Open Model Project @OpenModelProj
Crowd wisdom * traditional election modeling = better forecasting? We'll see. Support independent, transparent polling & forecasting at https://t.co/2A5uspog8u. OpenModelProject.org Joined December 2020-
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They forgot to fix polling again?
They forgot to fix polling again?
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Open Model Project retweeted
Here are my odds for who will win the 22 June NYC Mayor Dem primary: Adams63% Wiley 13% Garcia 11% Yang 9% Someone else 4% Here's a spreadsheet outlining my model, though I'm not sure if it really makes that much sense: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d… (Credit @iabvek for insight)
Open Model Project retweeted
"@PredictIt Live" goes, well, *live* at 1 pm today. @FlipPidot hosts @pjchougule @RobertMartinLT and @GaetenD with the world premiere of your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics. Watch/subscribe at: youtube.com/channel/UCOabU…
Open Model Project retweeted
Me talking about how strong Eric Adams is *before* he went on to outpoll Yang once
Me talking about how strong Eric Adams is *before* he went on to outpoll Yang once
Wiley claws back to 3rd as Stringer continues to unravel. Yang still (in fact never more so) the overwhelming favorite among traders. predictit.org/markets/detail…
Open Model Project retweeted
In the New York City Mayor's race, women’s groups are beginning to coalesce around one candidate: Maya Wiley, a former counsel to current Mayor Bill de Blasio. nytimes.com/2021/04/26/nyr…
This time they'll fix it.
They're catching on. Baby steps.
Open Model Project retweeted
📢New Podcast: The Right Side of Maybe Inspired by the saying popularized by @PTetlock, @dgardner, #BarbMellers, The Right Side of Maybe focuses on learning about and from elite forecasters. In the first episode, we talked to @peterhurford! (1/4) globalguessing.com/peter-hurford-…
Open Model Project retweeted
Thread.
Open Model Project retweeted
Cliff notes from a very interesting zoom
New episode: "All Noise, No Signal" @FlipPidot @peterhurford and @HarryDCrane investigate @FiveThirtyEight's utterly failed attempt to distinguish good pollsters from bad. Cross-posted at our sister pod at @OldBullTV podbean.com/media/share/pb…
Open Model Project retweeted
8pm update with a few more filings in. The early leaders in # of contributors for March period: @mayawiley - 4,193 @Dianne4NYC - 3,852 @KGforNYC - 2,081 @ShaunDonovanNYC - 1,734 @scottmstringer - 1,597 @ericadamsfornyc - 662 @AndrewYang and @RayForMayor pending.
Open Model Project retweeted
NEW: The Money Race in the Democratic Mayoral Primary: March Filing Key for Matching Funds - by @samarkhurshid gothamgazette.com/city/10264-mon…
Open Model Project retweeted
New: At Televised Debate, Democratic Mayoral Candidates Outline Housing, Homelessness Plans - @GothamGazette gothamgazette.com/city/10258-tel…
Open Model Project retweeted
Inbox: record-setting fundraising by @AndrewYang, with more than 15,600 individual contributions:
Open Model Project retweeted
How did the myth that live caller polls are the most accurate ever get started? Even filtering only to polls *before* 2016, live caller polls are not any more accurate than online
Open Model Project retweeted
🚨 INTERNSHIP ALERT 🚨 Rethink Priorities (my org) is hiring research interns! This position is 3 months, 20-40 hours per week, paid $23-25/hr, fully remote, and comes with good management + feedback with a great team! Details here: rethinkpriorities.org/jobs/research-…
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