u All-time: +10.34u
# No #LaceOutModel🏈 picks for week 13. Enjoy your life this weekend. God speed to your favorite team.
#LaceOutModel🏈 Week 12 results! The ball has not rolled the good guys’ way boys and girls. The Bills ripped our soul from our bodies. Sad. Stay positive. Stay strong. #NFL 3u, Rams✅ 3u, Bills❌ 3u, Texans❌ 1u, Steelers✅ 2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣: -4.75u All-time: +10.34u
#UFCAustin Dariush v Tsarukyan Dariush competes early but I think Arman's physicality, Dariush kinda managing to cover for fragility/gassing with big moments and the pace differential eventually leads to Arman singular bonking or gas-pedalling down the stretch.
The chart below shows the results of playing every NFL home favorite vs. playing every road dog back to 1977 including this year to date. The combined record of the road dogs is 3672-3421-194. The ROI on road dogs is -1.1% versus -7.7% for home faves. If the lines were perfectly…
“Sweety, come tell our guests about that little parlay you placed.”
#LaceOutModel🏈 Week 12 picks are in! Hey boys and girls. Hope you’re enjoying your Turkey day. Big week for the model— the most betting volume so far this year! DM me for a revelation #NFL 3u, 👤 3u, 👤 3u, 👤 1u, 👤 2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣: -2.69u All-time: +12.40u
#LaceOutModel🏈 Week 11 results The heartbreakers have piled up this year, as Cleveland got behind the steel curtain in the final seconds *kicks rocks* Waiting for the ship to turn. #NFL 3u, Steelers ❌ 2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣: -2.69u All-time: +12.40u
I'll always prefer the Wink Martindale style to the Patrick Graham as someone who studies & as a fan. There aren't enough good QBs in the NFL to play passively. What I really appreciate about Wink is how often he's willing to CHANGE what he does based on the opponent. (cont)
#LaceOutModel🏈 Week 11 picks are in! Another mystery pick for the common man. Shoot me a DM for pricing if you’re getting involved this week! #NFL 3u, 👤 2⃣0⃣2⃣3⃣: +0.31u All-time: +15.40u
MoneyBall Metrics �.. @MBMetrics
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29K Followers 724 Following Welcome. Providing sports picks and betting tips to help you build your bankroll. I win more than I lose 🔮 Turn on Notis, Tail, Win 💰 Always 100% transparent.
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Francisco Lindor’s stats since the standing ovation btw…
The efficiency of betting markets is complex. In many ways, they are extremely efficient. If you look at 10,000 soccer games with no-vig lines of -300/+300 almost exactly 25% of the dogs will win. On the other hand, there simple things that are just continually mispriced. For…
@Baby_Juka In this house, Tommy DeVito is a hero, end of story!
#UFCAustin Dariush v Tsarukyan Dariush competes early but I think Arman's physicality, Dariush kinda managing to cover for fragility/gassing with big moments and the pace differential eventually leads to Arman singular bonking or gas-pedalling down the stretch.
The chart below shows the results of playing every NFL home favorite vs. playing every road dog back to 1977 including this year to date. The combined record of the road dogs is 3672-3421-194. The ROI on road dogs is -1.1% versus -7.7% for home faves. If the lines were perfectly…
“Sweety, come tell our guests about that little parlay you placed.”
@ModelLocks @MacMallyMMA @LanceBroz @Gugabed @3YearLetterman Thank you !
I'll always prefer the Wink Martindale style to the Patrick Graham as someone who studies & as a fan. There aren't enough good QBs in the NFL to play passively. What I really appreciate about Wink is how often he's willing to CHANGE what he does based on the opponent. (cont)
#UFCVegas82 Allen v Craig Greatest UFC LHW ever Paul Craig versus Brendan Allen. Do feel that Allen having the cardio and grappling chops should make it hard for Craig to pull off the usual miracle, but also Allen has the evasive abilities of a small building
#UFC295 Pereira v Prochazka Feel like Pereira should win this fairly consistently. Jiri can't deal with legkicks, and in his UFC LHW run the Reyes fight's been the only thing that's made me think of him as a genuinely elite talent. Oezdemir & Glover fun, crazy wars
#UFCSP Lewis v Jailton Not really a huge fan of this card. Lots of 'X should be value on paper but is 500000 years old and may look horrific out of nowhere'. Fun main event, though. I do think Jailton massive juice bit ? when Lewis good floor and is huge.
Justin Pugh: “Straight off the couch” 😭😭😭😭
#UFCVegas81 Yusuff v Barboza Kind of a weird fight, in that I'd take Barboza a couple years ago with pretty big confidence here. Yusuff's pretty mid/highrolled his way up the division, but between the very occasional control grappling displays (which Barboza struggles with)
New mythical warrior hat unlocked. ✅ #UFCVegas80
#UFCVegas80 Dawson v Green Feels pretty binary, but between Green putting up two pretty mid performances in his most recent fights and Dawson fighting in a way that, whilst not especially pretty or interesting, feels maximized to win fights... I'd say Dawson fav is pretty…
16% ROI Lifetime on #UFCVegas80 money lines. Data @betMMAtips ✍️ #GamblingTwitter | #UFC | #MMATwitter
Want to learn more about fighting or sports betting? These books are all part of my studio because I think they provide an invaluable combat sports education 👇📚🍀
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