The Economic Recap @TheEconRecap
A free, weekly newsletter delivering concise economic insights - in 5 minutes. Politically neutral. Reposts ≠ Endorsement. theeconrecap.com London, United Kingdom Joined April 2025-
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Ofgem just approved a record £24bn investment in gas & electric grids to 2031, making bills "£30 lower" than they would have been Predictably, some usual-suspect media have mangled the reporting. So here's a Really Simple guide to counterfactuals, with Bluey refs:
We have today published the Draft Determinations for energy price controls. Our Director for Network Price Controls explains the key questions behind the price controls we set. 📽 ow.ly/LvQc50WiTfB 🔗 ow.ly/joil50WiTjR
There is some misleading information being spread regarding the household energy bill impact from Ofgem's RIIO-3 DD publication. They claim Ofgem is INCREASING people's bills by £104 (by increasing network charges from £220 to £234 by 2031). However, Ofgem said, if they did not…
A REMARKABLE JOURNEY: Not long ago, the UK’s power sector was the country’s largest source of carbon emissions. Today, it has become the smallest emitter among all sectors.
Ofgem approves £24bn investment into UK energy networks on.ft.com/40sVDm6
The Bank of England cuts rates by 0.25% to 4.25%. This was expected. It should slightly lower the interest on savings and slightly lower mortgage payments (depending on the type of mortgage). This should be good for the economy.
The UK and US trade deal details will be announced in the next few days. Donald trump announced the agreement on his truthsocial post. His post will be added below. "The agreement with the United Kingdom is a full and comprehensive one that will cement the relationship between…
UK consumer confidence is at its lowest since recording began in 1978. (Source: Ipsos). What do you think are the reasons? Read more at theeconrecap.com
IMHO, those still claiming that the UK-India trade deal means Indian workers will now be able to 'undercut' British workers are missing at least two key points... 1⃣ the NI exemption will mainly apply to Indian professionals employed by Indian companies who are working in the UK…
Frustrating how the UK-India trade deal - a clear Brexit win - is still being overshadowed by the row over NI contributions! That part might involve a small net cost to the UK Treasury, but this should be more than offset by the many benefits... gov.uk/government/pub…
UK government economic modelling of today’s trade deal between the UK and India suggests Britain has struck a relatively favourable deal, that incremental UK exports to India will exceed incremental imports from India. See attached
The Indian tax agreement only applies to Indians seconded to Britain from a company based in India on a short term basis. The arrangement doesn’t apply to Indians applying for jobs in Britain. The UK has treaties to prevent double taxation with 50 countries, listed here👇
The UK is getting closer to a trade agreement with the US. These deals are exactly what the UK's slowing economy needs. This deal could save the UK's auto industry, which exports more than 100,000 cars, worth £7.6bn, to the US. (Source: SMMT) We will wait and see...
Deep dive: Today, India and the UK struck a Major free trade agreement. It is among the most significant post-Brexit trade agreements for the UK. The agreement includes: Whiskey tariffs 150%>40% over 10 years Soft drinks 33%>0% over 7 years Lamb tariffs 33%>0% instantly Luxury…
The US economy shrinks for the first time in 3 years. The US economy shrank by 3% in the first quarter of 2025. While it may seem like Trump's tariffs have backfired, it may not be the case. Some companies front-loaded imports to avoid the tariffs, which skews the GDP growth,…
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