Tim Quast @_TimQuast

Founder/CEO of ModernIR and Market Structure EDGE LLC. Invented Market Structure Analytics for IR. Expert on equity market structure. modernir.com Denver, CO Joined August 2015

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Tim Quast @_TimQuast

4 hours ago

We are in painted autumn glory in the high mountains of Steamboat Springs, y'all. And naturally I'm off to Austin.

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I wrote this for the @IBKR Quant Blog yesterday. Something to know about what may come next (and maybe not!). Demand and Supply are the most important things, to me. interactivebrokers.com/campus/ibkr-qu…

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Tim Quast @_TimQuast

2 weeks ago

I've been on a boat, #EDGEmob (there's a profanely funny song by Andy Samberg called "I'm on a Boat"), just back from the south seas (remember the South Sea Bubble?). $SPX moved 100 pts betw yesterday's low and today's high. FOMC yes, but also short volume, opex today and tmw.

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Tim Quast @_TimQuast

a month ago

Here is the THREAT to the market today. Doesn't mean anything will happen! But #index #options reset today and money is the opposite in $NVDA that it was a month ago. That COULD tip the market over.

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Tim Quast @_TimQuast

a month ago

The entire $SPX has risen inversely with SUPPLY since June #options expirations. Up about 8%, Supply DOWN marketwide about 8% (from ~55% to ~51%).

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Tim Quast @_TimQuast

a month ago

Using, $MDB as an example (but it's true too of $DDOG, $SNOW, $KSS and many more), this is the importance of understanding SUPPLY in the stock market, which is Reg SHO Rule 201 #shortvoume data. It's up sharply because SUPPLY moved inversely with price.

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Tim Quast @_TimQuast

a month ago

#EDGEmob, come join @TripleDTrader and @Spus and me (and probably others!) on Premarket prep! youtube.com/live/Mma-MenrQ…

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Tim Quast @_TimQuast

a month ago

While we all wait...for something, maybe $NVDA, today's blog is about reasons. modernir.com/reason-why/ #stocks #investing #stockmarket

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Tim Quast @_TimQuast

a month ago

Wrote this for @IBKR_QB today: interactivebrokers.com/campus/ibkr-qu…

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Tim Quast @_TimQuast

a month ago

For those few of you interested in what may happen when a small nondescript tech company, $NVDA, reports earnings tmw, I did this segment with @FrankCNBC at some ungodly hour today: youtube.com/watch?v=9cyw2d…

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Tim Quast @_TimQuast

a month ago

Today with $VIX resets, the last of August derivatives to shift to the September series, this is where Demand/Supply is. The TREND is convergence despite short-term divergence. Demand is weakening, Supply is trending up from early July lows.

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Tim Quast @_TimQuast

2 months ago

Demand and Supply in $SPY Jul 2017 to now (full @EdgeStructure data set). Demand troughs to 1.0 in $SPY have always had another leg or more. Until now. Or it's coming yet. Supply 6/25 hit 73% and was only ever higher once, 12/15/21. But who knows? Just #marketstructure.

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Tim Quast @_TimQuast

2 months ago

Everybody seeing $NEGG, up 1900% in 3 mos? Since May 8, it's averaged 20% intraday volatility, 65% of its volume comes from Fast Traders -- signaling retail, inflated by market-making. Passives are up from 8% to about 10% of volume too, but they're 27% in $SPX.

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Tim Quast @_TimQuast

2 months ago

I shared this view with the @EdgeStructure mob today. A snippet of my dashboard showing Demand/Supply divergence abounding into Aug #optionsexpirations (save crypto -- both up, Energy with flat Demand). But. Every single Supply trend is up. That will come around.