The 49ers are 7-0 this year when Deebo Samuel has 6 or more rushing attempts
Kyle Shanahan and Jimmy Garoppolo have been underdogs thrice this season.
Week 10 vs LA — won outright
Week 18 at LA — won outright
Week 19 at DAL — won outright
Week 20 at GB
The 6.5-point spread is the biggest line that the 49ers have faced in 2021.
Jimmy Garoppolo’s 13-5 outright as an underdog in his #49ers’ career.
That .722 win percentage is the best of any starting quarterback in the NFL.
49ers are a 6.5-point underdog heading into Green Bay…
Ambry Thomas — a player that didn’t dress on Sundays at the start of the season — is now being depended on to start a road playoff game in Green Bay.
What a last 6 months for Thomas, sheesh.
Feels like Nick Bosa, Jordan Willis and Ambry Thomas are going to play.
That would be unbelievably huge for this 49ers’ team heading into Saturday.
Imagine having the MVP, best WR in the game, home-field, extra week of rest and complaining about random folks on TV picking the 49ers (which isn’t true?)
@dieter Think most of the folks are saying — “it’s a bad matchup, but GB should win”
Since Week 10:
Packers are No. 1 in Offensive Rushing Success Rate and Offensive Passing Success Rate.
49ers are No. 1 in Defensive Rushing Success Rate and No. 10 in Defensive Passing Success Rate.
Unstoppable force meets immovable object.
Another significant advantage for the #49ers heading into Green Bay is in the red zone.
49ers’ offense is No. 1 in the NFL in red-zone offense, converting 67% of trips into a TD.
Packers’ defense is No. 28 in the NFL in red-zone defense, allowing 66% of trips into a TD.
Nick Bosa is listed as LIMITED — pretty good sign he’s suiting up on Saturday.
Another facet that goes under-discussed with this #49ers’ defense is their much-improved run defense.
Gave up 100 yards to Packers in Week 3. Haven’t given up 100 yards rushing since November.
49ers’ ranks since Week 10:
Success Rate: 1st
I think the 49ers are really going to miss Mike McDaniel whenever he leaves for a head-coaching gig.
He’s been with Shanahan for the last 10 years and has traveled with him to each stop.
Imagine Bobby Slowik becomes the next guy to take over at OC.
I think the Browns provided the blue-print for how to beat the Packers in Lambeau.
Browns rushed for 219 yards on 25 carries. Won the Time Of Possession battle and held Rodgers to 202 yards passing.
That’s what this #49ers team will have to try and replicate.
@GuyHaberman It also ignores the fact that fired coaches become TV commentators again… so why couldn’t Mayock
@dieter @_Annas_Dad_ Interception was created because Willis forced Smith into Prescott and he had to rush the throw.
I like K’Waun, but he’s struggled to run with WRs in man coverage …
@dieter He got cooked on the slot fade…imagine what Lazard’s gonna do this week…
Aaron Rodgers Kept Clean:
* 77.1 Completion Rate
* 8.5 yards per attempt
* 29 TDs, 0 INTs
* 123.7 Rtg
Aaron Rodgers Under Pressure:
* 38.4 Completion Rate
* 5.1 yards per attempt
* 8 TDs, 3 INTs
* 67.9 Rtg
Rodgers has crumbled under pressure this season, 19th-best passer.
@dieter I actually think slot corner is a bigger need. Nobody talks about how poor K’Waun Williams has been in coverage (because he’s a really good run defender and blitzer), but I’d upgrade there first over the outside corners.
#49ers had 7 pressures and 1 sack vs. Aaron Rodgers in Week 3.
Rodgers got the ball out in 2.38 seconds (second fastest) that game.
Ryans, Kocurek and this defense has to hit Rodgers more than that if they’re gonna be successful.
#49ers' pass rush evolution:
Week 3 loss:
* Arden Key played 3 snaps at EDGE
* Charles Omenihu was a Texan
* Arik Armstead played 27 snaps at DE
* Arden Key is a vital interior rusher on passing downs
* Samson Ebukam's a capable edge rusher
* Armstead's been playing at DT
Packers' DVOA ranks vs. positions:
vs. WR1: 7th
vs. WR2: 7th
vs. WR3: 3rd
vs. TE: 28th
vs. RB: 23rd
Could George Kittle be featured heavily in the #49ers' passing attack? He had 7 catches for 92 yards in the first meeting..
The 49ers-Cowboys’ game averaged 41 million viewers and peaked at 50 million viewers and was the most-watched Wild Card game in 7 years.
That’s the brand power that those two teams bring, especially when you put it in the prime time slot.
No wonder CBS paid $70M.