𝙎𝙒𝙄𝙉𝙂𝙍𝙍𝙍 @SwingTraderOne
Those who don’t know how to lose will still lose — only more painfully so. PRICE Joined April 2013-
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$SPY Tuesday Executive Game Plan [RESISTANCE 2] ──► $773.34 - $774.00 (Failed Breakout High) │ [RESISTANCE 1] ──► $771.25 - $771.32 (True Gap / Upper Supply Zone) │ ★ [PIVOT / POC] ──► $770.19 (Point of Control & Friday Close) │ [SUPPORT 1] ──► $769.00 - $769.05 (20-Day SMA & Session Low) │ [SUPPORT 2] ──► $768.00 - $768.50 (4H Support Shelf & Invalidation Line) Execution Scenarios Bullish Expansion (Primary): Confirmation: 4-hour candle close above $771.32 clears the recent failed breakout overhang. Upside Targets: $772.87, followed by $774.00 and the ES High Volume Node (HVN) at $775.70. Support Consolidation (Neutral): Zone: Sideways price action bounded strictly between $769.00 and $771.00. Action: Stand pat while buyers absorb supply atop the 20-day SMA ($769.05) and weekly key pivot ($769.10). Bearish Breakdown (Risk Control): Trigger: Loss of $769.00 opening a test of the lower support shelf at $768.50. Hard Stop-Loss Threshold: Any 30-minute candle close below $768.00 invalidates the macro structure (opening a path toward the $764.80 prior ATH) and serves as the immediate exit trigger.
$SPY TUESDAY (9/1): High Sell Volume ──► Institutional expansion down to $759.73 WEDNESDAY (9/2): Low Buy Volume ──► Weak counter-trend backtest rejected at $766.30 THURSDAY (9/3): High Buy Volume ──► Intraday breakout absorbing $768-$770 resistance
Wednesday, September 2 (Low-Volume Backtest into $766.42 High) Morning Rally & Test of Breakdown Level (9:30 AM – 11:30 AM): Volume Behavior: SPY climbed from $762.46 to an intraday high of $766.42, but lower-timeframe volume remained noticeably lower than Tuesday's sell-off spikes. Order Flow: Light liquidity allowed price to drift upward and retest broken support. Resistance Rejection & Entry Window (11:30 AM – 1:30 PM): Volume Behavior: Volume ticked up briefly as price hit $766.42, followed by immediate red volume candles rejecting the high. Order Flow: Passive sell orders defended $766.40+. Late Afternoon Consolidation (1:30 PM – 4:00 PM): Volume Behavior: Volume dried up across the 15-minute timeframe, compressing SPY into a narrow band between $764.70 and $765.50 to close at $765.16. Order Flow: Buyers failed to generate any volume expansion above $765.50.
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