Peter Boockvar @pboockvar
Chief Investment Officer of Bleakley Financial Group • Editor of The Boock Report • CNBC Contributor peterboockvar.substack.com Joined September 2013-
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tweet of the day
If the economy is so good, believed by some, why are federal tax receipts coming in less than anticipated? Fair question I believe and gets to my continued belief that the US economy is very uneven with more pros mixed with cons than I've seen in all my years researching,…
UP TOMORROW (Wednesday) at 11 AM ET!! I have the pleasure of speaking with the most AMAZING panel: Andy Constan @dampedspring Gary Brode @Gary_Brode Peter Boockvar @pboockvar Neely Tamminga @NeelyTamminga and Mike Green @profplum99 Hope you can join us ..we will talk FOMC…
UP TOMORROW (Wednesday) at 11 AM ET!! I have the pleasure of speaking with the most AMAZING panel: Andy Constan @dampedspring Gary Brode @Gary_Brode Peter Boockvar @pboockvar Neely Tamminga @NeelyTamminga and Mike Green @profplum99 Hope you can join us ..we will talk FOMC… https://t.co/OvtRVlYWXX
MAKE BUREAUCRACY GREAT AGAIN Upside in Fed’s favored Employment Cost Index tied to government work-Q1 wages & salaries increased to a 5% YoY gain from 4.7% in Q4. Total comp growth was 4.8% YoY v average of 2.9%, which is just below highest growth in AT LEAST 25 years @pboockvar
Thanks @davidlin_TV Stagflation, Higher Rates For Longer; Will Markets Survive? Peter Boockvar - YouTube youtube.com/watch?v=R-1lAM…
Great quote I read in Weekend FT from movie director James Cameron, “We’re all generative AI’s - we’re all vast data sets of every experience we’ve ever had. Generative AI can give you a bitmap and give you an image, but can’t give you an emotion.”
I was almost was going to skip Wednesday spaces this week due to FOMC and everyone is going to do a spaces on this topic...but my line up is insane! So looking forward to speaking with @dampedspring @pboockvar @NeelyTamminga @profplum99 and @Gary_Brode Hope you can join us at…
I was almost was going to skip Wednesday spaces this week due to FOMC and everyone is going to do a spaces on this topic...but my line up is insane! So looking forward to speaking with @dampedspring @pboockvar @NeelyTamminga @profplum99 and @Gary_Brode Hope you can join us at… https://t.co/Up8IBAyEvQ
It’s not just the Trump side that wants to wrongly influence the Fed. @NickTimiraos High Borrowing Costs Have Some Democrats Urging Biden to Pressure the Fed - The New York Times nytimes.com/2024/04/24/us/…
As reported by @pboockvar: "Personal income was up 0.5% m/o/m as expected while spending exceeded expectations by 2 tenths m/o/m with an 0.8% rise. This combination drove another fall in the savings rate to just 3.2%, the lowest since October 2022." Not much room left. $SA
Now is not the time to stand in the way of this long-awaited historical breakout, in my view. With gold prices at these levels, mining companies are likely to become true cash-flow machines. Newmont's earnings release today was just a glimpse of what's to come.
The Weekly Quill — Conventional Revolution – Private Equity Blocked at the Exits - QI Research Sign in to your QI Research Pro account to read on — #dimartinobooth #qiresearch hubs.ly/Q02v6k5T0
While many focus on the hard economic data, one must also focus on the anecdotes including what corporate America has to say during earnings season. There is always a treasure trove of amazing insights and info when going thru company conference calls/transcripts. Hugely time…
Bob Kraft on CNBC: “Today’s colleges teach students what to think instead of how to think.” Truer words rarely spoken.
@pboockvar demonstrating Lacy Hunt's Net National Savings in action As seen for past few Qs, capital spending has flatlined in totality. Yes, billions being spent on anything AI but it seems that spend there is being pulled from other places, w/little impact on entire cap ex pie
✨New episode dropped! $5,000 #gold is becoming more realistic, and on a parabolic mania overshoot $10,000. 🪙🚀 The recent rally in commodities is payback for years of underinvestment, now meeting the demands of supply and demand balance. Full interview available here 👉…
Since 1980, the ratio of household net worth to the US median wage has increased by 370%. This is the single most important chart for finance, economics, and politics.
Wise words from Howard Marks: "Investors must accept that success is likely to stem from making a large number of investments, all of which you make because you expect them to succeed, but some portion of which you know won’t. You have to put it all out there. You have to take a…
Lay of the labor land from Manpower's earnings call yesterday: "Last quarter, we stated that though the economy remains resilient in many markets, uncertainty around the outlook persists, leading employers to be cautious in their hiring, pausing non-critical spend and deferring…
The Weekly Quill — Indian Giving — An Economy Built on the Golden Rule - QI Research Take a deep dive into the economic growth of India in recent years and moving forward… Sign in to read "Indian Giving" hubs.ly/Q02tgPjh0
What’s your definition of ‘slightly’? Is it a 3% economy? 2%? 1%? I’d guess 1.5% even though we printed 3.4% in Q4 and the Atlanta Fed as of today thinks Q1 will be 2.9%. ‘Slightly’ though is how the Fed’s Beige Book described the US economy. “Overall economic activity expanded…
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👇@pboockvar - yes, that is the multi-trillion dollar question worth asking (quick answer is because it’s not that strong)!
If the economy is so good, believed by some, why are federal tax receipts coming in less than anticipated? Fair question I believe and gets to my continued belief that the US economy is very uneven with more pros mixed with cons than I've seen in all my years researching,…
@pboockvar Tax loopholes like accelerated depreciation and private jet write offs. And the most common, buying a commercial vehicle over 6000 lbs for instant write off.
Great take as always from Peter. 👇👇
If the economy is so good, believed by some, why are federal tax receipts coming in less than anticipated? Fair question I believe and gets to my continued belief that the US economy is very uneven with more pros mixed with cons than I've seen in all my years researching,…
Never been on the cover of Forbes (and high probability never will be) but this pose felt pretty natural for us 🤣 #fairleadstrategies #forbesshook
tweet of the day
If the economy is so good, believed by some, why are federal tax receipts coming in less than anticipated? Fair question I believe and gets to my continued belief that the US economy is very uneven with more pros mixed with cons than I've seen in all my years researching,…
"People trading down to Walmart —That's a sign. At QI we parse out nondiscretionary inflation where the Federal Reserve has zero control, automobile insurance, food and energy. At 4.7% YoY, working class people are being slaughtered by these things…" hubs.ly/Q02vBtQ40
Feeling is MUTUAL @KennyPolcari
Always LOVE being on @TeamCavuto @FoxBusiness with @DiMartinoBooth on the day prior to Fed day! She is great!
@pboockvar @GRomePow need stocks up 5% every quarter to generate higher tax revs ........
I find it inspiring that students are paying $90K a year for Outward Bound courses… Go Quakers! Like go… really, really far away from here.
It’s time for the BS to stop. 30 flash bangs with 15 CS gas canisters and a firing line of pepper ball guns followed by a fire hose to decontaminate the increasingly belligerent protestors would be more appropriate…. If we did that to all this BS take over crap, it would end…
JUST IN: Police clash with students at VCU in Richmond, Virginia with students setting up barricades and throwing bottles. The students set up a “Liberation Zone” on campus on Monday with tents. Students are demanding that the school disclose all “direct and indirect…
@pboockvar How about it isn't just the tax receipts, but rather the Fed not remitting any money to the Treasury ... Fed unnecessarily paying interest on reserves is causing the Fed to "lose" money ... stop this loss and Treasury cash flow improves dramatically ...
Next on Power, we’ll detail what investors are watching for in Viking’s IPO which prices tonight. @PowerLunch $VIK
Life at home these days, summarized in a text message: “I just made 4 pounds of salmon (two ways, one for you), 2 pounds of green beans, & hard boiled eggs so hopefully that should last us through dinner.” See you back on air next Tuesday 🥴
Federal deficit as % of GDP v. inverted US unemployment (red). Left green arrow (late 60s): US govt shoveling money at foreign wars, protests on US campuses, gold flowing to major US creditors, CPI never went <5% 1973-82. Right green arrow: Ditto foreign wars, protests, gold
My vote for "Most important chart nobody seems to be focused on (yet)" 👇 Myriad implications for oil, inflation expectations, rates, geopolitics, FX, etc.
"What currency will replace the USD?" No currency will replace the USD, but gold continues to replace USTs at the Central Bank level. System evolving to "buy commodities in local FX, settle local FX commodity deficits in local goods & gold that floats in all FX." Via…
UP TOMORROW (Wednesday) at 11 AM ET!! I have the pleasure of speaking with the most AMAZING panel: Andy Constan @dampedspring Gary Brode @Gary_Brode Peter Boockvar @pboockvar Neely Tamminga @NeelyTamminga and Mike Green @profplum99 Hope you can join us ..we will talk FOMC…
Join @chigrl this week with an incredible line up @dampedspring @pboockvar @NeelyTamminga @profplum99 and @Gary_Brode x.com/i/spaces/1mnxe…