S&P 500 Signals @SPYSTSignals
I build and share quantitative models that *attempt* to predict future S&P 500 returns. All models are wrong, but some are useful. thedatadriveninvestor.com Seattle, WA Joined June 2022-
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S&P 500 Signals retweeted
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
Friday’s NFP Scenario Analysis (JPM Trading Desk)
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
Not even remotely surprised by any of this
Vacation alternatives beating a Jet2 holiday
Vacation alternatives beating a Jet2 holiday
Evercore just raised their target to 6,250. Congrats to MS for holding strong.
Evercore just raised their target to 6,250. Congrats to MS for holding strong.
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
S&P500 closes at all time highs, first time over 6500.
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
Sometimes it’s helpful to think of financial phenomena through an architectural lens. What is its structural integrity? What is the nature and shape of its structure? Nevermind the macro constraints (limits to money flows and cycles and so on), *bubbles* are deeply structurally…
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
Non-commercials cut net longs in #Nasdaq mini futures from 5-year high. Unlike $SPX and $RUT, cash (23498) unable to register weekly gain despite Fri's surge. Plus, ends up forming hanging man, which follows last week's spinning top and bearish engulfing candle 2 weeks b4 that.
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
Here is Jerome Powell's full speech today at Jackson Hole where he became "dovish" and said the "time has come" to cut interest rates.
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
The dollar's worst day in 4 months $DXY $UUP $USD
This is very shocking…to everyone that didn’t take econ 101
This is very shocking…to everyone that didn’t take econ 101
Economy on 🔥+🌶️ inflation = no cut for you
Economy on 🔥+🌶️ inflation = no cut for you
Telegraphed this growth to value move 1.5 weeks ago, link in bio to follow if you’re interested. Heads up I do charge $, it’s 🥜.
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
This is by far @jam_croissant 's best and most complete explanation of how modern markets actually work. It is absolutely crucial to understand these dynamics if you want to be profitable in this regime. youtube.com/live/gCvNgPw_C… via @YouTube
Is this bad?
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
They say there’s always a bull market somewhere, but in realized vol it’s not easy to spot. Perhaps the bull market is in market stability itself. An index I created on Bloomberg measuring the average of 1m realized volatility on the SPX, TLT, GLD, HYG, Euro, Oil and Bitcoin is…
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
🚨 2025 Updated Fintwit Temperature Check!! 🚨 She’s finally here after a WILD ass year so far 🔥 😧🥵🤯😳 19% crash with a 30%+ run!!! And we’re still in August!!! Here’s the updated fintwit collective take I can gather from participants on where they believe market goes…
S&P 500 Signals retweeted
As @SPYSTSignals noted yesterday, it's an interesting call from this UBS analyst considering their head of equity research said this week the "highs are in" for the SPX this year.
As @SPYSTSignals noted yesterday, it's an interesting call from this UBS analyst considering their head of equity research said this week the "highs are in" for the SPX this year. https://t.co/3PuVjop4R0
As Keynes would say to bears, “markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent”, but it’s clear this market is pricey.
As Keynes would say to bears, “markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent”, but it’s clear this market is pricey.
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